比特币 (BTC) 形成看涨“金十字”形态，目标为 7.37 万美元

比特币（BTC）最近形成了“黄金十字”，这是一种技术图表模式，历史上预示着价格进一步上涨的潜力。

Bitcoin (BTC) price action recently formed a “golden cross,” a technical chart pattern that has historically signaled the potential for further price gains. This pattern occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average, indicating bullish momentum. In the case of Bitcoin, the 50-day SMA has crossed above the 200-day SMA, indicating a “golden cross.”

比特币（BTC）的价格走势最近形成了“黄金十字”，这是一种技术图表模式，历史上曾预示着价格进一步上涨的潜力。当 50 日移动平均线穿越 200 日移动平均线上方时，就会出现这种模式，表明看涨势头。就比特币而言，50 日移动平均线已突破 200 日移动平均线，表明出现“黄金交叉”。

Traders and analysts keep a close eye on this formation because, historically, it has preceded price rallies in Bitcoin and other assets. While the golden cross does not guarantee further gains at all times, it has been an encouraging sign in previous Bitcoin bull markets.

交易员和分析师密切关注这种形态，因为从历史上看，它先于比特币和其他资产的价格上涨。虽然金叉并不能保证始终进一步上涨，但它在之前的比特币牛市中一直是一个令人鼓舞的迹象。

For example, a trader who held BTC for a year between the first two golden crosses and the one in May 2020 would have earned triple-digit percentage profits. Following the golden cross in October 2023, Bitcoin’s value doubled to new all-time highs of nearly $74,000 in mid-March.

例如，在前两次黄金交叉和 2020 年 5 月的黄金交叉之间持有 BTC 一年的交易者将获得三位数百分比的利润。继 2023 年 10 月的金叉之后，比特币的价值在 3 月中旬翻了一番，达到近 74,000 美元的历史新高。

However, moving average crossovers are sometimes criticized for being a lagging indicator that traps traders on the wrong side of the market. Bitcoin’s most recent death cross, the opposite of a golden cross, trapped bears on the wrong side of the market, and the price of Bitcoin recovered above $66,000 barely a month later.

然而，移动平均线交叉有时会被批评为一种滞后指标，会让交易者陷入市场的错误方向。比特币最近的死亡交叉，与黄金交叉相反，将空头困在了市场的错误一边，仅仅一个月后，比特币的价格就恢复到 66,000 美元以上。

What comes next?

接下来会发生什么？

At the time of writing, BTC was up 2.37% in the last 24 hours to $68,610 having reached intraday highs of $68,758. Bitcoin began to rebound after finding support at a low of $65,500 on Oct. 25.

截至撰写本文时，BTC 在过去 24 小时内上涨 2.37%，至 68,610 美元，盘中最高点为 68,758 美元。比特币在 10 月 25 日在 65,500 美元低点找到支撑后开始反弹。

Bulls have maintained the upward trend, and if Bitcoin closes in the green today, it would be the third straight day of gains.

多头一直保持上涨趋势，如果比特币今天收盘上涨，这将是连续第三天上涨。

Buyers will need to push the price above $69,550 to signal a resumption of the upward trend toward the top of the current range at $73,777. There is resistance at $70,000, but it may be crossed. In this scenario, Bitcoin might reach $72,000, but bulls are expected to encounter strong resistance from bears.

买家需要将价格推高至 69,550 美元以上，才能发出恢复上涨趋势并接近当前区间顶部 73,777 美元的信号。 70,000 美元有阻力，但可能会被突破。在这种情况下，比特币可能会达到 72,000 美元，但多头预计会遇到空头的强劲阻力。

On the downside, a breakdown could give the bears the upper hand, with the BTC price closing below $65,000. If that happens, Bitcoin could fall below the 50-day simple moving average of $63,254 and then to the critical support of $60,000.

不利的一面是，比特币的崩溃可能会让空头占据上风，比特币价格收于 65,000 美元以下。如果发生这种情况，比特币可能会跌破 63,254 美元的 50 天简单移动平均线，然后跌至 60,000 美元的关键支撑位。

On the macroeconomic front, investors will continue to analyze a torrent of central bank commentary following last week’s IMF meetings in Washington, D.C., with Federal Reserve policymakers currently in a blackout period that restricts them from commenting ahead of next week’s interest rate decision.

在宏观经济方面，继上周在华盛顿特区举行的国际货币基金组织会议之后，投资者将继续分析央行的大量评论，而美联储政策制定者目前正处于封锁期，限制他们在下周的利率决定之前发表评论。