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瑞士法郎和黃金已經成為最高的避風港,因為加密貨幣的恐懼和貪婪的指數仍然存在於恐懼區。
Crypto fear and greed index remained in the fear zone as Swiss franc and gold emerged as the top safe havens.
瑞士法郎和金出現在恐懼區域中,加密恐懼和貪婪的指數仍然存在於恐懼區域。
The USD/CHF exchange rate has fallen sharply from its highest point this year, while gold hit a record high of $3,243. The precious metal has jumped by more than 37.50% in the last 12 months. In contrast, Bitcoin, which is often seen as a safe haven, fell sharply by almost 10% in the current year.
美元/CHF匯率從今年的最高點急劇下降,而黃金的創紀錄最高為3,243美元。在過去的12個月中,貴金屬躍升了37.50%以上。相比之下,通常被視為避風港的比特幣在今年急劇下降了近10%。
Bitcoin price falls as gold and Swiss franc rise
隨著黃金和瑞士法郎的上升,比特幣價格下跌
Its performance mirrors that of other risky assets like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 index. Most notably, the US dollar and bonds did not become the safe havens they were in the past. The US dollar index has plunged for the third consecutive day, and it is now trading at its lowest swing since September 2022.
它的績效反映了其他風險資產(例如標準普爾500號和納斯達克100指數)的績效。最值得注意的是,美元和債券並沒有成為過去的避風港。美元指數連續第三天暴跌,自2022年9月以來,它的交易量最低。
It fell by almost 10% from its highest level this year, which signals that it is approaching a correction.
它從今年的最高水平下降了幾乎10%,這表明它正在採取更正。
The Swiss franc has become a better safe haven than Bitcoin due to the strength and stability of the country’s economy. Unlike the US and countries in the European Union, Switzerland is neutral on many issues. Switzerland also has one of the strongest economies with little debt.
由於該國經濟的實力和穩定性,瑞士法郎已成為比比特幣更好的避風港。與美國和歐盟國家不同,瑞士在許多問題上都是中立的。瑞士也是最強大的經濟體之一,債務很少。
Therefore, analysts expect that the currency is a better alternative to the US dollar and other risky assets. In a note to BanklessTimes, an analyst from Cube Exchange said:
因此,分析師預計貨幣是美元和其他風險資產的更好替代品。 Cube Exchange的一位分析師說:
“The Swiss franc is one of the best currencies to have. Switzerland has a GDP of almost $900 billion and less than $300 billion in debt. It also holds almost $300 billion of US debt, which it can easily liquidate.”
“瑞士法郎是最好的貨幣之一。瑞士的GDP近9000億美元,債務不到3000億美元。它還持有近3000億美元的美國債務,很容易清算。”
Gold has a long history as a safe haven
黃金作為避風港的歷史悠久
Gold is a superior safe haven due to its long-standing historical role. It has been a safe haven for centuries and experiences robust demand from institutional investors and central banks from countries like Russia and China.
由於其長期歷史角色,黃金是一個優越的避風港。幾個世紀以來,這一直是一個避風港,並且經歷了來自俄羅斯和中國等國家的機構投資者和中央銀行的強勁需求。
In a note, an analyst at Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) enhanced its gold price forecast, stating:
在註釋中,高盛(NYSE:GS)的一位分析師提高了其黃金價格預測,並指出:
“Recent flows have surprised to the upside, likely reflecting renewed investor demand in hedging against recession risk and declines in risk asset prices.”
“最近的流動使上升空間感到驚訝,這可能反映了投資者在抵抗衰退風險和風險資產價格下降方面的新需求。”
Still, some analysts note that Bitcoin is holding up well as risks rise and the fear and greed index tumbles. Besides, Bitcoin price has dropped by 8.5% this year compared to the Nasdaq 100 index, which has dropped by 11.15%. It has also outperformed the S&P 500 index, which fell by 9%.
儘管如此,一些分析師仍指出,隨著風險的增加以及恐懼和貪婪指數的跌落,比特幣仍在保持良好狀態。此外,與納斯達克100指數相比,今年比特幣的價格下跌了8.5%,納斯達克100指數下跌了11.15%。它也優於標準普爾500指數,該指數下跌了9%。
Some analysts consider Bitcoin as a safe haven due to its substantial institutional demand as Blackrock and Strategy continue buying. They also note its limited supply and rising mining difficulty.
一些分析師認為比特幣是避風港,因為它的巨大機構需求是貝萊德和戰略繼續購買的。他們還注意到其供應有限和採礦難度。
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