比特幣 (BTC) 形成一個看漲「金十字」形態，目標為 7.37 萬美元

比特幣（BTC）最近形成了“黃金十字”，這是一種技術圖表模式，歷史上預示著價格進一步上漲的潛力。

Bitcoin (BTC) price action recently formed a “golden cross,” a technical chart pattern that has historically signaled the potential for further price gains. This pattern occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average, indicating bullish momentum. In the case of Bitcoin, the 50-day SMA has crossed above the 200-day SMA, indicating a “golden cross.”

比特幣（BTC）的價格走勢最近形成了“黃金十字”，這是一種技術圖表模式，歷史上曾預示著價格進一步上漲的潛力。當 50 日移動平均線穿越 200 日移動平均線上方時，就會出現這種模式，顯示看漲勢頭。就比特幣而言，50 日移動平均線已突破 200 日移動平均線，顯示出現「黃金交叉」。

Traders and analysts keep a close eye on this formation because, historically, it has preceded price rallies in Bitcoin and other assets. While the golden cross does not guarantee further gains at all times, it has been an encouraging sign in previous Bitcoin bull markets.

交易員和分析師密切關注這種形態，因為從歷史上看，它先於比特幣和其他資產的價格上漲。雖然金叉並不能保證始終進一步上漲，但它在之前的比特幣牛市中一直是一個令人鼓舞的跡象。

For example, a trader who held BTC for a year between the first two golden crosses and the one in May 2020 would have earned triple-digit percentage profits. Following the golden cross in October 2023, Bitcoin’s value doubled to new all-time highs of nearly $74,000 in mid-March.

例如，在前兩次黃金交叉和 2020 年 5 月的黃金交叉之間持有 BTC 一年的交易者將獲得三位數百分比的利潤。繼 2023 年 10 月的金叉之後，比特幣的價值在 3 月中旬翻了一番，達到近 74,000 美元的歷史新高。

However, moving average crossovers are sometimes criticized for being a lagging indicator that traps traders on the wrong side of the market. Bitcoin’s most recent death cross, the opposite of a golden cross, trapped bears on the wrong side of the market, and the price of Bitcoin recovered above $66,000 barely a month later.

然而，移動平均線交叉有時會被批評為一種落後指標，會讓交易者陷入市場的錯誤方向。比特幣最近的死亡交叉，與黃金交叉相反，將空頭困在了市場的錯誤一邊，僅僅一個月後，比特幣的價格就恢復到 66,000 美元以上。

What comes next?

接下來會發生什麼事？

At the time of writing, BTC was up 2.37% in the last 24 hours to $68,610 having reached intraday highs of $68,758. Bitcoin began to rebound after finding support at a low of $65,500 on Oct. 25.

截至撰寫本文時，BTC 在過去 24 小時內上漲 2.37%，至 68,610 美元，盤中最高點為 68,758 美元。比特幣在 10 月 25 日在 65,500 美元低點找到支撐後開始反彈。

Bulls have maintained the upward trend, and if Bitcoin closes in the green today, it would be the third straight day of gains.

多頭一直保持上漲趨勢，如果比特幣今天收盤上漲，這將是連續第三天上漲。

Buyers will need to push the price above $69,550 to signal a resumption of the upward trend toward the top of the current range at $73,777. There is resistance at $70,000, but it may be crossed. In this scenario, Bitcoin might reach $72,000, but bulls are expected to encounter strong resistance from bears.

買家需要將價格推高至 69,550 美元以上，才能發出恢復上漲趨勢並接近當前區間頂部 73,777 美元的訊號。 70,000 美元有阻力，但可能會被突破。在這種情況下，比特幣可能會達到 72,000 美元，但多頭預計會遇到空頭的強勁阻力。

On the downside, a breakdown could give the bears the upper hand, with the BTC price closing below $65,000. If that happens, Bitcoin could fall below the 50-day simple moving average of $63,254 and then to the critical support of $60,000.

不利的一面是，比特幣的崩潰可能會讓空頭佔上風，比特幣價格收在 65,000 美元以下。如果發生這種情況，比特幣可能會跌破 63,254 美元的 50 天簡單移動平均線，然後跌至 60,000 美元的關鍵支撐位。

On the macroeconomic front, investors will continue to analyze a torrent of central bank commentary following last week’s IMF meetings in Washington, D.C., with Federal Reserve policymakers currently in a blackout period that restricts them from commenting ahead of next week’s interest rate decision.

在宏觀經濟方面，繼上週在華盛頓特區舉行的國際貨幣基金組織會議之後，投資者將繼續分析央行的大量評論，而聯準會政策制定者目前正處於封鎖期，限制他們在下週的利率決定之前發表評論。