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加密貨幣企業家 Lark Davis 最近分享了一張圖表,顯示中心化交易所(CEX)上的比特幣(BTC)數量正在下降。儘管出現了一些向上波動,但圖表顯示自 2024 年 1 月以來交易所的比特幣儲備持續下降。
Crypto entrepreneur Lark Davis recently shared a chart showing that the amount of Bitcoin (BTC) on centralized exchanges (CEXs) is dropping.
加密貨幣企業家 Lark Davis 最近分享了一張圖表,顯示中心化交易所(CEX)上的比特幣(BTC)數量正在下降。
Although there were a few upward fluctuations, the chart showed a consistent fall in exchanges’ Bitcoin reserves since January 2024.
儘管出現了一些向上波動,但圖表顯示自 2024 年 1 月以來交易所的比特幣儲備持續下降。
Insights gathered from blockchain analytics platform CryptoQuant suggest that the plunge in exchange reserves corresponds with a surge in the coin’s price. Notably, the price of Bitcoin was $65,489.25 at the time of writing, having increased by 1.66% in the last 24 hours. To complement the upswing, the coin’s 7-day price gains have soared by 3.11%.
從區塊鏈分析平台 CryptoQuant 收集的見解表明,外匯儲備的暴跌與代幣價格的飆升相對應。值得注意的是,截至撰寫本文時,比特幣的價格為 65,489.25 美元,在過去 24 小時內上漲了 1.66%。為了配合上漲,該代幣的 7 天價格漲幅飆升了 3.11%。
Consistent Drop in Bitcoin Exchange Reserves
比特幣交易儲備持續下降
Bitcoin exchange reserves dropped from approximately 3 million BTC in January to around 2.6 million BTC. Market observers noted that this level was last seen in November 2018.
比特幣交易儲備從 1 月的約 300 萬比特幣下降至約 260 萬比特幣。市場觀察家指出,上次出現這一水準是在 2018 年 11 月。
An even larger drop was discovered in the yearly trend. About 430,000 BTC had reduced the reserves since the beginning of the year. There is a pattern to the Bitcoin reserve slump from 3 million BTC to 2.6 million BTC when the coin’s price was around $43,000.
在年度趨勢中發現了更大的下降。自年初以來已減少了約43萬枚BTC的儲備。當比特幣價格約為 43,000 美元時,比特幣儲備從 300 萬比特幣暴跌至 260 萬比特幣,這是一種規則。
However, amid the visible price surge, the exchange reserve dropped to 2.6 million BTC. This corresponds with more than a 13.3% drop in Bitcoin within nine months.
然而,在價格明顯上漲的情況下,外匯存底下降至 260 萬比特幣。這相當於比特幣在 9 個月內下跌了 13.3% 以上。
Bitcoin Investors Explore Alternative Custody Options
比特幣投資者探索替代託管選擇
The plunge indicates that investors are pulling out their coins from exchanges. They are choosing to HODL, which is a unique trend in an accumulation phase.
暴跌表明投資者正在從交易所撤出他們的代幣。他們選擇持有,這是累積階段的獨特趨勢。
These investors are likely opting for long-term storage in personal wallets. They are leaning towards long-term holding rather than short-term trading.
這些投資者可能會選擇長期儲存在個人錢包中。他們傾向於長期持有而不是短期交易。
Often, this action is seen as a demonstration of strong confidence in the flagship cryptocurrency’s future price potential. It immediately reduces the coin’s supply available for trading. Potentially this sets the stage for a supply squeeze and a price surge.
通常,這項行動被視為對旗艦加密貨幣未來價格潛力的強烈信心的表現。它立即減少了可用於交易的代幣供應量。這可能會導致供應緊張和價格飆升。
The accumulation of Bitcoin by spot Bitcoin ETF products is also a major factor driving the reserve crunch.
現貨比特幣ETF產品累積比特幣也是推動準備金緊縮的一大因素。
Catalysts And Predictions For Bitcoin Price
比特幣價格的催化劑和預測
In terms of Bitcoin price, the expectation was that the entrance of institutional investors through Bitcoin ETFs would boost it. For a moment, the coin’s price hit $73,750 for the first time in mid-March, but it was short-lived.
就比特幣價格而言,預計機構投資者透過比特幣ETF進入將提振比特幣價格。一度,該幣的價格在 3 月中旬首次觸及 73,750 美元,但這只是曇花一現。
Bitcoin has not reached that level again in the last six months. However, crypto market analysts are hopeful that the coin will meet its next bull run before the end of this year.
過去六個月裡,比特幣並未再次達到這個水準。然而,加密貨幣市場分析師希望該代幣能夠在今年年底前迎來下一次牛市。
Renowned YouTuber and analyst PlanB predicted that BTC might reach six figures before 2024 ends. He sees the coin surpassing $100,000 in value this year. He based his forecast on the recovery of mining revenue after the 2024 halving event.
著名 YouTuber 和分析師 PlanB 預測 BTC 可能在 2024 年底前達到六位數。他預計今年這枚硬幣的價值將超過 10 萬美元。他的預測是基於 2024 年減半事件後挖礦收入的恢復。
Also, his Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model suggested that the firstborn digital currency may hit a price target of $500,000 within the next four years. The analyst predicts that the top of the Bitcoin bull market will be in 2025. According to him, there will be exponential returns until at least 50% adoption.
此外,他的 Stock-to-Flow (S2F) 模型表明,第一個誕生的數位貨幣可能會在未來四年內達到 50 萬美元的價格目標。這位分析師預測,比特幣牛市將於 2025 年見頂。
Similarly, Jack Dorsey, the former CEO of X, suggested that the price of Bitcoin could hit $1 million by 2030. Bitcoin will need a couple of catalysts to push the price to hit any of these predicted values.
同樣,X 前執行長 Jack Dorsey 表示,到 2030 年,比特幣的價格可能會達到 100 萬美元。
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