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正如我们周五提到的,人们对比特币的情绪特别乐观,这表明加密市场的可能性很高。
As discussed Friday, the crowd’s sentiment toward Bitcoin has been particularly bullish, suggesting a high top probability for crypto markets. With Monday’s retrace, there are some expected panic sells. If the FOMO turns to FUD, the bull market should resume quickly.
正如周五所讨论的,人们对比特币的情绪特别乐观,这表明加密货币市场的可能性很高。随着周一的回调,预计会出现一些恐慌性抛售。如果 FOMO 转向 FUD,牛市应该会很快恢复。
The market sentiment toward the US economy, Fed rate path, geopolitics, and supply-demand trends remains crucial for BTC and the broader market.
市场对美国经济、美联储利率路径、地缘政治和供需趋势的情绪对于比特币和更广泛的市场仍然至关重要。
US Economic Calendar And Its Impact On BTC
美国经济日历及其对BTC的影响
Looking ahead to October 1, US labor market data and FOMC Member commentary may influence BTC demand.
展望 10 月 1 日,美国劳动力市场数据和 FOMC 成员评论可能会影响 BTC 需求。
Weaker-than-expected JOLTs Job Openings could refuel bets on a 50-basis point November Fed rate cut, supporting a BTC return to $65,000. Conversely, a sharp pullback in job openings may reignite fears of a hard US landing, possibly sending BTC below $60,000.
弱于预期的 JOLT 职位空缺可能会加剧对 11 月美联储降息 50 个基点的押注,从而支持 BTC 重返 65,000 美元。相反,职位空缺的急剧减少可能会重新引发人们对美国硬着陆的担忧,从而可能导致比特币跌破 60,000 美元。
Beyond the data, investors should track FOMC Member commentary. Insights into the Fed rate path would likely influence BTC demand.
除了数据之外,投资者还应该关注联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 成员的评论。对美联储利率路径的洞察可能会影响比特币的需求。
Investors should remain alert, with upcoming US economic indicators, US BTC-spot ETF flows, and supple-demand trends likely to affect buyer demand for BTC and the broader market. Stay updated with our latest news and analysis to manage your BTC and crypto exposures.
投资者应保持警惕,即将发布的美国经济指标、美国 BTC 现货 ETF 流量以及需求供应趋势可能会影响买家对 BTC 和更广泛市场的需求。随时了解我们的最新新闻和分析,以管理您的 BTC 和加密货币风险。
Technical AnalysisBitcoin AnalysisBTC hovers above the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, sending bullish price signals.A breakout from the $64,000 resistance level would support a move toward the September 27 high of $66,520. Furthermore, a return to $66,520 could give the bulls a run at the $69,000 resistance level.Investors should consider the US economic calendar, news from the Middle East, Mt. Gox chatter, and US BTC-spot ETF market flows.Conversely, a break below the 50-day EMA may signal a drop toward the $60,365 support level.With a 55.61 14-day RSI reading, BTC could climb to $67,500 before entering overbought territory.
技术分析比特币分析BTC 徘徊在 50 日和 200 日均线上方,发出看涨价格信号。突破 64,000 美元阻力位将支撑其向 9 月 27 日高点 66,520 美元移动。此外,重返 66,520 美元可能会让多头在 69,000 美元阻力位上运行。投资者应该考虑美国经济日历、中东新闻、Mt. Gox 的讨论以及美国 BTC 现货 ETF 市场流向。相反,突破低于 50 日均线可能预示着跌向 60,365 美元的支撑位。鉴于 14 天 RSI 读数为 55.61,BTC 在进入超买区域之前可能会攀升至 67,500 美元。
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