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加密货币新闻

比特币(BTC)和黄金作为加密害怕和贪婪指数的顶级安全避风港仍然存在于恐惧区域

2025/04/15 16:16

瑞士法郎和黄金已经成为最高的避风港,因为加密货币的恐惧和贪婪的指数仍然存在于恐惧区。

比特币(BTC)和黄金作为加密害怕和贪婪指数的顶级安全避风港仍然存在于恐惧区域

Crypto fear and greed index remained in the fear zone as Swiss franc and gold emerged as the top safe havens.

瑞士法郎和金出现在恐惧区域中,加密恐惧和贪婪的指数仍然存在于恐惧区域。

The USD/CHF exchange rate has fallen sharply from its highest point this year, while gold hit a record high of $3,243. The precious metal has jumped by more than 37.50% in the last 12 months. In contrast, Bitcoin, which is often seen as a safe haven, fell sharply by almost 10% in the current year.

美元/CHF汇率从今年的最高点急剧下降,而黄金的创纪录最高为3,243美元。在过去的12个月中,贵金属跃升了37.50%以上。相比之下,通常被视为避风港的比特币在今年急剧下降了近10%。

Bitcoin price falls as gold and Swiss franc rise

随着黄金和瑞士法郎的上升,比特币价格下跌

Its performance mirrors that of other risky assets like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 index. Most notably, the US dollar and bonds did not become the safe havens they were in the past. The US dollar index has plunged for the third consecutive day, and it is now trading at its lowest swing since September 2022.

它的绩效反映了其他风险资产(例如标准普尔500号和纳斯达克100指数)的绩效。最值得注意的是,美元和债券并没有成为过去的避风港。美元指数连续第三天暴跌,自2022年9月以来,它的交易量最低。

It fell by almost 10% from its highest level this year, which signals that it is approaching a correction.

它从今年的最高水平下降了几乎10%,这表明它正在采取更正。

The Swiss franc has become a better safe haven than Bitcoin due to the strength and stability of the country’s economy. Unlike the US and countries in the European Union, Switzerland is neutral on many issues. Switzerland also has one of the strongest economies with little debt.

由于该国经济的实力和稳定性,瑞士法郎已成为比比特币更好的避风港。与美国和欧盟国家不同,瑞士在许多问题上都是中立的。瑞士也是最强大的经济体之一,债务很少。

Therefore, analysts expect that the currency is a better alternative to the US dollar and other risky assets. In a note to BanklessTimes, an analyst from Cube Exchange said:

因此,分析师预计货币是美元和其他风险资产的更好替代品。 Cube Exchange的一位分析师说:

“The Swiss franc is one of the best currencies to have. Switzerland has a GDP of almost $900 billion and less than $300 billion in debt. It also holds almost $300 billion of US debt, which it can easily liquidate.”

“瑞士法郎是最好的货币之一。瑞士的GDP近9000亿美元,债务不到3000亿美元。它还持有近3000亿美元的美国债务,很容易清算。”

Gold has a long history as a safe haven

黄金作为避风港的历史悠久

Gold is a superior safe haven due to its long-standing historical role. It has been a safe haven for centuries and experiences robust demand from institutional investors and central banks from countries like Russia and China.

由于其长期历史角色,黄金是一个优越的避风港。几个世纪以来,这一直是一个避风港,并且经历了来自俄罗斯和中国等国家的机构投资者和中央银行的强劲需求。

In a note, an analyst at Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) enhanced its gold price forecast, stating:

在注释中,高盛(NYSE:GS)的一位分析师提高了其黄金价格预测,并指出:

“Recent flows have surprised to the upside, likely reflecting renewed investor demand in hedging against recession risk and declines in risk asset prices.”

“最近的流动使上升空间感到惊讶,这可能反映了投资者在抵抗衰退风险和风险资产价格下降方面的新需求。”

Still, some analysts note that Bitcoin is holding up well as risks rise and the fear and greed index tumbles. Besides, Bitcoin price has dropped by 8.5% this year compared to the Nasdaq 100 index, which has dropped by 11.15%. It has also outperformed the S&P 500 index, which fell by 9%.

尽管如此,一些分析师仍指出,随着风险的增加以及恐惧和贪婪指数的跌落,比特币仍在保持良好状态。此外,与纳斯达克100指数相比,今年比特币的价格下跌了8.5%,纳斯达克100指数下跌了11.15%。它也优于标准普尔500指数,该指数下跌了9%。

Some analysts consider Bitcoin as a safe haven due to its substantial institutional demand as Blackrock and Strategy continue buying. They also note its limited supply and rising mining difficulty.

一些分析师认为比特币是避风港,因为它的巨大机构需求是贝莱德和战略继续购买的。他们还注意到其供应有限和采矿难度。

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