加密貨幣分析師 Dave the Wave 表示，比特幣 (BTC) 延遲進入周期中最具爆炸性的階段既有優點也有缺點

化名分析師 Dave the Wave 在社群媒體平台 X 上告訴 147,700 名粉絲，比特幣可能會在更長一段時間內保持技術看漲趨勢

A popular crypto analyst believes that Bitcoin’s (BTC) delay in entering the most volatile phase of the cycle has both advantages and disadvantages.

一位受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師認為，比特幣（BTC）延遲進入周期中最不穩定的階段既有優點也有缺點。

Pseudonymous analyst Dave the Wave tells 147,700 followers on the social media platform X that Bitcoin may continue a technical bullish trend for some time before eventually rising sharply.

化名分析師 Dave the Wave 在社群媒體平台 X 上告訴 147,700 名粉絲，比特幣可能會在一段時間內繼續技術看漲趨勢，然後最終大幅上漲。

“The simple fact is that the BTC price has not risen sharply yet. This is both negative and positive. It is negative in the sense that those higher prices may not come in the here and now (is this really a negative?), and positive in the sense that the price is still technically stable with higher prices at a later date, compared to if the spike had come sooner.

「一個簡單的事實是，比特幣價格尚未大幅上漲。這既有消極的一面，也有積極的一面。它是負面的，因為這些更高的價格可能不會出現在此時此地（這真的是負面的嗎？），而積極的意思是，與如果相比，價格在技術上仍然穩定，並且在以後的價格更高。

With the number rising rapidly, this served to over-excite the market. There is an element of ‘money illusion’ at work in this in my opinion. Keep in mind also that the price can always turn on a dime to the upside despite the sober technicals.”

隨著數字的迅速上升，這使得市場過度興奮。我認為其中存在著「金錢幻覺」的因素。還要記住，儘管技術面清醒，但價格總是可能會大幅上漲。

Dave the Wave uses his version of logarithmic growth curves (LGCs), which aim to forecast the highs and lows of Bitcoin's market cycle while filtering out short-term volatility.

Dave the Wave 使用他的對數成長曲線（LGC）版本，旨在預測比特幣市場週期的高點和低點，同時過濾掉短期波動。

Examining the trader's chart, he suggests that the LGC support levels could be tested around the $70,000 mark while the overall bullish trend continues.

透過檢查交易員的圖表，他建議 LGC 支撐位可能會在 70,000 美元大關附近受到測試，同時整體看漲趨勢仍在繼續。

He also notes that Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase until it can break out of a key trendline.

他還指出，比特幣目前正處於盤整階段，直到它能夠突破關鍵趨勢線。

“BTC consolidation the order of the day until the downward diagonal can be broken. Technically, still very solid.”

「比特幣盤整是當天的順序，直到向下對角線被打破。從技術上來說，仍然非常紮實。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $92,338, down 13.2% over the past two weeks.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 92,338 美元，過去兩週下跌 13.2%。