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自2月初以來,比特幣將其合併延長至100,000美元以下。這個價格滯後的看漲情緒放緩使這個價格滯後更加複雜
Bitcoin has remained largely consolidated below the $100,000 price point since the beginning of February. This price lag has been further compounded by a slowdown in bullish sentiment among investors and a waning euphoria regarding the crypto-positive influences of Trump’s new administration in the US.
自2月初以來,比特幣的總體上仍低於100,000美元的價格。投資者對看漲情緒的放緩以及對特朗普在美國新政府的加密陽性影響的興起,這一價格滯後進一步加劇了。
However, despite this rally slowdown, technical analysis continues to support a bullish long-term outlook for Bitcoin. The current stagnation appears to be a re-accumulation phase for bullish investors; a pattern that has been observed multiple times before major upward moves this cycle. Furthermore, analysis shows that the USDT dominance is going to play a crucial role in triggering the next Bitcoin rally toward $150,000.
然而,儘管有這種拉力降低,但技術分析仍繼續支持對比特幣的長期前景。目前的停滯似乎是看漲投資者的重新蓄能階段。在重大向上移動這個週期之前已經觀察到多次的模式。此外,分析表明,USDT的主導地位將在觸發下一個比特幣集會上至150,000美元中發揮至關重要的作用。
Bitcoin’s Re-Accumulation Phase And The Role Of USDT Dominance
比特幣的重新蓄能階段和USDT優勢的作用
According to a technical analyst (TradingShot) on the TradingView platform, Bitcoin is currently displaying an interesting price trend in conjunction with the USDT dominance. The USDT dominance reflects the percentage of the total crypto market capitalization in USDT, indicating whether traders favor stablecoins over riskier crypto assets. A high USDT dominance typically signals low buying pressure in cryptocurrencies. Conversely, a declining USDT dominance often suggests that traders are rotating funds back into Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
根據TradingView平台上的技術分析師(TradingShot)的說法,比特幣目前與USDT優勢一起顯示出有趣的價格趨勢。 USDT的優勢反映了USDT中加密市值總資本化的百分比,這表明交易者是否贊成穩定的加密貨幣資產而不是較風險的加密資產。高USDT優勢通常標誌著加密貨幣的低購買壓力。相反,下降的USDT優勢通常表明交易者正在將資金旋轉為比特幣和其他加密貨幣。
Interestingly, the USDT dominance has had a crucial simultaneous occurrence with Bitcoin’s preparations for rallies this cycle. Two notable re-accumulation periods have occurred after Bitcoin bottomed in November 2022, with each leading to significant price rallies. The first accumulation period spanned from January 2023 to March 2023, while the second occurred between November 2023 and February 2024. Both of these re-accumulation phases took place at the 0.5 Fibonacci extension level from an earlier accumulation phase. Additionally, these phases shared common characteristics, including a peaking 1-day RSI structure in the USDT dominance chart and a pullback in the Dollar Index (DXY).
有趣的是,USDT的主導地位與比特幣在本週期進行集會的準備一樣至關重要。在2022年11月觸底比特幣後,發生了兩個值得注意的重新蓄能期,每個比特幣都導致了大量的價格集會。從2023年1月到2023年3月的第一個累積期,而第二次發生在2023年11月至2024年2月之間。這兩個重新蓄能階段都在早期的累積階段的0.5斐波那契擴展水平發生。此外,這些階段具有共同的特徵,包括USDT優勢圖中的1天RSI結構以及美元指數(DXY)的回調。
Currently, Bitcoin seems to be mirroring the same conditions again, with USDT dominance and the DXY pulling back with the current re-accumulation phase, which has been playing out since December 2024. If the pattern continues to unfold as expected, this could indicate that Bitcoin is on the verge of its next major rally.
目前,比特幣似乎再次反映了相同的條件,USDT的優勢和DXY隨著當前的重新蓄能階段而退縮,該階段自2024年12月以來一直在發揮作用。如果該模式按預期進行,這可能表明,這可能表明這一點可能表明這一點。比特幣正處於下一個主要集會的邊緣。
USDT To Send BTC To $150,000
USDT將BTC送至$ 150,000
If Bitcoin follows the pattern observed in previous rallies this cycle with the USDT dominance to the core, the re-accumulation phase could end within the next one or two weeks and eventually cause another rally to new all-time highs.
如果比特幣遵循以前的集會中觀察到的模式,而USDT佔據了核心的優勢,那麼重新蓄能階段可能會在接下來的一兩週內結束,最終導致另一個集會到新的歷史最高點。
In terms of a target, the analyst noted a potential $150,000 target for the Bitcoin price, at least before another major correction and a subsequent accumulation phase. However, Bitcoin must overcome key resistance levels, particularly the psychological $100,000 mark, which has served as a major hurdle in recent weeks.
在目標方面,分析師指出,至少在另一個重大校正和隨後的積累階段之前,潛在的15萬美元目標。但是,比特幣必須克服關鍵阻力水平,尤其是心理上的100,000美元,這在最近幾週一直是一個重大障礙。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $97,175, up by 1.6% in the past 24 hours. A move to $150,000 will represent a 54% increase from the current price.
在寫作時,比特幣的交易價格為97,175美元,在過去24小時內增長了1.6%。提高到150,000美元的搬遷將比當前價格增加54%。
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