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自2月初以来,比特币将其合并延长至100,000美元以下。这个价格滞后的看涨情绪放缓使这个价格滞后更加复杂
Bitcoin has remained largely consolidated below the $100,000 price point since the beginning of February. This price lag has been further compounded by a slowdown in bullish sentiment among investors and a waning euphoria regarding the crypto-positive influences of Trump’s new administration in the US.
自2月初以来,比特币的总体上仍低于100,000美元的价格。投资者对看涨情绪的放缓以及对特朗普在美国新政府的加密阳性影响的兴起,这一价格滞后进一步加剧了。
However, despite this rally slowdown, technical analysis continues to support a bullish long-term outlook for Bitcoin. The current stagnation appears to be a re-accumulation phase for bullish investors; a pattern that has been observed multiple times before major upward moves this cycle. Furthermore, analysis shows that the USDT dominance is going to play a crucial role in triggering the next Bitcoin rally toward $150,000.
然而,尽管有这种拉力降低,但技术分析仍继续支持对比特币的长期前景。目前的停滞似乎是看涨投资者的重新蓄能阶段。在重大向上移动这个周期之前已经观察到多次的模式。此外,分析表明,USDT的主导地位将在触发下一个比特币集会上至150,000美元中发挥至关重要的作用。
Bitcoin’s Re-Accumulation Phase And The Role Of USDT Dominance
比特币的重新蓄能阶段和USDT优势的作用
According to a technical analyst (TradingShot) on the TradingView platform, Bitcoin is currently displaying an interesting price trend in conjunction with the USDT dominance. The USDT dominance reflects the percentage of the total crypto market capitalization in USDT, indicating whether traders favor stablecoins over riskier crypto assets. A high USDT dominance typically signals low buying pressure in cryptocurrencies. Conversely, a declining USDT dominance often suggests that traders are rotating funds back into Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
根据TradingView平台上的技术分析师(TradingShot)的说法,比特币目前与USDT优势一起显示出有趣的价格趋势。 USDT的优势反映了USDT中加密市值总资本化的百分比,这表明交易者是否赞成稳定的加密货币资产而不是较风险的加密资产。高USDT优势通常标志着加密货币的低购买压力。相反,下降的USDT优势通常表明交易者正在将资金旋转为比特币和其他加密货币。
Interestingly, the USDT dominance has had a crucial simultaneous occurrence with Bitcoin’s preparations for rallies this cycle. Two notable re-accumulation periods have occurred after Bitcoin bottomed in November 2022, with each leading to significant price rallies. The first accumulation period spanned from January 2023 to March 2023, while the second occurred between November 2023 and February 2024. Both of these re-accumulation phases took place at the 0.5 Fibonacci extension level from an earlier accumulation phase. Additionally, these phases shared common characteristics, including a peaking 1-day RSI structure in the USDT dominance chart and a pullback in the Dollar Index (DXY).
有趣的是,USDT的主导地位与比特币在本周期进行集会的准备一样至关重要。在2022年11月触底比特币后,发生了两个值得注意的重新蓄能期,每个比特币都导致了大量的价格集会。从2023年1月到2023年3月的第一个累积期,而第二次发生在2023年11月至2024年2月之间。这两个重新蓄能阶段都在早期的累积阶段的0.5斐波那契扩展水平发生。此外,这些阶段具有共同的特征,包括USDT优势图中的1天RSI结构以及美元指数(DXY)的回调。
Currently, Bitcoin seems to be mirroring the same conditions again, with USDT dominance and the DXY pulling back with the current re-accumulation phase, which has been playing out since December 2024. If the pattern continues to unfold as expected, this could indicate that Bitcoin is on the verge of its next major rally.
目前,比特币似乎再次反映了相同的条件,USDT的优势和DXY随着当前的重新蓄能阶段而退缩,该阶段自2024年12月以来一直在发挥作用。如果该模式按预期进行,这可能表明,这可能表明这一点可能表明这一点。比特币正处于下一个主要集会的边缘。
USDT To Send BTC To $150,000
USDT将BTC送至$ 150,000
If Bitcoin follows the pattern observed in previous rallies this cycle with the USDT dominance to the core, the re-accumulation phase could end within the next one or two weeks and eventually cause another rally to new all-time highs.
如果比特币遵循以前的集会中观察到的模式,而USDT占据了核心的优势,那么重新蓄能阶段可能会在接下来的一两周内结束,最终导致另一个集会到新的历史最高点。
In terms of a target, the analyst noted a potential $150,000 target for the Bitcoin price, at least before another major correction and a subsequent accumulation phase. However, Bitcoin must overcome key resistance levels, particularly the psychological $100,000 mark, which has served as a major hurdle in recent weeks.
在目标方面,分析师指出,至少在另一个重大校正和随后的积累阶段之前,潜在的15万美元目标。但是,比特币必须克服关键阻力水平,尤其是心理上的100,000美元,这在最近几周一直是一个重大障碍。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $97,175, up by 1.6% in the past 24 hours. A move to $150,000 will represent a 54% increase from the current price.
在写作时,比特币的交易价格为97,175美元,在过去24小时内增长了1.6%。提高到150,000美元的搬迁将比当前价格增加54%。
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