比特币（BTC）公牛试图通过在周末保持价格高于200天简单的移动平均值（84,899美元）来卷土重来。

BitGET研究总分析师Ryan Lee告诉Cointelegraph，本周比特币需要关闭85,000美元以上的价格，以表示强度并“防止下降到76,000美元”。

The cryptocurrency markets have seen a rocky start to the week as tariff woes continue to weigh on both traditional and crypto traders.

加密货币市场在本周的艰难开始时，关税困扰继续对传统和加密交易者施加压力。

Nansen research analyst Nicolai Sondergaard told the Chainreaction daily X show that the markets may remain largely pressured until April 2, when the U.S. and China are set to meet for trade talks.

Nansen Research分析师Nicolai Sondergaard告诉ChainReaction Daily X表明，直到4月2日美国和中国将开会进行贸易谈判，市场可能会在很大程度上受到压力。

"If the tariffs get dropped, I think that's the biggest driver at this moment to be honest, considering the fact that we're moving into April second for the next round of trade talks and also the fact that, obviously, the market is pricing in some optimism at least on the short-term futures market," Sondergaard stated.

Sonderga说：“说实话，我认为这是目前最大的推动力，因为考虑到我们正在进入下一轮贸易谈判的四月第二，而且显然，显然，至少在短期期货市场上，市场在某些乐观范围内都在定价。”

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

加密市场数据每日视图。资料来源：COIN360

The threat of tariffs has been a major talking point in recent days, with both traditional and crypto markets pulling back sharply.

最近几天，关税的威胁一直是一个主要的话题，传统和加密货币市场都急剧退缩。

However, while optimism is building for a no-tariff scenario, several economists have warned that such a move would not necessarily be welcomed by all.

但是，尽管乐观情绪正在为无关方案而建立，但一些经济学家警告说，这样的举动并不一定会受到所有人的欢迎。

Speaking at the Spring Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank, Paul Krugman said that tariffs are "generally a bad thing."

保罗·克鲁格曼（Paul Krugman）在国际货币基金组织（IMF）和世界银行的春季会议上说，关税通常是一件坏事。

"They raise prices for consumers and reduce output and employment. But they are especially bad in the current instance. The threatened escalation of the trade war comes at a time when the global economy is already slowing sharply."

“他们提高了消费者的价格并降低了产出和就业。但是在当前情况下它们尤其糟糕。贸易战争的威胁升级是在全球经济已经急剧放缓的时候。”

Bitcoin price analysis

比特币价格分析

Bitcoin is struggling to rise and sustain above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) but is managing to keep the bears at bay, which is increasing the possibility of a breakout.

比特币正在努力上升和维持超过20天的指数移动平均线（EMA），但设法使熊陷入困境，这正在增加突破的可能性。

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

BTC/USDT每日图表。资料来源：TradingView

That increases the possibility of a break above the 20-day EMA. If that happens, the BTC/USDT pair could rise to the 50-day SMA and, after that, to $95,000.

这增加了突破超过20天EMA的可能性。如果发生这种情况，BTC/USDT对可能会增加到50天的SMA，此后，达到95,000美元。

Conversely, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA and breaks below $81,000, it suggests that the bulls have given up. That could sink the pair to $80,000 and, subsequently, to $76,606. Buyers are expected to defend the $76,606 level because a break below it may deepen the correction. There is strong support at $73,777, but if the level falls, the next stop could be $67,000.

相反，如果价格从20天的EMA降低，并在81,000美元以下中断了，这表明公牛已经放弃了。这可能会使这对夫妇降至80,000美元，随后将其降至76,606美元。预计买家有望为76,606美元的水平辩护，因为休息时间低于它的休息可能会加深更正。有强大的支持为$ 73,777，但是如果水平下降，下一站可能为67,000美元。

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

BTC/USDT 4小时图表。资料来源：TradingView

Both moving averages are flattish, but the relative strength index (RSI) has risen into the positive zone, suggesting that the bullish momentum is picking up. The first sign of strength will be a close above $87,500, which could open the gates for a rise to $92,500 and, later, to $95,000.

两个移动平均值都是扁平化的，但是相对强度指数（RSI）已上升到正区域，这表明看涨的动力正在振作起来。强度的第一个迹象将是超过$ 87,500的收盘价，这可能会以92,500美元的价格上涨，然后以$ 95,000的价格打开大门。

The advantage will tilt in favor of the bears on a break and close below $80,000, which could sink the pair to solid support at $76,606.

优势将在休息时倾斜，而偏向于80,000美元以下的熊，这可能会使这对夫妇以76,606美元的价格稳定下来。

Toncoin price analysis

吨币价格分析

Toncoin (TON) turned down from the $4 level on March 20, but the bulls have managed to keep the price above the moving averages.

Toncoin（ton）从3月20日的4美元降低了售价，但公牛队设法将价格保持在移动平均值之上。

TON/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

TON/USDT每日图表。资料来源：TradingView

The moving averages are on the verge of a bullish crossover, and the RSI has jumped into the positive zone, improving the prospects of a breakout. If that happens, the TON/USDT pair could surge to $5.

移动平均值正处于看涨的跨界边缘，RSI跳入了正区域，改善了突破的前景。如果发生这种情况，那么TON/USDT对可能会增加到5美元。

This optimistic view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, which could pull the pair to $2.81 and then to the solid support at $2.73.

如果价格降低并在20天的EMA以下中断，这种乐观的视图将在短期内无效，这可能会将这对夫妇降至2.81美元，然后以2.73美元的价格达到可靠的支持。

TON/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

TON/USDT 4小时图表。资料来源：TradingView

The pair is taking support at the 20-EMA on the 4-hour chart, signaling that the bulls are buying the dips. However, the bears are expected to put up a good fight and will defend the $3.80 to $4 overhead zone. Sellers will be back in command on a break and close below $3.28, which could start a fall toward $2.90.

两人在4小时的图表上在20-EMA上获得支持，这表明公牛队正在购买蘸酱。但是，预计熊队将进行一场良好的战斗，并将捍卫$ 3.80到$ 4的间接费用。卖方将在休息时间重新登上命令，并关闭低于$ 3.28，这可能开始跌至2.90美元。

On the upside, a breakout and close above $4 signals an advantage to the buyers. There is minor resistance at $4.14, which is likely to be crossed, and the pair may run toward $4.67.

从好的方面来说，突破并在4美元以上关闭，这给买家带来了优势。 $ 4.14的次要电阻可能会越过，这对夫妇可能会兑现4.67美元。

Avalanche price analysis

雪崩价格分析

Avalanche (AVAX) has been in a strong downtrend, but the positive divergence on the RSI suggests that the bearish momentum may be weakening.

雪崩（Avax）一直处于强烈的下降趋势，但对RSI的积极差异表明看跌的动量可能正在减弱。

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Avax/USDT每日图表。资料来源：TradingView

The pair has been clinging to the 20-day EMA, increasing the likelihood of a breakout. If that happens, the pair could climb to the 50-day SMA

两人一直坚持20天的EMA，增加了突破性的可能性。如果发生这种情况，两人可能会爬到50天的SMA