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在新的策略会议中,Cowen 考察了以太坊的比特币对(ETH/BTC),该货币对通常被用作衡量山寨币实力的指标。
Analyst Benjamin Cowen is closely watching Bitcoin (BTC) and a key resistance level that could determine the fate of a potential Q4 rally.
分析师本杰明·考恩(Benjamin Cowen)正在密切关注比特币(BTC)以及可能决定第四季度潜在反弹命运的关键阻力位。
In a new strategy session, Cowen examines Ethereum in its Bitcoin pair (ETH/BTC), which is widely used to gauge altcoin strength.
在新的策略会议中,Cowen 检查了以太坊的比特币对(ETH/BTC),该货币对广泛用于衡量山寨币的强度。
Cowen believes that ETH/BTC is bottoming out, but he anticipates that Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) will continue to rise, possibly reaching the 60% mark.
Cowen认为ETH/BTC正在触底,但他预计比特币主导地位(BTC.D)将继续上升,可能达到60%大关。
He adds that many altcoins will capitulate against Bitcoin before BTC.D tops out.
他补充说,在 BTC.D 见顶之前,许多山寨币将向比特币屈服。
“I do think dominance is going to 60% in Q4 and that means that I think that alt/Bitcoin pairs will take that plunge. Of course the question is it coming on a Bitcoin rally or is it coming on a Bitcoin dump. Last cycle it basically occurred on a combination of both.”
“我确实认为第四季度的主导地位将达到 60%,这意味着我认为替代品/比特币对将大幅下跌。当然,问题是它是在比特币上涨时出现还是在比特币下跌时出现。上个周期基本上是两者结合发生的。”
At the time of this writing, BTC.D is at 58%.
截至撰写本文时,BTC.D 的利用率为 58%。
The analyst also points out the $63,000 to $64,000 zone (roughly where the 200-day moving average lies) as a crucial resistance range that BTC must penetrate to initiate a genuine rally.
该分析师还指出,63,000 美元至 64,000 美元区域(大致位于 200 日移动平均线所在位置)是 BTC 必须突破的关键阻力区间,才能引发真正的反弹。
“So I would say that $63,000 to $64,000 is going to be the big level. If Bitcoin can get back through that and put in a higher high again then, it definitely raises the odds of Bitcoin continuing to go up in Q4.
“所以我想说 63,000 美元到 64,000 美元将是一个大水平。如果比特币能够度过这一难关并再次创下更高的高点,那么无疑会增加比特币在第四季度继续上涨的可能性。
If Bitcoin just finds resistance at $63,000 to $64,000 again, then there’s more evidence to suggest that it’s just playing out like it did after rate cuts last cycle where you get a couple weeks rally, you get an impressive rally but the market just sells off afterwards because it’s not enough.”
如果比特币再次在 63,000 美元至 64,000 美元之间遇到阻力,那么有更多证据表明,它的表现就像上个周期降息后那样,你会经历几周的反弹,你会得到令人印象深刻的反弹,但随后市场就会抛售因为这还不够。”
Bitcoin is trading at $63,824 at the time of writing, up almost 3% for the day.
截至撰写本文时,比特币交易价格为 63,824 美元,当天上涨近 3%。
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