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正如我們週五提到的,人們對比特幣的情緒特別樂觀,這表明加密市場的可能性很高。
As discussed Friday, the crowd’s sentiment toward Bitcoin has been particularly bullish, suggesting a high top probability for crypto markets. With Monday’s retrace, there are some expected panic sells. If the FOMO turns to FUD, the bull market should resume quickly.
正如周五所討論的,人們對比特幣的情緒特別樂觀,這表明加密貨幣市場的可能性很高。隨著週一的回調,預計會出現一些恐慌性拋售。如果 FOMO 轉向 FUD,牛市應該很快就會恢復。
The market sentiment toward the US economy, Fed rate path, geopolitics, and supply-demand trends remains crucial for BTC and the broader market.
市場對美國經濟、聯準會利率路徑、地緣政治和供需趨勢的情緒對於比特幣和更廣泛的市場仍然至關重要。
US Economic Calendar And Its Impact On BTC
美國經濟日曆及其對BTC的影響
Looking ahead to October 1, US labor market data and FOMC Member commentary may influence BTC demand.
展望 10 月 1 日,美國勞動力市場數據和 FOMC 成員評論可能會影響 BTC 需求。
Weaker-than-expected JOLTs Job Openings could refuel bets on a 50-basis point November Fed rate cut, supporting a BTC return to $65,000. Conversely, a sharp pullback in job openings may reignite fears of a hard US landing, possibly sending BTC below $60,000.
弱於預期的 JOLT 職位空缺可能會加劇對 11 月美聯儲降息 50 個基點的押注,從而支持 BTC 重返 65,000 美元。相反,職缺的急劇減少可能會重新引發人們對美國硬著陸的擔憂,這可能導致比特幣跌破 6 萬美元。
Beyond the data, investors should track FOMC Member commentary. Insights into the Fed rate path would likely influence BTC demand.
除了數據之外,投資者還應該關注聯邦公開市場委員會 (FOMC) 成員的評論。對聯準會利率路徑的洞察可能會影響比特幣的需求。
Investors should remain alert, with upcoming US economic indicators, US BTC-spot ETF flows, and supple-demand trends likely to affect buyer demand for BTC and the broader market. Stay updated with our latest news and analysis to manage your BTC and crypto exposures.
投資人應保持警惕,即將發布的美國經濟指標、美國 BTC 現貨 ETF 流量以及需求供應趨勢可能會影響買家對 BTC 和更廣泛市場的需求。隨時了解我們的最新新聞和分析,以管理您的 BTC 和加密貨幣風險。
Technical AnalysisBitcoin AnalysisBTC hovers above the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, sending bullish price signals.A breakout from the $64,000 resistance level would support a move toward the September 27 high of $66,520. Furthermore, a return to $66,520 could give the bulls a run at the $69,000 resistance level.Investors should consider the US economic calendar, news from the Middle East, Mt. Gox chatter, and US BTC-spot ETF market flows.Conversely, a break below the 50-day EMA may signal a drop toward the $60,365 support level.With a 55.61 14-day RSI reading, BTC could climb to $67,500 before entering overbought territory.
技術分析比特幣分析BTC 徘徊在 50 日和 200 日均線上方,發出看漲價格訊號。此外,重返 66,520 美元可能會讓多頭在 69,000 美元阻力位上運行。可能預示著跌向60,365 美元的支撐位。
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