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在新的策略會議中,Cowen 考察了以太坊的比特幣對(ETH/BTC),該貨幣對通常被用作衡量山寨幣實力的指標。
Analyst Benjamin Cowen is closely watching Bitcoin (BTC) and a key resistance level that could determine the fate of a potential Q4 rally.
分析師本傑明·考恩(Benjamin Cowen)正在密切關注比特幣(BTC)以及可能決定第四季度潛在反彈命運的關鍵阻力位。
In a new strategy session, Cowen examines Ethereum in its Bitcoin pair (ETH/BTC), which is widely used to gauge altcoin strength.
在新的策略會議中,Cowen 檢查了以太坊的比特幣對(ETH/BTC),該貨幣對廣泛用於衡量山寨幣的強度。
Cowen believes that ETH/BTC is bottoming out, but he anticipates that Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) will continue to rise, possibly reaching the 60% mark.
Cowen認為ETH/BTC正在觸底,但他預計比特幣主導地位(BTC.D)將繼續上升,可能達到60%大關。
He adds that many altcoins will capitulate against Bitcoin before BTC.D tops out.
他補充說,在 BTC.D 見頂之前,許多山寨幣將向比特幣屈服。
“I do think dominance is going to 60% in Q4 and that means that I think that alt/Bitcoin pairs will take that plunge. Of course the question is it coming on a Bitcoin rally or is it coming on a Bitcoin dump. Last cycle it basically occurred on a combination of both.”
「我確實認為第四季度的主導地位將達到 60%,這意味著我認為替代品/比特幣對將大幅下跌。當然,問題是它是在比特幣上漲時出現還是在比特幣下跌時出現。上個週期基本上是兩者結合發生的。
At the time of this writing, BTC.D is at 58%.
截至撰寫本文時,BTC.D 的使用率為 58%。
The analyst also points out the $63,000 to $64,000 zone (roughly where the 200-day moving average lies) as a crucial resistance range that BTC must penetrate to initiate a genuine rally.
該分析師還指出,63,000 美元至 64,000 美元區域(大致位於 200 日移動平均線所在位置)是 BTC 必須突破的關鍵阻力區間,才能引發真正的反彈。
“So I would say that $63,000 to $64,000 is going to be the big level. If Bitcoin can get back through that and put in a higher high again then, it definitely raises the odds of Bitcoin continuing to go up in Q4.
「所以我想說 63,000 美元到 64,000 美元將是一個大水平。如果比特幣能夠度過這一難關並再次創下更高的高點,那麼無疑會增加比特幣在第四季度繼續上漲的可能性。
If Bitcoin just finds resistance at $63,000 to $64,000 again, then there’s more evidence to suggest that it’s just playing out like it did after rate cuts last cycle where you get a couple weeks rally, you get an impressive rally but the market just sells off afterwards because it’s not enough.”
如果比特幣再次在63,000 美元至64,000 美元之間遇到阻力,那麼有更多證據表明,它的表現就像上個週期降息後那樣,你會經歷幾週的反彈,你會得到令人印象深刻的反彈,但隨後市場就會拋售因為這還不夠。
Bitcoin is trading at $63,824 at the time of writing, up almost 3% for the day.
截至撰寫本文時,比特幣交易價格為 63,824 美元,當天上漲近 3%。
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