比特幣（BTC）繼續在看跌領土上進行交易，延長了最近的損失，80,000美元的水平作為關鍵支持

比特幣（BTC）繼續在看跌領土上進行交易，擴大了最近的損失，而80,000美元的水平作為主要支持，可以阻止進一步下降

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade in bearish territory, extending its recent losses. As the cryptocurrency slides deeper into a correction from its all-time high of $108,000, reached in late January, key support levels at $80,000 are emerging.

比特幣（BTC）的價格繼續在看跌領土上進行貿易，從而擴大了其最近的損失。由於加密貨幣從1月下旬達到的108,000美元的歷史最高高點越來越深入，重點支持水平為80,000美元。

This comes amid an alarming capital outflow from crypto markets, with investors focusing on identifying a potential price bottom for Bitcoin before any rebound.

這是由於加密貨幣市場令人震驚的資本流出，投資者專注於在任何反彈之前確定比特幣的潛在價格最低點。

To shed light on when Bitcoin could find a floor, Finbold consulted xAI’s latest artificial intelligence (AI) model, Grok 3. According to the AI model, Bitcoin’s correction is nearing its final stages, with a potential bottom forming in the coming weeks.

為了闡明比特幣何時可以找到地板，Finbold諮詢​​了XAI的最新人工智能（AI）模型，Grok 3。根據AI模型，比特幣的校正即將接近最後階段，未來幾週的潛在底層形成。

The downturn follows Bitcoin’s all-time high of $108,000 in late January. Grok 3 noted that historically, BTC experiences corrections of 20% to 40% after parabolic rallies, making the current pullback a typical occurrence.

經濟低迷是比特幣在1月下旬有史以來108,000美元的歷史最高點。 Grok 3指出，從歷史上看，BTC經歷了拋物線會議後的20％至40％的校正，這使得當前的回調是典型的發生。

In this context, the model highlighted key psychological and historical support levels, identifying $80,000 as a critical floor. In a worst-case scenario, Bitcoin could dip to the $74,000 and $78,000 range.

在這種情況下，該模型強調了關鍵的心理和歷史支持水平，將80,000美元確定為關鍵樓層。在最壞的情況下，比特幣可以降至74,000美元和78,000美元。

When will BTC bottom?

BTC什麼時候底部？

Bitcoin’s post-halving cycle also influenced Grok 3’s forecast. Following the April 2024 halving, historical trends suggest that bull markets typically peak 12 to 18 months later, implying a potential top between April and October 2025.

比特幣的備用後周期也影響了Grok 3的預測。在2024年4月減半之後，歷史趨勢表明，牛市通常在12到18個月後峰值峰值，這意味著2025年4月至2025年10月之間的潛在頂部。

Given this pattern, Grok 3 suggested the current decline is a mid-cycle correction rather than the start of a prolonged bear market.

鑑於這種模式，Grok 3表明當前的下降是中期的校正，而不是長時間熊市的開始。

Based on past cycles, the AI model estimates Bitcoin could bottom out between mid-March and early April, likely stabilizing in the $78,000 and $82,000 range before consolidating.

根據過去的周期，AI模型估計比特幣可能在3月中旬至4月初之間觸底，在合併之前可能會穩定在78,000美元和82,000美元之間。

However, external factors such as regulatory changes, institutional demand, and macroeconomic conditions could influence this timeline.

但是，諸如監管變化，機構需求和宏觀經濟狀況之類的外部因素可能會影響這一時間表。

A similar bottom range has been set by cryptocurrency analyst CrypNuevo, who noted that the asset is likely to rebound in March, as per a Finbold report.

根據Finbold的報告，加密貨幣分析師Crypnuevo也設定了類似的底部範圍，他指出，該資產很可能在3月反彈。

Bitcoin in a macro trend shift

宏觀趨勢轉移中的比特幣

Indeed, technical indicators suggest Bitcoin is flashing signs of a significant macro trend shift based on the Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator.

實際上，技術指標表明，基於牛市市場週期指標，比特幣正在閃爍宏觀趨勢變化的跡象。

According to data by CryptoQuant, shared by on-chain cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez on March 2, Bitcoin has entered an extreme bearish phase, with the indicator dipping below zero, a sign of deeper corrections.

根據CryptoQuant的數據，鍊鍊加密貨幣分析師Ali Martinez在3月2日共享，比特幣進入了極端的看跌階段，指標下降到零以下，這是更深層校正的標誌。

The data indicates that Bitcoin’s price has been declining, with the indicator transitioning from early bull and bear phases to extreme bear. This implies that BTC is experiencing a notable downturn, potentially testing lower support levels.

數據表明，比特幣的價格一直在下降，指標從早期的公牛和熊階段過渡到極端熊。這意味著BTC正在經歷著眾所周知的低迷，潛在地測試了較低的支持水平。

The indicator tracks Bitcoin’s 365-day and 30-day moving averages (MA) to determine broader market trends. When the value moves below zero, the market enters a prolonged bearish phase or the late stages of a correction before a recovery begins.

該指標跟踪比特幣的365天和30天移動平均（MA），以確定更廣泛的市場趨勢。當價值移動到零以下時，市場將進入延長的看跌階段或恢復開始之前的校正後期階段。

Bitcoin on the verge of a rebound

比特幣在反彈的邊緣

Another CryptoQuant data set suggests Bitcoin could be on the verge of a rebound. Its on-chain trader realized loss margin has hit -14%, surpassing the typical -12% threshold that has marked market bottoms before a recovery.

另一個加密數據集表明比特幣可能處於反彈的邊緣。它的鏈交易員意識到損失利潤率達到了-14％，超過了典型的-12％閾值，該閾值在恢復之前已經明顯市場底部。

Bitcoin’s realized price is $99,250, while its current price hovers around $85,000, leaving many short-term holders underwater. However, past data shows that such capitulation often precedes strong rebounds as sellers exhaust themselves and demand picks up.

比特幣的實現價格為99,250美元，目前的價格徘徊在85,000美元左右，使許多短期持有人在水下造成。但是，過去的數據表明，隨著賣家的耗盡並要求提高，這種投降通常在強勁的籃板之前。

If history repeats, Bitcoin could soon stage a sharp reversal, potentially retesting previous highs. Traders will be watching closely for confirmation of a recovery.

如果歷史重複，比特幣很快就會出現急劇的逆轉，可能會重新測量以前的高點。交易者將密切關注以確認恢復。

Meanwhile, on-chain data also hint at what to expect from Bitcoin. Specifically, Bitcoin’s active addresses have hit a three-month high, signaling a possible market capitulation and price rebound.

同時，鍊鍊數據還暗示了比特幣的期望。具體而言，比特幣的主動地址達到了三個月的高度，這表明可能的市場投降和價格回彈。

According to Glassnode data, shared by cryptocurrency analytics firm TokenPulse, active addresses surged past 912,300 on February 28, a level last seen on December 16, 2024, when BTC traded near $105,000.

根據Cryptocurrency Analytics公司Tokenpulse共享的GlassNode數據，Active地址在2月28日飆升了912,300，這是2024年12月16日，BTC交易接近105,000美元的水平。

In this case, spikes in on-chain activity are often associated with market tops and bottoms, as panicked sellers and opportunistic buyers engage in trades. While not a definitive reversal signal, the surge suggests Bitcoin may be at a pivotal moment, with a rebound being the next possible move from here.

在這種情況下，隨著恐慌的賣方和機會主義買家從事行業，鏈上活動的峰值通常與市場頂部和底部有關。雖然不是明確的逆轉信號，但激增表明比特幣可能處於關鍵時刻，而反彈是從這裡開始的下一個可能移動。

Bitcoin price analysis

比特幣價格分析

As of press time, Bitcoin is trading at $85,867, gaining 1% in the past 24 hours. However, on the weekly timeframe, the digital currency has plunged over 10%.

截至發稿時，比特幣的交易價格為85,867美元，在過去24小時內收益1％。但是，在每週的時間範圍內，數字貨幣跌幅超過10％。

As things stand, Bitcoin’s $80,000 support remains critical to preventing further declines, while $90,000 serves as

就目前而言，比特幣的80,000美元支持對於防止進一步下降仍然至關重要，而90,000美元則是