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分析师本杰明·科恩(Benjamin Cowen)表示,一项美国经济数据可以确定未来几个月比特币(BTC)价格的轨迹。
Cryptocurrency analyst Benjamin Cowen says that one key piece of US economic data could determine the trajectory of the price of Bitcoin (BTC) over the coming months.
加密货币分析师本杰明·考恩(Benjamin Cowen)表示,美国经济数据中的一个关键部分可以决定未来几个月比特币(BTC)价格的轨迹。
In a new video, Cowen tells his 863,000 YouTube subscribers that Bitcoin is approaching a “decision time” as traders and investors await the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report scheduled for release on February 7th.
在新视频中,Cowen告诉他的863,000个YouTube用户,随着交易员和投资者在等待计划于2月7日发布的非农业工资(NFP)报告,比特币正在接近“决策时间”。
The NFP report discloses the number of jobs added or lost in the US, excluding those in the agricultural sector. Market participants use the data to gauge the health of the country’s economy.
NFP报告披露了美国增加或丢失的工作数量,不包括农业部门的工作数量。市场参与者使用数据来评估该国经济的健康。
According to Cowen, Bitcoin could turn bullish if the unemployment rate stays at more or less the same level as last month’s reading of 4.1%.
根据考恩(Cowen)的说法,如果失业率与上个月的4.1%的阅读水平或多或少相同,则比特币可能会看涨。
“If the unemployment rate comes in fine… 4.1%, 4.2% then my guess is that it’s more likely than not that Bitcoin would make another move up.”
“如果失业率罚款……4.1%,4.2%,那么我的猜测是,比特币的可能性更大,可能会导致另一次上升。”
On the likely price targets for Bitcoin, the widely followed analyst says,
广受关注的分析师说,关于比特币的可能目标目标是
“The labor market data comes in next week. It seems like Bitcoin’s done the same exact thing it did last year. The question is, can it just simply follow through and get that next leg higher? I would probably say somewhere between $120,000 to $140,000, $150,000. Somewhere kind of in that zone if it’s just simply going to repeat last year.”
“劳动力市场数据将于下周出现。看来比特币的做到了与去年相同的确切事情。问题是,它可以简单地遵循并使下一条腿更高吗?我可能会说,在120,000美元至140,000美元之间,$ 150,000。如果只是去年只是要重复,那么在该区域的某个地方。”
Cowen also says there’s a possibility of Bitcoin reaching a cycle top in a couple of months based on historical data.
考恩还说,根据历史数据,有可能在几个月内达到周期顶部。
“So there’s always a chance that if you do get another rally in say February or March, that it could lead into a major market cycle top depending on how aggressive it is. Remember [during the] last cycle, the top was basically in April [of 2021].”
“因此,总是有机会在2月或3月举行另一个集会,这可能会导致主要的市场周期,具体取决于它的积极性。请记住[在最后一个周期中,顶部基本上是在2021年的4月。”
Bitcoin is trading at $102,491 at time of writing.
撰写本文时,比特币的交易价格为102,491美元。
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