唐纳德·特朗普总统的“解放日”的比特币（BTC）市场准备

当市场为总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的“解放日”征收关税时，比特币仍然有弹性，目前的价格为84,609美元。

As markets prep for President Donald Trump’s sweeping “Liberation Day” tariffs, bitcoin remains resilient, posting a current price of $84,609.

当市场为总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的“解放日”征收关税时，比特币仍然有弹性，目前的价格为84,609美元。

The digital asset’s market capitalization stands at $1.67 trillion, with 24-hour trading volume reaching $19.84 billion and intraday price swings between $81,188 and $85,438.

数字资产的市值为1.67万亿美元，24小时的交易量达到198.4亿美元，盘中价格波动在81,188美元至85,438美元之间。

Amid global economic uncertainty, technical indicators across multiple timeframes show bitcoin at a crossroads, balanced between bearish pressure and bullish recovery attempts.

在全球经济不确定性中，跨多个时间表的技术指标在十字路口显示比特币，在看跌压力和看涨的恢复尝试之间达到平衡。

Bitcoin price analysis: technical indicators

比特币价格分析：技术指标

On the daily chart, bitcoin continues to trade within a wide consolidation band, suggesting indecision among traders. The range between approximately $76,600 and $99,500 defines current market structure, with support holding steady near the $80,000 level and resistance facing rejection close to $95,000. Despite a sideways trend and a slight decline in volume, the bias leans neutral to bullish. A potential entry zone exists around $80,000-$82,000, especially if bullish reversal patterns form, while short-term take profits might be considered at $88,000-$90,000.

在每日图表上，比特币继续在一个广泛的合并乐队内进行贸易，这表明交易者之间的犹豫不决。大约76,600美元至99,500美元之间的范围定义了当前的市场结构，支撑稳定在80,000美元的水平上，阻力面临接近95,000美元的拒绝。尽管侧向趋势和体积略有下降，但偏见仍然是中性的。一个潜在的入境区约为80,000-82,000美元，尤其是在看涨的逆转模式形式，而短期收益的利润可能为88,000-90,000美元。

Moving to the 4-hour chart, bitcoin experienced a pronounced decline to $81,188 followed by a swift bounce, recovering to trade between $84,500 and $85,000. The structure reveals a lower high and lower low pattern, indicating a mildly bearish sentiment, though recent price stabilization suggests possible upside. A breakout above $85,500, particularly if supported by strong volume, could mark a reversal. Caution is warranted, however, as wicks and false breakouts near $85,000 may signal market hesitation and liquidity traps.

移至4小时图表，比特币经历了明显下降至81,188美元，随后迅速弹跳，恢复了84,500美元至85,000美元的交易。该结构显示出较低和较低的低模式，表明最近的价格稳定表明可能上涨。超过85,500美元以上的突破，尤其是在强大的支持下，可能标志着逆转。但是，有必要谨慎行事，因为在85,000美元接近$ 85,000的Wicks和False Break的可能性可能表明市场犹豫和流动性陷阱。

On the hourly timeframe, the data highlights a textbook liquidity sweep, with a sharp drop followed by a gradual recovery - a typical pattern used to shake out leveraged positions. Volume spikes during the decline and a slower recovery ascent imply a stop-hunt event. The current formation of higher lows suggests a nascent bullish trend. Scalp-long opportunities may be viable on a successful retest of the $84,000 support, with targets near $86,000-$86,500, though divergences in the relative strength index (RSI) or volume could indicate weakening momentum.

在小时的时间范围内，数据突出显示了教科书流动性扫描，然后急剧下降，然后逐渐恢复 - 一种用于摆脱杠杆位置的典型模式。在下降期间，体积飙升，恢复速度较慢意味着停止狩猎事件。当前高低的形成表明是一种新生的看涨趋势。在成功重新测试84,000美元的支持下，头皮长的机会可能是可行的，目标差额接近86,000至86,500美元，尽管相对强度指数（RSI）的分歧（RSI）或体积的差异可能表明势头较弱。

The oscillator readings offer a mixed bag. The relative strength index, stochastic, commodity channel index, average directional index, and awesome oscillator are all in neutral territory, with values hovering around mid-range thresholds. Notably, momentum shows a sell signal at -1,550, while the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) reflects a buy signal at -896 - reinforcing the market's current indecision and potential for a breakout in either direction. These indicators suggest that traders should remain vigilant for confirmation before entering positions.

振荡器读数提供了一个混合的袋子。相对强度指数，随机，商品通道指数，平均方向指数和出色的振荡器都位于中性领域，值徘徊在中端阈值附近。值得注意的是，动量在-1,550中显示出卖出信号，而移动平均值收敛差异（MACD）以-896反映了买入信号 - 增强了市场当前的犹豫不决和朝任何方向突破的潜力。这些指标表明，交易者应在进入职位之前保持警惕以确认。

The broader moving average picture skews bearish. Both the exponential moving averages and simple moving averages, across 20-day to 200-day intervals, predominantly suggest a sell bias. Only the exponential moving average (10), at $84,443, indicates a buy. This alignment signals that while short-term momentum may support minor rallies, the longer-term outlook still faces resistance from prevailing bearish trends.

更广泛的移动平均图片偏向看跌。在20天到200天的间隔内，指数级的移动平均值和简单的移动平均值主要表明卖出偏见。只有指数式移动平均值（10）为84,443美元，表示购买。这种一致性表明，尽管短期势头可能会支持小集会，但长期前景仍然面临着盛行的看跌趋势的抵制。

For now, bitcoin's resilience above $84,000 keeps bullish hopes alive, though confirmation is required to shift sentiment decisively.

目前，比特币的弹性超过84,000美元，使看涨希望保持良好的希望，尽管必须确认果断地改变情绪。

If bitcoin continues to hold above the $84,000 level with increasing volume and successfully breaches the $85,500 resistance, a short-term rally toward $88,000-$90,000 is plausible. The minor uptrend visible on the hourly chart and a buy signal from the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) add weight to the bullish case. A push above these resistance zones could eventually open the door toward $95,000-$99,500, especially if broader market sentiment improves.

如果比特币继续保持在$ 84,000的水平上，数量增加并成功违反了85,500美元的电阻，那么短期集会至88,000美元至90,000美元是合理的。每小时图表上可见的次要上升趋势和来自移动平均值收敛差异（MACD）的购买信号增加了看涨案例的重量。高于这些阻力区域的推动最终可能打开$ 95,000- $ 99,500的大门，尤其是在更广泛的市场情绪改善的情况下。

On the other hand, should bitcoin fail to sustain above $84,000 and slip below the $81,188 support level, downside pressure could accelerate. The predominance of sell signals across both exponential moving averages and simple moving averages, along with a bearish momentum reading, points to a fragile market structure.

另一方面，如果比特币无法维持超过84,000美元，并滑倒低于$ 81,188的支撑水平，下行压力可能会加速。在指数式移动平均值和简单的移动平均值以及看跌动量的读数中，卖出信号的占主导地位，表明了脆弱的市场结构。

A break below key support may trigger a deeper correction toward the $80,000 demand zone, or even test the $76,600 lower boundary observed on the daily chart.

低于关键支持的休息可能会触发更深层次的纠正，甚至在每日图表上观察到的76,600美元的下边界。