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加密货币新闻

Lekker Capital创始人说,比特币(BTC)今年可能会低于60,000美元。

2025/04/01 04:38

据以加密货币为重点的媒体Coindesk说,当地时间(当地时间),加密货币对冲基金Lekker Capital的创始人Quinn Thompson声称,今年比特币(BTC)可能会在60,000美元以下。

Lekker Capital创始人说,比特币(BTC)今年可能会低于60,000美元。

Cryptocurrency hedge fund Lekker Capital founder Quinn Thompson believes Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to fall below $60,000 this year, reports CoinDesk on Monday.

Coindesk周一报道,加密货币对冲基金Lekker Capital创始人Quinn Thompson认为,比特币(BTC)今年可能会低于60,000美元。

This is about a 50% drop compared to $109,000 two months ago.

两个月前,这大约下降了50%,为109,000美元。

"I don't think the decline will happen quickly," Thompson analyzed.

汤普森分析说:“我认为下降不会很快发生。”

"It will proceed unbearably slowly. The current market is in a situation of great volatility, such as large-scale liquidations and crashes. Because of this, the decline will be a very painful and shocking event for people."

“它将难以忍受地进行。目前的市场处于波动率很大的情况,例如大规模清算和撞车事件。因此,对于人们来说,下降将是一个非常痛苦和令人震惊的事件。”

Furthermore, he explained that investors will suffer in the expectation that this might be the bottom.

此外,他解释说,投资者将遭受期望,认为这可能是最底层的。

"The policies of the Trump administration, such as the D.O.G.E workforce reduction, tariffs, the Fed's limited response, and new immigration policies, will impact the U.S. economy over the next 6 to 9 months. Stocks, Bitcoin, etc., are facing these headwinds. It will be difficult for the cryptocurrency industry to achieve good results this year."

“特朗普政府的政策,例如降低总督劳动力,关税,美联储的有限反应和新的移民政策,将影响未来6至9个月的美国经济。股票,比特币等都面临这些逆风。对于本年度的加密货币行业将很难取得良好的成果。”

The founder also noted that cryptocurrency prices have been highly correlated with the stock market in recent times.

创始人还指出,最近的加密货币价格与股票市场高度相关。

"There is a strong correlation between the S&P 500 and cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH). When the stock market rises, cryptocurrencies also tend to follow suit, and vice versa."

“标准普尔500指数与比特币和以太坊(ETH)等加密货币之间存在很强的相关性。当股市上升时,加密货币也倾向于效仿,反之亦然。”

However, he pointed out that the correlation between Bitcoin and the stock market is not necessarily a bad thing.

但是,他指出,比特币与股票市场之间的相关性不一定是一件坏事。

"If we look at the historical context, there have been periods of high correlation and low correlation. Ultimately, it depends on the market conditions at the time."

“如果我们看历史背景,就有很高的相关性和低相关性的时期。最终,这取决于当时的市场状况。”

In other news, a recent report by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) revealed that the correlation between Bitcoin and major equities has decreased in recent months.

在其他新闻中,国际定居银行(BIS)的最新报告显示,比特币与主要股票之间的相关性在最近几个月有所下降。

According to the report, the correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 fell from 0.88 in December 2022 to 0.5 in May 2023.

根据该报告,比特币与500指数之间的相关系数从2022年12月的0.88下降到2023年5月的0.5。

This decrease in correlation can be attributed to the divergent price movements observed in recent months, with Bitcoin experiencing a steeper decline compared to major equities.

相关性的下降可以归因于最近几个月观察到的价格变动,与主要股票相比,比特币的下降幅度更高。

The report also highlighted the role of macroeconomic factors, such as inflation and interest rates, in influencing the correlation between Bitcoin and equities.

该报告还强调了宏观经济因素(例如通货膨胀和利率)在影响比特币与股票之间的相关性方面的作用。

During periods of high inflation and low interest rates, as seen in 2021 and early 2022, Bitcoin and equities exhibited a strong positive correlation.

在高通货膨胀和低利率的时期,如2021年和2022年初,比特币和股票表现出很强的正相关。

However, as inflation began to moderate and central banks started raising interest rates, the correlation between Bitcoin and equities diminished.

但是,随着通货膨胀开始中度和中央银行开始提高利率,比特币与股票之间的相关性减少了。

The report concluded that while the correlation between Bitcoin and equities has decreased, it remains significant and suggests a common sensitivity to macroeconomic factors.

该报告得出的结论是,尽管比特币与股票之间的相关性有所下降,但它仍然很重要,并提出了对宏观经济因素的共同敏感性。

This finding is particularly noteworthy given the common perception of Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and equities as a risk-on asset class.

考虑到比特币作为对冲通货膨胀和股票作为风险对资产类别的对冲,这一发现尤其值得注意。

The report's analysis provides valuable insights into the dynamic interplay between cryptocurrency prices, equity markets, and macroeconomic variables. It serves as a reminder of the interconnected nature of financial markets and the importance of considering broader economic trends when evaluating cryptocurrency investments.input:

该报告的分析为加密货币价格,股票市场和宏观经济变量之间的动态相互作用提供了宝贵的见解。它提醒了金融市场的相互联系,并在评估加密货币投资时考虑更广泛的经济趋势的重要性。

According to cryptocurrency-focused media outlet CCN, on the 31st (local time), an American cryptocurrency hedge fund founder is claiming that Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to fall below $60,000 this year.

根据以加密货币为重点的媒体媒体CCN的说法,在第31届(当地时间),美国加密货币对冲基金会创始人声称比特币(BTC)今年可能会低于60,000美元。

This is about a 50% drop compared to $109,000 two months ago.

两个月前,这大约下降了50%,为109,000美元。

Quinn Thompson, founder of the cryptocurrency hedge fund Lekker Capital, analyzed, "I don't think the decline will happen quickly."

加密货币对冲基金Lekker Capital的创始人Quinn Thompson分析了:“我认为下降不会很快发生。”

He added, "It will proceed unbearably slowly. The current market is in a situation of great volatility, such as large-scale liquidations and crashes. Because of this, the decline will be a very painful and shocking event for people."

他补充说:“这将缓慢地进行。当前的市场正处于波动率很大的情况,例如大规模的清算和撞车事件。因此,对于人们来说,下降将是一个非常痛苦和令人震惊的事件。”

Furthermore, he explained, "Investors will suffer in the expectation that this might be the bottom. The policies of the Trump administration, such as the D.O.G.E workforce reduction, tariffs, the Fed's limited response, and new immigration policies, will impact the U.S. economy over the next 6 to 9 months. Stocks, Bitcoin, etc., are facing these headwinds. It will be difficult for the cryptocurrency industry to achieve good results this year."

此外,他解释说:“投资者期望这可能是最底层的。特朗普政府的政策,例如降低了总督劳动力,关税,美联储有限的回应和新的移民政策,会影响未来6至9个月内的美国经济。

The founder also noted that cryptocurrency prices have been highly correlated with the stock market in recent times.

创始人还指出,最近的加密货币价格与股票市场高度相关。

"There is a strong correlation between the S&P 500 and cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH). When the stock market rises, cryptocurrencies also tend to follow suit, and vice versa."

“标准普尔500指数与比特币和以太坊(ETH)等加密货币之间存在很强的相关性。当股市上升时,加密货币也倾向于效仿,反之亦然。”

However, he pointed out that the correlation between Bitcoin and the stock market is not necessarily a bad thing.

但是,他指出,比特币与股票市场之间的相关性不一定是一件坏事。

"If we look at the historical context, there have been periods of high correlation and low correlation. Ultimately, it depends on the market conditions at the time."output:

“如果我们看历史背景,就有很高的相关性和低相关性的时期。最终,这取决于当时的市场条件。”输出:

According to a recent report by

根据最近的报告

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