VanEck 报告称，比特币 (BTC) 今年将超越所有主要资产类别，预计到 2050 年 BTC 价格将达到 290 万美元

比特币在过去 12 个月内上涨了 141%：来源：Brave New Coin 比特币液体指数 截至 2024 年 9 月 26 日，比特币的价值较 2024 年 9 月 26 日上涨了 141%

Bitcoin has outshone each main asset class previously yr, because of a surge in enterprise capital (VC) investments and rising institutional adoption, in response to a recent report by American funding administration agency VanEck.

As of September twenty sixth 2024, Bitcoin has seen its worth surge by 141% over the earlier yr — far outpacing conventional property like Gold or the S&P 500. In the meantime, Gold has risen by solely 1.3%, whereas the S&P 500 has dropped by 24.3%, in response to the report.

A key issue supporting Bitcoin’s rise is the surge in crypto VC investments, which have jumped 87% over the previous yr, the report mentioned. Bitcoin’s market capitalization now stands at roughly $1.25 trillion — up 15% since final yr, the report added.

Bitcoin is shifting in direction of a extra established position as a “retailer of worth and a instrument for wealth switch,” relatively than only a speculative asset, which is able to bolster its long-term stability, the report mentioned.

On the identical time, Bitcoin’s community scalability and vitality consumption points stay challenges to its sustained development, the report famous.

Bitcoin’s adoption at the moment is pushed by completely different forces than in 2023, when retail demand and viral improvements like inscriptions performed a significant position, mentioned Matthew Sigel, head of Digital Property Analysis at VanEck within the report.

Bitcoin’s institutional demand has soared because the U.S. authorized the listing of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) earlier this yr.

Bitcoin ETFs have gathered round $55 billion in internet property as of September, and monetary advisors have embraced these funds quicker than every other new ETF in historical past, in response to the VanEck report.

The involvement of seven international locations in Bitcoin mining will sign a broader world pattern towards de-dollarization, with international locations exploring Bitcoin as a possible instrument for cross-border commerce, the report mentioned.

Whereas Bitcoin continues to surge, miners discover themselves in a a lot more durable spot.

The April 2024 “halving” event noticed mining rewards slashed in half, dropping them from 6.25 to three.125 BTC per block.

VanEck stories that the hashprice, a measure of income earned per unit of computational energy, has plummeted by 97% over the past yr.

The Federal Reserve’s price cuts and the upcoming U.S. elections are the largest influencers on Bitcoin’s future efficiency, in response to VanEck.

VanEck predicts that continued financial easing might drive demand for Bitcoin as buyers search greater returns in a low-yield setting.

On the political entrance, Bitcoin stands to realize no matter whether or not Kamala Harris or Donald Trump wins the upcoming U.S. presidential election, VanEck’s report suggests.

A Harris presidency might drive Bitcoin adoption by spurring curiosity in decentralized monetary programs as a response to stricter rules and anti-business insurance policies, the report mentioned.

In the meantime, a Trump administration is anticipated to create a extra favorable panorama for Bitcoin by means of deregulation, fostering an setting the place the cryptocurrency and broader crypto ecosystem might thrive, the report added.

Each eventualities level to Bitcoin persevering with its upward trajectory in a politically charged setting, the report mentioned.

Bitcoin’s long-term development is assured, citing world tendencies just like the rising demand for censorship-resistant networks, rising institutional adoption, and growing involvement of sovereign nations in Bitcoin mining and commerce, the report mentioned.

VanEck predicts that by 2050, Bitcoin’s worth could skyrocket to $2.9 million per coin, underscoring the cryptocurrency’s brilliant future as a key participant within the world monetary system.