比特币（BTC）接近果断的时刻，因为1周实现的波动崩溃了历史低谷

比特币试图超过其目前的109,114美元的历史最高点，达到2025年1月20日，并重新恢复了价格。

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has been consolidating for weeks now, and its 1-week realized volatility has fallen to 23.42%, approaching historical lows, according to a recent Glassnode tweet.

根据最近的一条GlassNode Tweet，比特币（Crypto：BTC）已经巩固了数周，其1周意识到的波动率下降到23.42％，接近历史低点。

To put this in perspective, realized volatility was last lower in October 2024 and November 2023, when it fell to 22.88% and 21.35%, respectively.

考虑到这一点，在2024年10月和2023年11月，实现的波动率持续下降，分别降至22.88％和21.35％。

“Bitcoin 1-week realized volatility has collapsed to 23.42%, nearing historical lows. In the past four years, it has dipped lower only a few times - e.g., Oct 2024 (22.88%) & Nov 2023 (21.35%). Similar compressions in the past led to major market moves:.”

“比特币1周意识到波动率已倒塌到23.42％，接近历史低点。在过去的四年中，它仅降低了几次 - 例如2024年10月（22.88％）和2023年11月（21.35％）。过去类似的压缩导致了重大市场的转变：

As Glassnode points out, such compressions usually preceded significant market moves.

正如玻璃节点指出的那样，这种压缩通常是在重大市场转移之前进行的。

Bitcoin's 1-week options implied volatility also fell to 37.39%, a multi-year low.

比特币的1周期权暗示波动率也下降到37.39％，多年低点。

“Similarly, BTC 1-week options implied volatility has fallen to 37.39%, a multi-year low. The last time IV was this low (2023, early 2024), major volatility spikes occurred. Meanwhile, long-term IV stays greater (three months at 53.1%; six months at 56.25%).”

同样，BTC 1周的选择暗示波动率下降到37.39％，低年度。上次IV是如此之低（2023年，2024年初），发生了主要的波动率。同时，长期IV保持更大（三个月为53.1％；六个月为56.25％）。”

According to Glassnode, the market is now approaching a “deciding moment” — a phase where price action is primed for uncoiling.

根据GlassNode的说法，市场现在正在接近“决定时刻”，这一阶段是为了拆除的价格行动。

If demand remains strong, Bitcoin could establish a new range above its all-time high of $109,114, the data provider said.

数据提供商说，如果需求仍然强劲，比特币可以建立一个新的范围，高于其历史最高额为109,114美元的范围。

“Bitcoin 1-week realized volatility has collapsed to 23.42%, nearing historical lows. In the past four years, it has dipped lower only a few times - e.g., Oct 2024 (22.88%) & Nov 2023 (21.35%). Similar compressions led to major market moves.”

“比特币1周意识到波动率已倒塌到23.42％，接近历史低点。在过去的四年中，它仅降低了几次 - 例如2024年10月（22.88％）和2023年11月（21.35％）。类似的压缩导致了重大市场转移。”

However, a lack of sustained buy pressure may result in a deeper distribution-driven correction, similar to prior post-ATH phases, Glassnode said.

但是，缺乏持续的买入压力可能会导致更深的分布驱动校正，类似于先前的后阶段。

“This would most likely be triggered by fear among recent buyers who see their newly acquired coins go from profitable to unrealized losses.”

“这很可能是由于最近的买家的恐惧而引起的，这些买家看到他们新获得的硬币从盈利到未实现的损失。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was up 1.49% in the last 24 hours to $98,915 after reaching an intraday high of $98,980.

在撰写本文时，在过去24小时内，比特币上涨了1.49％，达到98,980美元的盘中高点后，比特币上涨了98,915美元。

Bitcoin is currently confronting the short-term barrier at $99,067, which coincides with the daily SMA 50.

比特币目前正以99,067美元的价格面对短期障碍，这与每日SMA 50相吻合。

Bitcoin must break through this level to exit its current trading range and return to the $100,000 mark.

比特币必须突破此水平，以退出目前的交易范围并返回100,000美元。

On the other hand, a massive demand zone has formed just below the current price. According to IntoTheBlock, 2.76 million addresses bought a total of 2.1 million BTC at an average price of $97,100.

另一方面，大规模需求区的形成略低于当前价格。根据Intotheblock的数据，276万个地址以97,100美元的平均价格购买了210万BTC。

If the market faces further downward pressure, this zone may act as robust support.

如果市场面临进一步的向下压力，则该区域可能是强大的支持。