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分析师本周在美国寻找两个关键的经济数据发布。 2月27日,劳工部将发布最初的失业索赔。
Economists and market participants are keeping a close eye on two important US economic data releases this week. The Department of Labor will announce Initial Jobless Claims on February 27, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), an agency within the Department of Commerce, will publish Core PCE (personal consumption expenditures) on February 28. These events could quickly drive volatility in Bitcoin and major altcoin prices.
经济学家和市场参与者本周密切关注美国两个重要的经济数据。劳工部将于2月27日宣布最初的失业索赔,经济分析局(BEA)是商业部内的机构,将于2月28日发布核心PCE(个人消费支出)。在比特币和主要替代币价格中。
Initial Jobless Claims
最初的失业声明
Initial jobless claims highlight the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time within a specified period. This data significantly impacts US dollar and bond price movements.
最初的失业要求强调了在指定期间首次提出失业福利的个人数量。这些数据显着影响美元和债券价格变动。
As Coin Bureau notes, a lower-than-expected reading indicates a robust labor market, decreasing the likelihood of the Federal Reserve engaging in monetary easing. In such a scenario, Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader cryptocurrency market may continue their ongoing downtrend.
正如硬币局所指出的那样,较低预期的读数表明劳动力市场强劲,减少了美联储进行货币宽松的可能性。在这种情况下,比特币(BTC)和更广泛的加密货币市场可能会继续持续下降。
Conversely, an increase in the figures signals weakness in the labor sector, which the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) could interpret as a sign for a rate cut. This is typically bullish for the crypto market.
相反,这些数字的增加表示劳动力部门的弱点,联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)可以将其解释为削减税率的标志。对于加密市场来说,这通常是看好的。
According to Forbes, monetary easing or rate cuts tend to weaken the US dollar, leading to increased demand for risk-on assets, such as crypto.
根据《福布斯》的说法,货币降低或削减税率往往会削弱美元,从而增加对风险资产的需求,例如加密货币。
In the week ending February 15, the labor department reported an increase in unemployment insurance filings to 219K, as per FXStreet data. This was notably higher than the expected 214K and the previous week's 214K, with a seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate of 1.2%.
根据FXSTREET数据,在截至2月15日的一周中,劳工部报告说,失业保险档案增加到219K。这明显高于预期的214K和前一周的214K,其季节性调整后的失业率为1.2%。
Core PCE
核心PCE
The BEA uses the PCE to gauge inflation and the purchasing trends of US households or consumers. Core PCE tracks price changes in goods and services, excluding the volatile food and energy components.
BEA使用PCE来衡量通货膨胀以及美国家庭或消费者的购买趋势。核心PCE跟踪商品和服务的价格变化,不包括挥发性食品和能源组成部分。
Coin Bureau observed signs of stickiness and a slight uptrend in the Core PCE. Sticky inflation occurs when the prices of goods and services change slowly and persistently. This makes it difficult to control inflation because prices are not immediately responsive to changes in supply and demand dynamics but rather depend on regulations, long-term consumer habits, or contracts. All of these increase the احتمال for monetary easing following the next FOMC meeting in March.
硬币局观察到粘性的迹象和核心PCE的略有上升趋势。当商品和服务的价格变化缓慢而持久时,就会发生粘性通货膨胀。这使得很难控制通货膨胀,因为价格没有立即响应供求动态的变化,而是取决于法规,长期消费者习惯或合同。所有这些都增加了3月下一次FOMC会议之后,以减轻货币的率。
Once again, expectations for monetary easing amid cooling inflation could drive the price of digital assets higher. In contrast, the higher احتمال for monetary tightening due to hotter inflation numbers could prompt a bearish response from the crypto market.
再次,在冷却通货膨胀的情况下,对货币缓解的期望可能会推动数字资产的价格更高。相比之下,由于通货膨胀率较高的通货膨胀数量,货币收紧的较高的率较高,可能会引起加密货币市场的看跌反应。
Analysts also note that President Donald Trump's flurry of executive orders, especially those regarding tariffs since assuming office for his second non-consecutive term, could inject uncertainty into the markets and dampen hopes for lower inflation.
分析师还指出,唐纳德·特朗普总统的行政命令,特别是自从担任第二个非连续任期以来关税的行政命令,可能会向市场注入不确定性,并抑制降低通货膨胀的希望。
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