在关键经济数据发布之前，比特币面临看跌压力

面对看跌压力，比特币 (BTC) 可能会在 4 月份以负面情绪结束，这可能标志着自 2023 年 8 月以来的首次月度红色收盘。在美联储宣布利率的预期中，加密货币交易者仍保持谨慎态度。虽然资深交易员 Peter Brandt 认为比特币可能已达到 770,000 美元的峰值，但 Giovanni Santostasi 等其他人预测到 2025 年底可能会飙升至 210,000 美元。

Bitcoin Faces Bearish Pressure Amidst Anticipation of US Economic Data Release

美国经济数据公布，比特币面临看跌压力

Jakarta, Indonesia - Bitcoin (BTC) has encountered a downtrend in the latter part of April, marking its first potential monthly decline since August 2023. As the month draws to a close, the price of Bitcoin remains volatile with less than 48 hours until the start of May 2024.

印度尼西亚雅加达 - 比特币 (BTC) 在 4 月下旬遭遇下跌趋势，这是自 2023 年 8 月以来首次出现潜在月度下跌。随着月底临近，比特币价格在不到 48 小时内持续波动。 2024 年 5 月开始。

Cryptocurrency traders are adopting a wait-and-see approach due to the impending release of crucial economic announcements from the United States. The US Federal Reserve is scheduled to disclose interest rate data and issue FOMC statements on Wednesday, which are anticipated to induce volatility in the crypto market as it grapples with the implications of the data on inflation.

由于美国即将发布重要经济公告，加密货币交易者正在采取观望态度。美联储定于周三披露利率数据并发布 FOMC 声明，预计这将引发加密货币市场的波动，因为它正在努力应对数据对通胀的影响。

Bitcoin's Cycle Peak: A Point of Contention

比特币的周期峰值：一个争论点

The question of whether Bitcoin has reached its cyclical peak has emerged. Veteran trader Peter Brandt suggests that Bitcoin's recent surge followed an exponential depay, indicating a potential peak slightly exceeding $770,000 (approximately IDR 1.137.500.000). However, Brandt acknowledges the model's limited accuracy, assigning it a mere 25 percent probability of being correct.

比特币是否已经达到周期性峰值的问题已经出现。资深交易员 Peter Brandt 表示，比特币最近的飙升是在指数级付款之后出现的，这表明潜在的峰值略高于 770,000 美元（约 1,137,500,000 印尼盾）。然而，Brandt 承认该模型的准确性有限，认为其正确的概率仅为 25%。

Adoption and Protocol Advancements Drive Optimism

采用和协议的进步推动乐观

The price of Bitcoin is also influenced by the ongoing adoption of digital assets and web3 protocols. The launch of the Bitcoin spot ETF in Hong Kong on April 30 is expected to generate additional buying pressure from US-based fund managers.

比特币的价格还受到数字资产和 web3 协议的持续采用的影响。 4 月 30 日在香港推出的比特币现货 ETF 预计将给美国基金经理带来额外的购买压力。

Brandt believes Bitcoin has the capacity to surpass $100,000 (approximately IDR 1.625.000) in the upcoming months. This view aligns with that of Giovanni Santostasi, a renowned Bitcoin trader and investor, who forecasts a peak of $210,000 (approximately IDR 3.412.500.000) by the end of 2025, followed by a correction to $83,000 (approximately IDR 1.348.750,000). Santostasi's prediction is based on an analysis of bull cycles that typically follow Bitcoin reward halvings.

Brandt 相信比特币有能力在未来几个月突破 100,000 美元（约合 1,625,000 印尼盾）。这一观点与著名比特币交易员和投资者 Giovanni Santostasi 的观点一致，他预测到 2025 年底，比特币价格将达到 210,000 美元（约合 3,412,500,000 印尼盾）的峰值，随后回调至 83,000 美元（约合 1,348,750,000 印尼盾）。桑托斯塔西的预测基于对通常在比特币奖励减半之后的牛市周期的分析。

Conclusion

结论

Bitcoin's price trajectory remains uncertain as the market awaits the release of US economic data. While some analysts predict a bearish trend, others maintain a positive outlook, citing the potential for adoption and protocol advancements to drive price increases. The release of the FOMC statements and interest rate data on Wednesday is likely to provide further direction for the cryptocurrency market.

随着市场等待美国经济数据的发布，比特币的价格走势仍不确定。虽然一些分析师预测看跌趋势，但其他分析师则保持积极的前景，指出采用和协议进步有可能推动价格上涨。周三公布的 FOMC 声明和利率数据可能为加密货币市场提供进一步的方向。