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在周四市场小幅反弹的过程中,寻求低价切入点的风险承受能力的买家对比特币(BTC)的兴趣激增。尽管近期出现回调,但 Rekt Capital 等分析师强调,过去一年出现如此大幅回调的罕见情况,并将其视为买入机会。市场情绪仍然不确定,比特币徘徊在 5.7 万美元至 5.8 万美元之间,阻力位为 5.91 万美元,支撑位低于 5.65 万美元,吸引投资者在市场上涨趋势的预期中获得有利的入场机会。
Bitcoin Rebounds Amidst Dip Buying as Risk Appetite Returns
随着风险偏好回归,比特币在逢低买盘中反弹
Introduction
介绍
Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader cryptocurrency market have experienced a modest recovery from the lows reached on Wednesday, as risk-tolerant investors gradually re-enter the market. Market analysts have highlighted the rarity of such a significant pullback in Bitcoin's recent history, presenting potential opportunities for value-seeking investors.
随着风险承受能力强的投资者逐渐重新进入市场,比特币(BTC)和更广泛的加密货币市场已从周三触及的低点温和复苏。市场分析师强调,比特币近期历史上出现如此大幅回调的罕见情况,为寻求价值的投资者提供了潜在机会。
Historical Context and Analyst Perspectives
历史背景和分析师观点
Rekt Capital, a market analyst, emphasized the unusual nature of Bitcoin's current retracement. They stated, "Opportunities like this don't come around very often," citing the last comparable pullback of -23% in early 2023.
市场分析师 Rekt Capital 强调了比特币当前回调的不寻常性质。他们表示,“这样的机会并不经常出现”,并引用了 2023 年初上一次类似的 -23% 的回调。
CryptoChiefs, another market analyst, noted the significance of Bitcoin's recent price movement in relation to key technical levels. They observed a strong rejection of Bitcoin's attempt to reclaim $59,100, which had been a crucial support level before the market's dip. CryptoChiefs also highlighted the current indecision within the market, with Bitcoin fluctuating between $57,000 and $58,000.
另一位市场分析师 CryptoChiefs 指出了比特币近期价格走势相对于关键技术水平的重要性。他们观察到比特币试图收复 59,100 美元的强烈拒绝,这是市场下跌之前的关键支撑位。 CryptoChiefs 还强调了当前市场的犹豫不决,比特币在 57,000 美元至 58,000 美元之间波动。
Factors Influencing the Rebound
影响反弹的因素
The rebound in Bitcoin's price has been attributed to several factors. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $59,3355, representing a 4.1% increase on the 24-hour chart.
比特币价格的反弹归因于多种因素。截至撰写本文时,比特币交易价格为 59,3355 美元,24 小时图表上上涨 4.1%。
Firstly, the recent dip in Bitcoin's price has enticed less cautious investors to enter the market in search of favorable entry points. These investors believe that the market's uptrend will resume, providing them with potential profits.
首先,最近比特币价格的下跌吸引了不太谨慎的投资者进入市场寻找有利的切入点。这些投资者相信市场将恢复上升趋势,为他们提供潜在的利润。
Secondly, technical indicators have provided bullish signals. On-chain analyst Ali Martinez highlighted a specific indicator that has historically preceded significant Bitcoin rallies. The 30-day MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) indicator is currently below -9%, which has corresponded with price surges of 64%, 63%, and 99% in the past.
其次,技术指标发出看涨信号。链上分析师阿里·马丁内斯强调了历史上比特币大幅上涨之前的一个特定指标。 30 天 MVRV(市场价值与已实现价值)指标目前低于 -9%,这对应于过去 64%、63% 和 99% 的价格飙升。
Thirdly, the average entry price for spot Bitcoin ETFs among holders is approximately $57,300. This suggests that many investors who entered the market via ETFs during the post-halving rally may now be selling. However, analysts believe that some of these inflows may reverse, providing further support for Bitcoin's price.
第三,持有者购买现货比特币 ETF 的平均入场价格约为 57,300 美元。这表明许多在减半后反弹期间通过 ETF 进入市场的投资者现在可能正在抛售。然而,分析师认为,其中一些资金流入可能会逆转,为比特币的价格提供进一步支撑。
Institutional Interest and Long-Term Prospects
机构利益和长期前景
Market analysts anticipate that institutional investors may play a significant role in supporting Bitcoin's price. Robert Mitchnick, head of digital assets at BlackRock, suggested that pension funds and other institutional players are actively researching and considering investing in Bitcoin spot ETFs.
市场分析师预计,机构投资者可能在支撑比特币价格方面发挥重要作用。贝莱德数字资产主管罗伯特·米奇尼克表示,养老基金和其他机构参与者正在积极研究和考虑投资比特币现货ETF。
Mitchnick believes that these institutional investors could start buying the ETF in the coming months, which would likely push Bitcoin's price higher. He emphasized that BlackRock has been actively educating institutions about Bitcoin for several years.
米奇尼克认为,这些机构投资者可能会在未来几个月开始购买 ETF,这可能会推高比特币的价格。他强调,贝莱德多年来一直积极对机构进行有关比特币的教育。
Additionally, Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, has predicted that Bitcoin's price could reach $3.8 million by 2030 once institutions begin investing heavily. Wood believes that institutional investors would need to allocate approximately 5% of their portfolios to Bitcoin to achieve such a significant price increase.
此外,ARK Invest 首席执行官 Cathie Wood 预测,一旦机构开始大量投资,到 2030 年,比特币的价格可能会达到 380 万美元。伍德认为,机构投资者需要将其投资组合的大约 5% 分配给比特币,才能实现如此显着的价格上涨。
Conclusion
结论
The recent dip in Bitcoin's price has attracted risk-tolerant investors who see it as an opportunity to secure favorable entry points. Technical indicators suggest a potential for further upside, and analysts anticipate that institutional interest may bolster Bitcoin's price in the long term. While market volatility remains, the rebound in Bitcoin's price demonstrates the continued resilience of the cryptocurrency market.
最近比特币价格的下跌吸引了具有风险承受能力的投资者,他们将其视为获得有利入场点的机会。技术指标表明比特币有进一步上涨的潜力,分析师预计,从长远来看,机构兴趣可能会提振比特币的价格。尽管市场波动依然存在,但比特币价格的反弹表明了加密货币市场的持续弹性。
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