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比特币(BTC)熊的景观越来越具有挑战性,市场分析师表明,到3月底,比特币的条件已经成熟。
Market conditions are making it increasingly difficult for Bitcoin (BTC) bears to maintain their stance, with some analysts suggesting that the stage is set for the cryptocurrency to reach new all-time highs by the end of March. According to Pav Hundal, lead analyst at crypto exchange Swyftx, the current macroeconomic backdrop is highly favorable for Bitcoin, largely due to a pro-crypto policy environment.
市场状况使比特币(BTC)熊无法维持其立场变得越来越困难,一些分析师表明,该阶段是为加密货币在3月底之前达到历史最高高点的阶段。 Crypto Exchange Swyftx的首席分析师PAV Hundal表示,当前的宏观经济背景对比特币非常有利,这在很大程度上是由于Pro-Crypto政策环境所致。
Hundal told Cointelegraph that volatility in Bitcoin’s price has returned to levels last seen in November, around the time of the U.S. election. This period saw Bitcoin begin a major rally post-election, where the cryptocurrency broke through its previous peak of $73,679 and went on to hit the $100,000 mark by early December. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price is hovering around $101,600, indicating a sustained high level of interest and investment in the digital currency.
Hundal告诉Cointelegraph,比特币价格的波动率已恢复到11月在美国大选时期的最后水平。在此期间,比特币开始了大选后的大型集会,加密货币在先前的73,679美元的高峰中破裂,并在12月初之前达到了100,000美元。在撰写本文时,比特币的价格徘徊在101,600美元左右,表明对数字货币的兴趣和投资持续持续。
The volatility, according to Hundal, is not just set to continue but is expected to increase, which he warns could prove devastating for both bullish and bearish speculators. This spike in volatility is seen as a precursor to significant price movements, which could lead to new highs if the market momentum continues.
根据洪达尔(Hundal)的说法,波动不仅要继续下去,而且有望增加,他警告说,这可能会证明对看涨和看跌的投机者造成毁灭性。这种波动性的峰值被视为价格大幅度变动的先驱,如果市场势头继续下去,这可能会导致新的高潮。
The narrative around Bitcoin has been heavily influenced by political outcomes, with the market reacting strongly to the results of the election. Prior to confirmation of Donald Trump’s victory, there were major liquidations in the crypto market, with Bitcoin briefly dropping below $69,000. However, post-election, the sentiment shifted drastically, largely due to optimism about a policy environment more conducive to cryptocurrency growth.
围绕比特币的叙述受到政治成果的严重影响,市场对选举的结果做出了强烈的反应。在确认唐纳德·特朗普的胜利之前,加密货币市场上有大量清算,比特币短暂降至69,000美元以下。但是,选举后,情绪急剧转移,这在很大程度上是由于对政策环境更有利于加密货币增长的乐观情绪。
Hundal described the current situation to the publication as entering “the most accommodative era of policy making in the history of crypto,” highlighting a stark contrast between the macro conditions and the somewhat subdued investor sentiment. This mismatch suggests that the market may not yet fully appreciate the potential tailwinds from policy changes that could further boost Bitcoin’s value.
洪达尔将目前的局势描述为进入“加密历史上最宽松的政策制定时代”,强调了宏观条件与某种柔和的投资者情绪之间的鲜明对比。这种不匹配表明,市场可能尚未完全理解政策变化的潜在逆风,这可能会进一步提高比特币的价值。
This optimistic outlook is supported by projections from asset management firm VanEck, which anticipates a medium-term peak for Bitcoin in the first quarter of 2025, with expectations of even higher prices by the fourth quarter of the same year. This prediction aligns with the current analysis that Bitcoin could be on the cusp of another major price surge, driven by both market conditions and policy environments.
这种乐观的前景得到了资产管理公司Vaneck的预测支持,该公司预计比特币在2025年第一季度的中期峰值,预期到同年第四季度的价格更高。这种预测与当前的分析相吻合,即比特币可能是由市场条件和政策环境驱动的另一种主要价格繁忙的风口浪尖。
As Bitcoin navigates this volatile yet potentially rewarding period, the air does indeed seem “thin” for bears, with the market signaling that the time for significant price dips may be running out. The convergence of political, economic, and market sentiment factors creates a scenario where Bitcoin’s trajectory towards new highs appears increasingly plausible, challenging those betting against its rise to reconsider their positions.
当比特币在这个动荡但潜在的有益的时期内航行时,空气确实对熊来说确实是“稀薄的”,市场信号表明,大幅度下降的时间可能会耗尽。政治,经济和市场情绪因素的融合创造了一种场景,即比特币对新高高的轨迹看起来越来越合理,这挑战了那些背叛其崛起以重新考虑其立场的人。
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