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加密货币企业家 Lark Davis 最近分享了一张图表,显示中心化交易所(CEX)上的比特币(BTC)数量正在下降。尽管出现了一些向上波动,但图表显示自 2024 年 1 月以来交易所的比特币储备持续下降。
Crypto entrepreneur Lark Davis recently shared a chart showing that the amount of Bitcoin (BTC) on centralized exchanges (CEXs) is dropping.
加密货币企业家 Lark Davis 最近分享了一张图表,显示中心化交易所(CEX)上的比特币(BTC)数量正在下降。
Although there were a few upward fluctuations, the chart showed a consistent fall in exchanges’ Bitcoin reserves since January 2024.
尽管出现了一些向上波动,但图表显示自 2024 年 1 月以来交易所的比特币储备持续下降。
Insights gathered from blockchain analytics platform CryptoQuant suggest that the plunge in exchange reserves corresponds with a surge in the coin’s price. Notably, the price of Bitcoin was $65,489.25 at the time of writing, having increased by 1.66% in the last 24 hours. To complement the upswing, the coin’s 7-day price gains have soared by 3.11%.
从区块链分析平台 CryptoQuant 收集的见解表明,外汇储备的暴跌与代币价格的飙升相对应。值得注意的是,截至撰写本文时,比特币的价格为 65,489.25 美元,在过去 24 小时内上涨了 1.66%。为了配合上涨,该代币的 7 天价格涨幅飙升了 3.11%。
Consistent Drop in Bitcoin Exchange Reserves
比特币交易储备持续下降
Bitcoin exchange reserves dropped from approximately 3 million BTC in January to around 2.6 million BTC. Market observers noted that this level was last seen in November 2018.
比特币交易储备从 1 月份的约 300 万比特币下降至约 260 万比特币。市场观察人士指出,上次出现这一水平是在 2018 年 11 月。
An even larger drop was discovered in the yearly trend. About 430,000 BTC had reduced the reserves since the beginning of the year. There is a pattern to the Bitcoin reserve slump from 3 million BTC to 2.6 million BTC when the coin’s price was around $43,000.
年度趋势中发现了更大的下降。自年初以来已减少了约43万枚BTC的储备。当比特币价格约为 43,000 美元时,比特币储备从 300 万比特币暴跌至 260 万比特币,这是一种规律。
However, amid the visible price surge, the exchange reserve dropped to 2.6 million BTC. This corresponds with more than a 13.3% drop in Bitcoin within nine months.
然而,在价格明显上涨的情况下,外汇储备下降至 260 万比特币。这相当于比特币在 9 个月内下跌了 13.3% 以上。
Bitcoin Investors Explore Alternative Custody Options
比特币投资者探索替代托管选择
The plunge indicates that investors are pulling out their coins from exchanges. They are choosing to HODL, which is a unique trend in an accumulation phase.
暴跌表明投资者正在从交易所撤出他们的代币。他们选择持有,这是积累阶段的独特趋势。
These investors are likely opting for long-term storage in personal wallets. They are leaning towards long-term holding rather than short-term trading.
这些投资者可能会选择长期存储在个人钱包中。他们倾向于长期持有而不是短期交易。
Often, this action is seen as a demonstration of strong confidence in the flagship cryptocurrency’s future price potential. It immediately reduces the coin’s supply available for trading. Potentially this sets the stage for a supply squeeze and a price surge.
通常,这一行动被视为对旗舰加密货币未来价格潜力的强烈信心的表现。它立即减少了可用于交易的代币供应量。这可能会导致供应紧张和价格飙升。
The accumulation of Bitcoin by spot Bitcoin ETF products is also a major factor driving the reserve crunch.
现货比特币ETF产品积累比特币也是推动准备金紧缩的一大因素。
Catalysts And Predictions For Bitcoin Price
比特币价格的催化剂和预测
In terms of Bitcoin price, the expectation was that the entrance of institutional investors through Bitcoin ETFs would boost it. For a moment, the coin’s price hit $73,750 for the first time in mid-March, but it was short-lived.
就比特币价格而言,预计机构投资者通过比特币ETF进入将提振比特币价格。一度,该币的价格在 3 月中旬首次触及 73,750 美元,但这只是昙花一现。
Bitcoin has not reached that level again in the last six months. However, crypto market analysts are hopeful that the coin will meet its next bull run before the end of this year.
过去六个月里,比特币并未再次达到这一水平。然而,加密货币市场分析师希望该代币能够在今年年底之前迎来下一次牛市。
Renowned YouTuber and analyst PlanB predicted that BTC might reach six figures before 2024 ends. He sees the coin surpassing $100,000 in value this year. He based his forecast on the recovery of mining revenue after the 2024 halving event.
著名 YouTuber 和分析师 PlanB 预测 BTC 可能在 2024 年底前达到六位数。他预计今年这枚硬币的价值将超过 10 万美元。他的预测基于 2024 年减半事件后挖矿收入的恢复。
Also, his Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model suggested that the firstborn digital currency may hit a price target of $500,000 within the next four years. The analyst predicts that the top of the Bitcoin bull market will be in 2025. According to him, there will be exponential returns until at least 50% adoption.
此外,他的 Stock-to-Flow (S2F) 模型表明,第一个诞生的数字货币可能会在未来四年内达到 500,000 美元的价格目标。这位分析师预测,比特币牛市将于 2025 年见顶。据他称,在至少 50% 的采用率之前,将会出现指数回报。
Similarly, Jack Dorsey, the former CEO of X, suggested that the price of Bitcoin could hit $1 million by 2030. Bitcoin will need a couple of catalysts to push the price to hit any of these predicted values.
同样,X 前首席执行官 Jack Dorsey 表示,到 2030 年,比特币的价格可能会达到 100 万美元。比特币需要一些催化剂来推动价格达到这些预测值。
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