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分析師本傑明·科恩(Benjamin Cowen)表示,一項美國經濟數據可以確定未來幾個月比特幣(BTC)價格的軌跡。
Cryptocurrency analyst Benjamin Cowen says that one key piece of US economic data could determine the trajectory of the price of Bitcoin (BTC) over the coming months.
加密貨幣分析師本傑明·考恩(Benjamin Cowen)表示,美國經濟數據中的一個關鍵部分可以決定未來幾個月比特幣(BTC)價格的軌跡。
In a new video, Cowen tells his 863,000 YouTube subscribers that Bitcoin is approaching a “decision time” as traders and investors await the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report scheduled for release on February 7th.
在新視頻中,Cowen告訴他的863,000個YouTube用戶,隨著交易員和投資者在等待計劃於2月7日發布的非農業工資(NFP)報告,比特幣正在接近“決策時間”。
The NFP report discloses the number of jobs added or lost in the US, excluding those in the agricultural sector. Market participants use the data to gauge the health of the country’s economy.
NFP報告披露了美國增加或丟失的工作數量,不包括農業部門的工作數量。市場參與者使用數據來評估該國經濟的健康。
According to Cowen, Bitcoin could turn bullish if the unemployment rate stays at more or less the same level as last month’s reading of 4.1%.
根據考恩(Cowen)的說法,如果失業率與上個月的4.1%的閱讀水平或多或少相同,則比特幣可能會看漲。
“If the unemployment rate comes in fine… 4.1%, 4.2% then my guess is that it’s more likely than not that Bitcoin would make another move up.”
“如果失業率罰款……4.1%,4.2%,那麼我的猜測是,比特幣的可能性更大,可能會導致另一次上升。”
On the likely price targets for Bitcoin, the widely followed analyst says,
廣受關注的分析師說,關於比特幣的可能目標目標是
“The labor market data comes in next week. It seems like Bitcoin’s done the same exact thing it did last year. The question is, can it just simply follow through and get that next leg higher? I would probably say somewhere between $120,000 to $140,000, $150,000. Somewhere kind of in that zone if it’s just simply going to repeat last year.”
“勞動力市場數據將於下週出現。看來比特幣的做到了與去年相同的確切事情。問題是,它可以簡單地遵循並使下一條腿更高嗎?我可能會說,在120,000美元至140,000美元之間,$ 150,000。如果只是去年只是要重複,那麼在該區域的某個地方。”
Cowen also says there’s a possibility of Bitcoin reaching a cycle top in a couple of months based on historical data.
考恩還說,根據歷史數據,有可能在幾個月內達到週期頂部。
“So there’s always a chance that if you do get another rally in say February or March, that it could lead into a major market cycle top depending on how aggressive it is. Remember [during the] last cycle, the top was basically in April [of 2021].”
“因此,總是有機會在2月或3月舉行另一個集會,這可能會導致主要的市場週期,具體取決於它的積極性。請記住[在最後一個週期中,頂部基本上是在2021年的4月。”
Bitcoin is trading at $102,491 at time of writing.
撰寫本文時,比特幣的交易價格為102,491美元。
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