比特币（BTC）继续在看跌领土上进行交易，延长了最近的损失，80,000美元的水平作为关键支持

比特币（BTC）继续在看跌领土上进行交易，扩大了最近的损失，而80,000美元的水平作为主要支持，可以阻止进一步下降

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade in bearish territory, extending its recent losses. As the cryptocurrency slides deeper into a correction from its all-time high of $108,000, reached in late January, key support levels at $80,000 are emerging.

比特币（BTC）的价格继续在看跌领土上进行贸易，从而扩大了其最近的损失。由于加密货币从1月下旬达到的108,000美元的历史最高高点越来越深入，重点支持水平为80,000美元。

This comes amid an alarming capital outflow from crypto markets, with investors focusing on identifying a potential price bottom for Bitcoin before any rebound.

这是由于加密货币市场令人震惊的资本流出，投资者专注于在任何反弹之前确定比特币的潜在价格最低点。

To shed light on when Bitcoin could find a floor, Finbold consulted xAI’s latest artificial intelligence (AI) model, Grok 3. According to the AI model, Bitcoin’s correction is nearing its final stages, with a potential bottom forming in the coming weeks.

为了阐明比特币何时可以找到地板，Finbold咨询​​了XAI的最新人工智能（AI）模型，Grok 3。根据AI模型，比特币的校正即将接近最后阶段，未来几周的潜在底层形成。

The downturn follows Bitcoin’s all-time high of $108,000 in late January. Grok 3 noted that historically, BTC experiences corrections of 20% to 40% after parabolic rallies, making the current pullback a typical occurrence.

经济低迷是比特币在1月下旬有史以来108,000美元的历史最高点。 Grok 3指出，从历史上看，BTC经历了抛物线会议后的20％至40％的校正，这使得当前的回调是典型的发生。

In this context, the model highlighted key psychological and historical support levels, identifying $80,000 as a critical floor. In a worst-case scenario, Bitcoin could dip to the $74,000 and $78,000 range.

在这种情况下，该模型强调了关键的心理和历史支持水平，将80,000美元确定为关键楼层。在最坏的情况下，比特币可以降至74,000美元和78,000美元。

When will BTC bottom?

BTC什么时候底部？

Bitcoin’s post-halving cycle also influenced Grok 3’s forecast. Following the April 2024 halving, historical trends suggest that bull markets typically peak 12 to 18 months later, implying a potential top between April and October 2025.

比特币的备用后周期也影响了Grok 3的预测。在2024年4月减半之后，历史趋势表明，牛市通常在12到18个月后峰值峰值，这意味着2025年4月至2025年10月之间的潜在顶部。

Given this pattern, Grok 3 suggested the current decline is a mid-cycle correction rather than the start of a prolonged bear market.

鉴于这种模式，Grok 3表明当前的下降是中期的校正，而不是长时间熊市的开始。

Based on past cycles, the AI model estimates Bitcoin could bottom out between mid-March and early April, likely stabilizing in the $78,000 and $82,000 range before consolidating.

根据过去的周期，AI模型估计比特币可能在3月中旬至4月初之间触底，在合并之前可能会稳定在78,000美元和82,000美元之间。

However, external factors such as regulatory changes, institutional demand, and macroeconomic conditions could influence this timeline.

但是，诸如监管变化，机构需求和宏观经济状况之类的外部因素可能会影响这一时间表。

A similar bottom range has been set by cryptocurrency analyst CrypNuevo, who noted that the asset is likely to rebound in March, as per a Finbold report.

根据Finbold的报告，加密货币分析师Crypnuevo也设定了类似的底部范围，他指出，该资产很可能在3月反弹。

Bitcoin in a macro trend shift

宏观趋势转移中的比特币

Indeed, technical indicators suggest Bitcoin is flashing signs of a significant macro trend shift based on the Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator.

实际上，技术指标表明，基于牛市市场周期指标，比特币正在闪烁宏观趋势变化的迹象。

According to data by CryptoQuant, shared by on-chain cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez on March 2, Bitcoin has entered an extreme bearish phase, with the indicator dipping below zero, a sign of deeper corrections.

根据CryptoQuant的数据，链链加密货币分析师Ali Martinez在3月2日共享，比特币进入了极端的看跌阶段，指标下降到零以下，这是更深层校正的标志。

The data indicates that Bitcoin’s price has been declining, with the indicator transitioning from early bull and bear phases to extreme bear. This implies that BTC is experiencing a notable downturn, potentially testing lower support levels.

数据表明，比特币的价格一直在下降，指标从早期的公牛和熊阶段过渡到极端熊。这意味着BTC正在经历着众所周知的低迷，潜在地测试了较低的支持水平。

The indicator tracks Bitcoin’s 365-day and 30-day moving averages (MA) to determine broader market trends. When the value moves below zero, the market enters a prolonged bearish phase or the late stages of a correction before a recovery begins.

该指标跟踪比特币的365天和30天移动平均（MA），以确定更广泛的市场趋势。当价值移动到零以下时，市场将进入延长的看跌阶段或恢复开始之前的校正后期阶段。

Bitcoin on the verge of a rebound

比特币在反弹的边缘

Another CryptoQuant data set suggests Bitcoin could be on the verge of a rebound. Its on-chain trader realized loss margin has hit -14%, surpassing the typical -12% threshold that has marked market bottoms before a recovery.

另一个加密数据集表明比特币可能处于反弹的边缘。它的链交易员意识到损失利润率达到了-14％，超过了典型的-12％阈值，该阈值在恢复之前已经明显市场底部。

Bitcoin’s realized price is $99,250, while its current price hovers around $85,000, leaving many short-term holders underwater. However, past data shows that such capitulation often precedes strong rebounds as sellers exhaust themselves and demand picks up.

比特币的实现价格为99,250美元，目前的价格徘徊在85,000美元左右，使许多短期持有人在水下造成。但是，过去的数据表明，随着卖家的耗尽并要求提高，这种投降通常在强劲的篮板之前。

If history repeats, Bitcoin could soon stage a sharp reversal, potentially retesting previous highs. Traders will be watching closely for confirmation of a recovery.

如果历史重复，比特币很快就会出现急剧的逆转，可能会重新测量以前的高点。交易者将密切关注以确认恢复。

Meanwhile, on-chain data also hint at what to expect from Bitcoin. Specifically, Bitcoin’s active addresses have hit a three-month high, signaling a possible market capitulation and price rebound.

同时，链链数据还暗示了比特币的期望。具体而言，比特币的主动地址达到了三个月的高度，这表明可能的市场投降和价格回弹。

According to Glassnode data, shared by cryptocurrency analytics firm TokenPulse, active addresses surged past 912,300 on February 28, a level last seen on December 16, 2024, when BTC traded near $105,000.

根据Cryptocurrency Analytics公司Tokenpulse共享的GlassNode数据，Active地址在2月28日飙升了912,300，这是2024年12月16日，BTC交易接近105,000美元的水平。

In this case, spikes in on-chain activity are often associated with market tops and bottoms, as panicked sellers and opportunistic buyers engage in trades. While not a definitive reversal signal, the surge suggests Bitcoin may be at a pivotal moment, with a rebound being the next possible move from here.

在这种情况下，随着恐慌的卖方和机会主义买家从事行业，链上活动的峰值通常与市场顶部和底部有关。虽然不是明确的逆转信号，但激增表明比特币可能处于关键时刻，而反弹是从这里开始的下一个可能移动。

Bitcoin price analysis

比特币价格分析

As of press time, Bitcoin is trading at $85,867, gaining 1% in the past 24 hours. However, on the weekly timeframe, the digital currency has plunged over 10%.

截至发稿时，比特币的交易价格为85,867美元，在过去24小时内收益1％。但是，在每周的时间范围内，数字货币跌幅超过10％。

As things stand, Bitcoin’s $80,000 support remains critical to preventing further declines, while $90,000 serves as

就目前而言，比特币的80,000美元支持对于防止进一步下降仍然至关重要，而90,000美元则是