比特幣（BTC）接近果斷的時刻，因為1週實現的波動崩潰了歷史低谷

比特幣試圖超過其目前的109,114美元的歷史最高點，達到2025年1月20日，並重新恢復了價格。

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has been consolidating for weeks now, and its 1-week realized volatility has fallen to 23.42%, approaching historical lows, according to a recent Glassnode tweet.

根據最近的一條GlassNode Tweet，比特幣（Crypto：BTC）已經鞏固了數週，其1週意識到的波動率下降到23.42％，接近歷史低點。

To put this in perspective, realized volatility was last lower in October 2024 and November 2023, when it fell to 22.88% and 21.35%, respectively.

考慮到這一點，在2024年10月和2023年11月，實現的波動率持續下降，分別降至22.88％和21.35％。

“Bitcoin 1-week realized volatility has collapsed to 23.42%, nearing historical lows. In the past four years, it has dipped lower only a few times - e.g., Oct 2024 (22.88%) & Nov 2023 (21.35%). Similar compressions in the past led to major market moves:.”

“比特幣1週意識到波動率已倒塌到23.42％，接近歷史低點。在過去的四年中，它僅降低了幾次 - 例如2024年10月（22.88％）和2023年11月（21.35％）。過去類似的壓縮導致了重大市場的轉變：

As Glassnode points out, such compressions usually preceded significant market moves.

正如玻璃節點指出的那樣，這種壓縮通常是在重大市場轉移之前進行的。

Bitcoin's 1-week options implied volatility also fell to 37.39%, a multi-year low.

比特幣的1週期權暗示波動率也下降到37.39％，多年低點。

“Similarly, BTC 1-week options implied volatility has fallen to 37.39%, a multi-year low. The last time IV was this low (2023, early 2024), major volatility spikes occurred. Meanwhile, long-term IV stays greater (three months at 53.1%; six months at 56.25%).”

同樣，BTC 1週的選擇暗示波動率下降到37.39％，低年度。上次IV是如此之低（2023年，2024年初），發生了主要的波動率。同時，長期IV保持更大（三個月為53.1％；六個月為56.25％）。”

According to Glassnode, the market is now approaching a “deciding moment” — a phase where price action is primed for uncoiling.

根據GlassNode的說法，市場現在正在接近“決定時刻”，這一階段是為了拆除的價格行動。

If demand remains strong, Bitcoin could establish a new range above its all-time high of $109,114, the data provider said.

數據提供商說，如果需求仍然強勁，比特幣可以建立一個新的範圍，高於其歷史最高額為109,114美元的範圍。

“Bitcoin 1-week realized volatility has collapsed to 23.42%, nearing historical lows. In the past four years, it has dipped lower only a few times - e.g., Oct 2024 (22.88%) & Nov 2023 (21.35%). Similar compressions led to major market moves.”

“比特幣1週意識到波動率已倒塌到23.42％，接近歷史低點。在過去的四年中，它僅降低了幾次 - 例如2024年10月（22.88％）和2023年11月（21.35％）。類似的壓縮導致了重大市場轉移。”

However, a lack of sustained buy pressure may result in a deeper distribution-driven correction, similar to prior post-ATH phases, Glassnode said.

但是，缺乏持續的買入壓力可能會導致更深的分佈驅動校正，類似於先前的後階段。

“This would most likely be triggered by fear among recent buyers who see their newly acquired coins go from profitable to unrealized losses.”

“這很可能是由於最近的買家的恐懼而引起的，這些買家看到他們新獲得的硬幣從盈利到未實現的損失。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was up 1.49% in the last 24 hours to $98,915 after reaching an intraday high of $98,980.

在撰寫本文時，在過去24小時內，比特幣上漲了1.49％，達到98,980美元的盤中高點後，比特幣上漲了98,915美元。

Bitcoin is currently confronting the short-term barrier at $99,067, which coincides with the daily SMA 50.

比特幣目前正以99,067美元的價格面對短期障礙，這與每日SMA 50相吻合。

Bitcoin must break through this level to exit its current trading range and return to the $100,000 mark.

比特幣必須突破此水平，以退出目前的交易範圍並返回100,000美元。

On the other hand, a massive demand zone has formed just below the current price. According to IntoTheBlock, 2.76 million addresses bought a total of 2.1 million BTC at an average price of $97,100.

另一方面，大規模需求區的形成略低於當前價格。根據Intotheblock的數據，276萬個地址以97,100美元的平均價格購買了210萬BTC。

If the market faces further downward pressure, this zone may act as robust support.

如果市場面臨進一步的向下壓力，則該區域可能是強大的支持。