加密货币分析师 Dave the Wave 表示，比特币 (BTC) 延迟进入周期中最具爆炸性的阶段既有优点也有缺点

化名分析师 Dave the Wave 在社交媒体平台 X 上告诉 147,700 名粉丝，比特币可能会在更长一段时间内保持技术看涨趋势

A popular crypto analyst believes that Bitcoin’s (BTC) delay in entering the most volatile phase of the cycle has both advantages and disadvantages.

一位受欢迎的加密货币分析师认为，比特币（BTC）延迟进入周期中最不稳定的阶段既有优点也有缺点。

Pseudonymous analyst Dave the Wave tells 147,700 followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin may continue a technical bullish trend for some time before eventually rising sharply.

化名分析师 Dave the Wave 在社交媒体平台 X 上告诉 147,700 名粉丝，比特币可能会在一段时间内继续技术看涨趋势，然后最终大幅上涨。

“The simple fact is that the BTC price has not risen sharply yet. This is both negative and positive. It is negative in the sense that those higher prices may not come in the here and now (is this really a negative?), and positive in the sense that the price is still technically stable with higher prices at a later date, compared to if the spike had come sooner.

“一个简单的事实是，比特币价格尚未大幅上涨。这既是消极的，也是积极的。它是负面的，因为这些更高的价格可能不会出现在此时此地（这真的是负面的吗？），而积极的意思是，与如果相比，价格在技术上仍然稳定，并且在以后的价格更高。高峰来得更早。

With the number rising rapidly, this served to over-excite the market. There is an element of ‘money illusion’ at work in this in my opinion. Keep in mind also that the price can always turn on a dime to the upside despite the sober technicals.”

随着数字的迅速上升，这使得市场过度兴奋。我认为其中存在“金钱幻觉”的因素。还要记住，尽管技术面清醒，但价格总是可能会大幅上涨。”

Dave the Wave uses his version of logarithmic growth curves (LGCs), which aim to forecast the highs and lows of Bitcoin's market cycle while filtering out short-term volatility.

Dave the Wave 使用他的对数增长曲线（LGC）版本，旨在预测比特币市场周期的高点和低点，同时过滤掉短期波动。

Examining the trader's chart, he suggests that the LGC support levels could be tested around the $70,000 mark while the overall bullish trend continues.

通过检查交易员的图表，他建议 LGC 支撑位可能会在 70,000 美元大关附近受到测试，同时整体看涨趋势仍在继续。

He also notes that Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase until it can break out of a key trendline.

他还指出，比特币目前正处于盘整阶段，直到它能够突破关键趋势线。

“BTC consolidation the order of the day until the downward diagonal can be broken. Technically, still very solid.”

“比特币盘整是当天的顺序，直到向下对角线被打破。从技术上来说，仍然非常扎实。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $92,338, down 13.2% over the past two weeks.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 92,338 美元，过去两周下跌 13.2%。