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比特币(BTC)最近几天处于不确定性状态,徘徊在$ 80,000的标记上,方向运动有限。
Bitcoin (BTC) has been hovering above the $80,000 mark in recent days, with limited directional movement. This price action comes amid a noticeable lack of activity from Bitcoin whales and mixed signals from technical analysis, leaving investors and traders on edge about Bitcoin’s potential direction in the coming days.
比特币(BTC)最近几天一直徘徊在80,000美元的高度,方向运动有限。这一价格行动是出于比特币鲸的明显活动以及技术分析的混合信号的明显活动而实现的,这使投资者和贸易商在未来几天的潜在方向上处于边缘状态。
As reported by crypto analytics firm Glassnode, the number of wallets holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC has remained nearly stable since March 24, suggesting that large investors are in a “wait-and-see” mode.
正如加密分析公司GlassNode报道的那样,自3月24日以来,持有1,000至10,000 BTC的钱包的数量几乎保持稳定,这表明大型投资者处于“等待观察”模式。
As the world’s largest cryptocurrency hovers above key psychological levels, its lack of volatility may suggest an upcoming period of consolidation, according to some analysts.
据一些分析师称,随着世界上最大的加密货币徘徊在关键心理层面上,其缺乏波动性可能表明即将到来的合并时期。
Stability in whale activity often indicates a period of indecision, as these major players are neither accumulating nor selling off their holdings in large quantities.
鲸鱼活动的稳定性通常表明一段犹豫不决,因为这些主要参与者既没有积累,也没有大量出售其持股。
Chart: TradingView
图表:TradingView
The stable count of 1,991 whales over the past week further emphasizes the absence of strong market conviction at these price levels.
在过去一周中,稳定的1,991鲸进一步强调了这些价格水平上没有强大的市场信念。
If these large holders were displaying an appetite for buying or selling, it would likely be reflected in more substantial price action. However, with minimal activity from whales and technical indicators presenting mixed signals, Bitcoin has found itself in a holding pattern above $80,000.
如果这些大型持有人表现出对买卖的胃口,则可能会反映在更实质性的价格行动中。但是,随着鲸鱼和技术指标表现出混合信号的最小活动,比特币的持有模式以高于$ 80,000的价格。
If there is no new market trigger, it may continue to struggle at these levels.
如果没有新的市场触发,它可能会继续在这些水平上挣扎。
If we look at Bitcoin’s exponential moving averages (EMAs), the technical outlook is still slightly bearish, with longer-term EMAs positioned above the shorter-term ones. This suggests that a bearish trend is still in play.
如果我们查看比特币的指数移动平均值(EMAS),那么技术前景仍然有些看跌,长期EMA位于较短的期限上方。这表明看跌趋势仍在发挥作用。
However, the short-term EMAs have shown some recent upward movement, which could be interpreted as a sign of strength and potential for a rebound.
但是,短期EMA显示出最近的一些上升运动,可以将其解释为反弹的力量和潜力的标志。
If Bitcoin manages to push past its current resistance levels, the first major target would be $85,000. A successful breakout above this level could open the door for a move toward $87,500 and even higher.
如果比特币设法超过了当前的阻力水平,则第一个主要目标是85,000美元。超过此水平的成功突破可以为驶向87,500美元甚至更高的大门。
Some analysts predict that Bitcoin could hit $88,000 or more in the short term.
一些分析师预测,短期内比特币可能达到88,000美元或更多。
Notably, Standard Chartered, a prominent financial institution, has forecasted that Bitcoin could break through the $88,500 mark over the weekend.
值得注意的是,一家著名的金融机构标准宪章预测,比特币可以在周末打破88,500美元。
If Bitcoin sustains momentum, it could target even higher levels, signaling a recovery from recent volatility.
如果比特币保持动量,它可以瞄准更高的水平,这表明从最近的波动率中恢复。
In the past week, Bitcoin has seen some positive developments, including higher daily exchange volumes and a $220 million inflow into Bitcoin ETFs on April 2.
在过去的一周中,比特币在4月2日看到了一些积极的发展,包括每日交换量更高和2.2亿美元流向比特币ETF。
These signs suggest that investor sentiment remains strong, despite the ongoing uncertainty.
这些迹象表明,尽管存在不确定性,但投资者的情绪仍然强烈。
Furthermore, Bitcoin’s recent 4% rebound from Wednesday’s volatility suggests that it has managed to hold above key support levels, particularly the $80,000 mark.
此外,比特币最近从周三的波动率反弹的4%反弹表明,它已设法超过了关键支持水平,尤其是80,000美元。
However, if Bitcoin fails to gain momentum and break above key resistance levels, it could face deeper corrections.
但是,如果比特币无法获得动量并超过关键阻力水平,则可能面临更深层的校正。
Key support level to watch is at $81,169. If Bitcoin falls below this level, it could signal a deeper correction, potentially pushing the price down to the psychological $80,000 mark.
观看的关键支持水平为$ 81,169。如果比特币低于此水平,则可能标志着更深入的更正,可能会将价格降至80,000美元。
A drop below this could lead to further losses, with $79,000 and $76,000 as potential targets for a more extended bearish trend.
低于此的下降可能会导致进一步的损失,其中79,000美元和76,000美元作为更扩展的看跌趋势的潜在目标。
One factor that could exacerbate this bearish scenario is the ongoing trade war between China and the United States.
可能加剧这种看跌情况的一个因素是中国与美国之间的持续贸易战。
As geopolitical tensions rise, Bitcoin could face additional selling pressure as risk appetite diminishes in global markets.
随着地缘政治紧张局势的增加,比特币可能面临额外的销售压力,因为全球市场的风险食欲减少。
Overall, Bitcoin finds itself at a critical juncture. Whale activity has stalled, technical indicators are showing mixed signals, and the broader market remains uncertain.
总体而言,比特币发现自己处于关键时刻。鲸鱼活动停滞不前,技术指标显示出混合的信号,并且更广泛的市场尚不确定。
For Bitcoin to break free from its current consolidation above $80,000, it will need to break key resistance levels and demonstrate sustained bullish momentum.
要使比特币从80,000美元以上的当前合并中解脱出来,它将需要打破关键阻力水平并表现出持续的看涨势头。
However, failure to do so could result in a deeper correction, with potential price targets below $80,000.
但是,不这样做可能会导致更深入的更正,潜在的目标目标低于80,000美元。
As we head into April, the next few days could be crucial in determining Bitcoin’s path. Investors and traders alike will be closely watching these developments to gauge whether Bitcoin can maintain its position above $80,000 or if a deeper correction is on the horizon.
当我们进入四月时,接下来的几天对于确定比特币的道路可能至关重要。投资者和商人都将密切关注这些发展,以衡量比特币是否可以将其头寸保持在80,000美元以上或更深入的更正。
With both bullish and bearish scenarios in play, the coming weeks will be critical for the world’s leading cryptocurrency.
随着看涨和看跌的情况,未来几周对于世界领先的加密货币至关重要。
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