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Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的數據顯示,Bitstamp的本地高點為84,358美元。
Bitcoin (BTC) passed $84,000 into the March 19 Wall Street open as markets geared up for the US Federal Reserve interest-rate decision.
比特幣(BTC)在3月19日的華爾街開放式開放式公開賽中將84,000美元遞給了美國美聯儲利率的決定。
BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
BTC/1小時圖表。資料來源:Cointelegraph/TradingView
Bitcoin, risk-assets lack “tailwinds” into FOMC
比特幣,風險資源缺乏FOMC中的“逆風”
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed local highs of $84,358 on Bitstamp.
Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的數據顯示,Bitstamp的本地高點為84,358美元。
Risk assets were on edge ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, with the Fed expected to hold rates steady until at least June, per data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.
在聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)會議之前,風險資產處於邊緣狀態,根據CME Group的FedWatch工具的數據,美聯儲預計將保持穩定,直到至少6月。
Fed target rate probabilities (screenshot). Source: CME Group
餵養目標率概率(屏幕截圖)。資料來源:CME組
The nature of subsequent commentary from Fed Chair Jerome Powell was of more concern to traders. Already hawkish, Powell faces pressure from US trade tariffs as inflation markets only just begin to fall.
美聯儲主席杰羅姆·鮑威爾(Jerome Powell)隨後的評論的性質更引起交易者的關注。鮑威爾已經霍克什(Hawkish)面臨美國貿易關稅的壓力,因為通貨膨脹市場才開始下降。
“Tonight's FOMC meeting is highly likely hold rates steady. However, we will be watching closely for any dovish shifts, particularly on growth and inflation expectations,” trading firm QCP Capital wrote in its latest bulletin to Telegram channel subscribers on the day.
貿易公司QCP Capital在當天的最新公告中寫道:“今晚的FOMC會議很可能會穩定穩定。
While holding above $80,000 throughout the week, Bitcoin’s fate hung in the balance as US stocks saw notable downside.
在整個星期的持有超過80,000美元的同時,比特幣的命運持續了余額,因為美國股票顯著的不利之處。
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index traded down 4% and 8.7% year-to-date at the time of writing compared to 10% for BTC/USD.
標準普爾500指數和納斯達克綜合指數在撰寫本文時以4%和8.7%的股份下跌了4%和8.7%,而BTC/USD則為10%。
“TC has found some support at the $80k, but that seems tenuous at best amid broader macro weakness,” QCP continued.
QCP繼續說:“ TC在$ 8.0萬美元中找到了一些支持,但在更廣泛的宏觀弱點中,這似乎很脆弱。”
Trading resource The Kobeissi Letter identified a potential silver lining in the form of increasing equities allocation by US retail investors.
貿易資源Kobeissi信件以美國零售投資者增加的股票分配形式確定了潛在的銀行館。
“Retail net inflows into Nasdaq 100 index stocks as a percentage of market cap have reached 0.1%, the highest in at least a year. Retail flows have DOUBLED in just a few weeks,” it wrote in a post on X.
它在X上的一篇文章中寫道:“零售淨淨流入納斯達克100指數股票的佔市值的百分比已達到0.1%,至少一年內最高。零售流量在短短幾週內翻了一番。”
US stocks retail flows data. Source: The Kobeissi Letter/X
美國庫存零售數據。資料來源:Kobeissi Letter/X
Bad FOMC result risks $76,000 BTC price drop
FOMC結果不良風險$ 76,000 BTC價格下跌
Analyzing BTC price action, popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital hoped that the upside gap in CME’s Bitcoin futures market would be fully “filled” with a spike to $87,000.
對BTC價格行動進行分析,受歡迎的交易員和分析師Rekt Capital希望CME的比特幣期貨市場的上行差距將完全“填充”,達到87,000美元。
Related: Bitcoin futures 'deleveraging' wipes $10B open interest in 2 weeks
相關:比特幣期貨“去槓桿化”濕透了$ 10B開放利息2週
Such gaps, as Cointelegraph reported, continue to act as short-term price magnets.
正如Cointelegraph所報導的那樣,這種差距繼續充當短期價格磁鐵。
“Bitcoin continues to successfully retest the CME Gap as support (orange box, $78k-$80.7k),” Rekt Capital explained alongside an illustrative chart.
Rekt Capital在說明性圖表的同時解釋說:“比特幣繼續成功地重新測試CME差距(Orange Box,$ 78K- $ 80.7K)。”
CME Bitcoin futures 1-day chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X
CME比特幣期貨1天圖表。資料來源:Rekt Capital/X
Keith Alan, co-founder of trading resource Material Indicators, meanwhile suggested that a dovish Powell could have a clear impact on price momentum.
交易資源材料指標的聯合創始人基思·艾倫(Keith Alan)與此同時建議,骯髒的鮑威爾(Powell)可能會對價格勢頭產生明顯影響。
“A dovish tone that reduces recessionary fears could send Bitcoin price above the 200-Day and 21-Day MAs, and avert what seemed like an imminent death cross between those two key MAs,” part of an X post stated.
X帖子的一部分說:“降低經濟衰退恐懼的骯髒語調可能會使比特幣價格高於200天和21天的MAS,並避免這兩個關鍵MAS之間即將發生的死亡交叉。”
Alan referred to two nearby simple moving averages, with the 200-day and 21-day MA sitting at $84,995 and $84,350, respectively.
艾倫(Alan)提到了附近的兩個簡單移動平均值,200天和21天的MA分別為84,995美元和84,350美元。
BTC/USD 1-day chart with 21, 200MA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
BTC/USD 1天圖表,21,200MA。資料來源:Cointelegraph/TradingView
Bad news, on the other hand, could spark a retest of multimonth lows at $76,000, he warned.
他警告說,另一方面,壞消息可能會以76,000美元的價格再次重新測試多個月的低點。
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