比特币（BTC）市场情绪接近关键拐点，已实现价格指标

随着比特币价格继续缓慢下跌，该资产似乎正在接近关键的心理水平。

As Bitcoin continues to slowly decline in price, the asset appears to be moving closer to a key psychological level. With uncertainty surrounding the continuation of Bitcoin’s current trend, speculation remains divided on whether the crypto asset is preparing for another upward breakout or entering a phase of correction.

随着比特币价格继续缓慢下跌，该资产似乎正在接近关键的心理水平。由于比特币当前趋势是否持续存在不确定性，关于该加密资产是否正在准备再次向上突破或进入调整阶段的猜测仍然存在分歧。

Recent on-chain data suggests that specific metrics, such as the realized price for short-term holders, are providing essential insights into the market’s behavior and potential future direction.

最近的链上数据表明，具体指标（例如短期持有者的实现价格）正在为市场行为和潜在的未来方向提供重要的见解。

Recent Bitcoin Sell-Off May Be Curbed At Key Price Floor

最近的比特币抛售可能会在关键价格下限受到抑制

In an analysis recently uploaded on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, an analyst known as Shayan BTC revealed that the realized price metric, particularly for the 1-3 month UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) age band, serves as a critical indicator for assessing investor sentiment among newer market participants.

在 CryptoQuant QuickTake 平台最近上传的一份分析中，一位名为 Shayan BTC 的分析师透露，已实现的价格指标，特别是 1-3 个月的 UTXO（未花费交易输出）年龄范围，是评估投资者情绪的关键指标。新的市场参与者。

This metric represents the average purchase price of Bitcoin for those who acquired the asset within the last one to three months. A sustained price above this level typically signals bullish momentum, suggesting that recent buyers are confident in holding their positions despite prevailing market volatility.

该指标代表过去一到三个月内购买该资产的人的比特币平均购买价格。价格持续高于该水平通常预示着看涨势头，表明尽管市场普遍波动，近期买家仍有信心持有其头寸。

Conversely, if Bitcoin’s price drops below this level, it may indicate potential selling pressure as these short-term holders attempt to limit their losses.

相反，如果比特币的价格跌破该水平，则可能表明潜在的抛售压力，因为这些短期持有者试图限制其损失。

According to Shayan, the realized price for Bitcoin’s 1-3 month holder cohort currently stands at $81,000. This level is seen as a vital support zone, acting as a “psychological and technical defense” line for both short-term and long-term investors.

据 Shayan 称，比特币 1-3 个月持有者群体的实际价格目前为 81,000 美元。该水平被视为重要的支撑区域，充当短期和长期投资者的“心理和技术防线”。

Historically, when Bitcoin’s price remains above this threshold, it indicates a resilient market sentiment where recent buyers display confidence in the asset’s future price potential.

从历史上看，当比特币的价格保持在这一阈值之上时，就表明市场情绪具有弹性，最近的买家对该资产的未来价格潜力表现出信心。

On the other hand, a price drop below the $81,000 mark could lead to increased selling activity, primarily driven by short-term holders looking to exit their positions to minimize potential losses. Such a scenario would likely add downward pressure to the market, potentially triggering broader sell-offs.

另一方面，价格跌破 81,000 美元大关可能会导致抛售活动增加，这主要是由希望平仓以尽量减少潜在损失的短期持有者推动的。这种情况可能会增加市场下行压力，并可能引发更广泛的抛售。

Bitcoin Market Performance

比特币市场表现

Bitcoin has so far given investors a boring holiday season with its lackluster performance. Particularly ever since the past weeks towards the middle of December, Bitcoin has fallen below the $100,000 price mark and has remained below it with little to no upward movement.

迄今为止，比特币表现平淡，给投资者带来了一个无聊的假期。特别是自过去几周到 12 月中旬以来，比特币价格已跌破 10 万美元大关，并且一直保持在该水平以下，几乎没有上涨趋势。

Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin has now dropped by 10.9%.2% as it remains below the $100,000 price mark. However, its past day performance has been quite interesting. Over this period, BTC has seen a sudden increase of 4% to a current trading price of $95,519, at the time of writing.

过去两周，比特币目前已下跌 10.9%.2%，仍低于 10 万美元价格大关。然而，它过去一天的表现非常有趣。在此期间，BTC 突然上涨了 4%，截至撰写本文时，当前交易价格为 95,519 美元。

Interestingly, despite this sudden surge, this price mark puts Bitcoin at a roughly 11.9% decrease away from its all-time high of $108,135 registered in the middle of December.

有趣的是，尽管比特币突然飙升，但这一价格标记使比特币较 12 月中旬创下的历史高点 108,135 美元下跌了约 11.9%。