比特幣（BTC）熊面對越來越薄的空氣，因為市場信號降低時間可能正在減弱

比特幣（BTC）熊的景觀越來越具有挑戰性，市場分析師表明，到3月底，比特幣的條件已經成熟。

Market conditions are making it increasingly difficult for Bitcoin (BTC) bears to maintain their stance, with some analysts suggesting that the stage is set for the cryptocurrency to reach new all-time highs by the end of March. According to Pav Hundal, lead analyst at crypto exchange Swyftx, the current macroeconomic backdrop is highly favorable for Bitcoin, largely due to a pro-crypto policy environment.

市場狀況使比特幣（BTC）熊無法維持其立場變得越來越困難，一些分析師表明，該階段是為加密貨幣在3月底之前達到歷史最高高點的階段。 Crypto Exchange Swyftx的首席分析師PAV Hundal表示，當前的宏觀經濟背景對比特幣非常有利，這在很大程度上是由於Pro-Crypto政策環境所致。

Hundal told Cointelegraph that volatility in Bitcoin’s price has returned to levels last seen in November, around the time of the U.S. election. This period saw Bitcoin begin a major rally post-election, where the cryptocurrency broke through its previous peak of $73,679 and went on to hit the $100,000 mark by early December. At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price is hovering around $101,600, indicating a sustained high level of interest and investment in the digital currency.

Hundal告訴Cointelegraph，比特幣價格的波動率已恢復到11月在美國大選時期的最後水平。在此期間，比特幣開始了大選後的大型集會，加密貨幣在先前的73,679美元的高峰中破裂，並在12月初之前達到了100,000美元。在撰寫本文時，比特幣的價格徘徊在101,600美元左右，表明對數字貨幣的興趣和投資持續持續。

The volatility, according to Hundal, is not just set to continue but is expected to increase, which he warns could prove devastating for both bullish and bearish speculators. This spike in volatility is seen as a precursor to significant price movements, which could lead to new highs if the market momentum continues.

根據洪達爾（Hundal）的說法，波動不僅要繼續下去，而且有望增加，他警告說，這可能會證明對看漲和看跌的投機者造成毀滅性。這種波動性的峰值被視為價格大幅度變動的先驅，如果市場勢頭繼續下去，這可能會導致新的高潮。

The narrative around Bitcoin has been heavily influenced by political outcomes, with the market reacting strongly to the results of the election. Prior to confirmation of Donald Trump’s victory, there were major liquidations in the crypto market, with Bitcoin briefly dropping below $69,000. However, post-election, the sentiment shifted drastically, largely due to optimism about a policy environment more conducive to cryptocurrency growth.

圍繞比特幣的敘述受到政治成果的嚴重影響，市場對選舉的結果做出了強烈的反應。在確認唐納德·特朗普的勝利之前，加密貨幣市場上有大量清算，比特幣短暫降至69,000美元以下。但是，選舉後，情緒急劇轉移，這在很大程度上是由於對政策環境更有利於加密貨幣增長的樂觀情緒。

Hundal described the current situation to the publication as entering “the most accommodative era of policy making in the history of crypto,” highlighting a stark contrast between the macro conditions and the somewhat subdued investor sentiment. This mismatch suggests that the market may not yet fully appreciate the potential tailwinds from policy changes that could further boost Bitcoin’s value.

洪達爾將目前的局勢描述為進入“加密歷史上最寬鬆的政策制定時代”，強調了宏觀條件與某種柔和的投資者情緒之間的鮮明對比。這種不匹配表明，市場可能尚未完全理解政策變化的潛在逆風，這可能會進一步提高比特幣的價值。

This optimistic outlook is supported by projections from asset management firm VanEck, which anticipates a medium-term peak for Bitcoin in the first quarter of 2025, with expectations of even higher prices by the fourth quarter of the same year. This prediction aligns with the current analysis that Bitcoin could be on the cusp of another major price surge, driven by both market conditions and policy environments.

這種樂觀的前景得到了資產管理公司Vaneck的預測支持，該公司預計比特幣在2025年第一季度的中期峰值，預期到同年第四季度的價格更高。這種預測與當前的分析相吻合，即比特幣可能是由市場條件和政策環境驅動的另一種主要價格繁忙的風口浪尖。

As Bitcoin navigates this volatile yet potentially rewarding period, the air does indeed seem “thin” for bears, with the market signaling that the time for significant price dips may be running out. The convergence of political, economic, and market sentiment factors creates a scenario where Bitcoin’s trajectory towards new highs appears increasingly plausible, challenging those betting against its rise to reconsider their positions.

當比特幣在這個動盪但潛在的有益的時期內航行時，空氣確實對熊來說確實是“稀薄的”，市場信號表明，大幅度下降的時間可能會耗盡。政治，經濟和市場情緒因素的融合創造了一種場景，即比特幣對新高高的軌跡看起來越來越合理，這挑戰了那些背叛其崛起以重新考慮其立場的人。

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