Lekker Capital創始人說，比特幣（BTC）今年可能會低於60,000美元。

據以加密貨幣為重點的媒體Coindesk說，當地時間（當地時間），加密貨幣對沖基金Lekker Capital的創始人Quinn Thompson聲稱，今年比特幣（BTC）可能會在60,000美元以下。

Cryptocurrency hedge fund Lekker Capital founder Quinn Thompson believes Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to fall below $60,000 this year, reports CoinDesk on Monday.

Coindesk週一報導，加密貨幣對沖基金Lekker Capital創始人Quinn Thompson認為，比特幣（BTC）今年可能會低於60,000美元。

This is about a 50% drop compared to $109,000 two months ago.

兩個月前，這大約下降了50％，為109,000美元。

"I don't think the decline will happen quickly," Thompson analyzed.

湯普森分析說：“我認為下降不會很快發生。”

"It will proceed unbearably slowly. The current market is in a situation of great volatility, such as large-scale liquidations and crashes. Because of this, the decline will be a very painful and shocking event for people."

“它將難以忍受地進行。目前的市場處於波動率很大的情況，例如大規模清算和撞車事件。因此，對於人們來說，下降將是一個非常痛苦和令人震驚的事件。”

Furthermore, he explained that investors will suffer in the expectation that this might be the bottom.

此外，他解釋說，投資者將遭受期望，認為這可能是最底層的。

"The policies of the Trump administration, such as the D.O.G.E workforce reduction, tariffs, the Fed's limited response, and new immigration policies, will impact the U.S. economy over the next 6 to 9 months. Stocks, Bitcoin, etc., are facing these headwinds. It will be difficult for the cryptocurrency industry to achieve good results this year."

“特朗普政府的政策，例如降低總督勞動力，關稅，美聯儲的有限反應和新的移民政策，將影響未來6至9個月的美國經濟。股票，比特幣等都面臨這些逆風。對於本年度的加密貨幣行業將很難取得良好的成果。”

The founder also noted that cryptocurrency prices have been highly correlated with the stock market in recent times.

創始人還指出，最近的加密貨幣價格與股票市場高度相關。

"There is a strong correlation between the S&P 500 and cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH). When the stock market rises, cryptocurrencies also tend to follow suit, and vice versa."

“標準普爾500指數與比特幣和以太坊（ETH）等加密貨幣之間存在很強的相關性。當股市上升時，加密貨幣也傾向於效仿，反之亦然。”

However, he pointed out that the correlation between Bitcoin and the stock market is not necessarily a bad thing.

但是，他指出，比特幣與股票市場之間的相關性不一定是一件壞事。

"If we look at the historical context, there have been periods of high correlation and low correlation. Ultimately, it depends on the market conditions at the time."

“如果我們看歷史背景，就有很高的相關性和低相關性的時期。最終，這取決於當時的市場狀況。”

In other news, a recent report by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) revealed that the correlation between Bitcoin and major equities has decreased in recent months.

在其他新聞中，國際定居銀行（BIS）的最新報告顯示，比特幣與主要股票之間的相關性在最近幾個月有所下降。

According to the report, the correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 fell from 0.88 in December 2022 to 0.5 in May 2023.

根據該報告，比特幣與500指數之間的相關係數從2022年12月的0.88下降到2023年5月的0.5。

This decrease in correlation can be attributed to the divergent price movements observed in recent months, with Bitcoin experiencing a steeper decline compared to major equities.

相關性的下降可以歸因於最近幾個月觀察到的價格變動，與主要股票相比，比特幣的下降幅度更高。

The report also highlighted the role of macroeconomic factors, such as inflation and interest rates, in influencing the correlation between Bitcoin and equities.

該報告還強調了宏觀經濟因素（例如通貨膨脹和利率）在影響比特幣與股票之間的相關性方面的作用。

During periods of high inflation and low interest rates, as seen in 2021 and early 2022, Bitcoin and equities exhibited a strong positive correlation.

在高通貨膨脹和低利率的時期，如2021年和2022年初，比特幣和股票表現出很強的正相關。

However, as inflation began to moderate and central banks started raising interest rates, the correlation between Bitcoin and equities diminished.

但是，隨著通貨膨脹開始中度和中央銀行開始提高利率，比特幣與股票之間的相關性減少了。

The report concluded that while the correlation between Bitcoin and equities has decreased, it remains significant and suggests a common sensitivity to macroeconomic factors.

該報告得出的結論是，儘管比特幣與股票之間的相關性有所下降，但它仍然很重要，並提出了對宏觀經濟因素的共同敏感性。

This finding is particularly noteworthy given the common perception of Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and equities as a risk-on asset class.

考慮到比特幣作為對沖通貨膨脹和股票作為風險對資產類別的對沖，這一發現尤其值得注意。

The report's analysis provides valuable insights into the dynamic interplay between cryptocurrency prices, equity markets, and macroeconomic variables. It serves as a reminder of the interconnected nature of financial markets and the importance of considering broader economic trends when evaluating cryptocurrency investments.input:

該報告的分析為加密貨幣價格，股票市場和宏觀經濟變量之間的動態相互作用提供了寶貴的見解。它提醒了金融市場的相互聯繫，並在評估加密貨幣投資時考慮更廣泛的經濟趨勢的重要性。

According to cryptocurrency-focused media outlet CCN, on the 31st (local time), an American cryptocurrency hedge fund founder is claiming that Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to fall below $60,000 this year.

根據以加密貨幣為重點的媒體媒體CCN的說法，在第31屆（當地時間），美國加密貨幣對沖基金會創始人聲稱比特幣（BTC）今年可能會低於60,000美元。

This is about a 50% drop compared to $109,000 two months ago.

兩個月前，這大約下降了50％，為109,000美元。

Quinn Thompson, founder of the cryptocurrency hedge fund Lekker Capital, analyzed, "I don't think the decline will happen quickly."

加密貨幣對沖基金Lekker Capital的創始人Quinn Thompson分析了：“我認為下降不會很快發生。”

He added, "It will proceed unbearably slowly. The current market is in a situation of great volatility, such as large-scale liquidations and crashes. Because of this, the decline will be a very painful and shocking event for people."

他補充說：“這將緩慢地進行。當前的市場正處於波動率很大的情況，例如大規模的清算和撞車事件。因此，對於人們來說，下降將是一個非常痛苦和令人震驚的事件。”

Furthermore, he explained, "Investors will suffer in the expectation that this might be the bottom. The policies of the Trump administration, such as the D.O.G.E workforce reduction, tariffs, the Fed's limited response, and new immigration policies, will impact the U.S. economy over the next 6 to 9 months. Stocks, Bitcoin, etc., are facing these headwinds. It will be difficult for the cryptocurrency industry to achieve good results this year."

此外，他解釋說：“投資者期望這可能是最底層的。特朗普政府的政策，例如降低了總督勞動力，關稅，美聯儲有限的回應和新的移民政策，會影響未來6至9個月內的美國經濟。

The founder also noted that cryptocurrency prices have been highly correlated with the stock market in recent times.

創始人還指出，最近的加密貨幣價格與股票市場高度相關。

"There is a strong correlation between the S&P 500 and cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH). When the stock market rises, cryptocurrencies also tend to follow suit, and vice versa."

“標準普爾500指數與比特幣和以太坊（ETH）等加密貨幣之間存在很強的相關性。當股市上升時，加密貨幣也傾向於效仿，反之亦然。”

However, he pointed out that the correlation between Bitcoin and the stock market is not necessarily a bad thing.

但是，他指出，比特幣與股票市場之間的相關性不一定是一件壞事。

"If we look at the historical context, there have been periods of high correlation and low correlation. Ultimately, it depends on the market conditions at the time."output:

“如果我們看歷史背景，就有很高的相關性和低相關性的時期。最終，這取決於當時的市場條件。”輸出：

According to a recent report by

根據最近的報告