在關鍵經濟數據發布之前，比特幣面臨看跌壓力

面對看跌壓力，比特幣(BTC) 可能會在4 月以負面情緒結束，這可能標誌著自2023 年8 月以來的首次月度紅色收盤。謹慎態度。雖然資深交易員 Peter Brandt 認為比特幣可能已達到 77 萬美元的峰值，但 Giovanni Santostasi 等其他人預測到 2025 年底可能會飆升至 21 萬美元。

Bitcoin Faces Bearish Pressure Amidst Anticipation of US Economic Data Release

美國經濟數據公佈，比特幣面臨看跌壓力

Jakarta, Indonesia - Bitcoin (BTC) has encountered a downtrend in the latter part of April, marking its first potential monthly decline since August 2023. As the month draws to a close, the price of Bitcoin remains volatile with less than 48 hours until the start of May 2024.

印尼雅加達 - 比特幣 (BTC) 在 4 月下旬遭遇下跌趨勢，這是自 2023 年 8 月以來首次出現潛在月度下跌。月開始。

Cryptocurrency traders are adopting a wait-and-see approach due to the impending release of crucial economic announcements from the United States. The US Federal Reserve is scheduled to disclose interest rate data and issue FOMC statements on Wednesday, which are anticipated to induce volatility in the crypto market as it grapples with the implications of the data on inflation.

由於美國即將發布重要經濟公告，加密貨幣交易者正採取觀望態度。聯準會定於週三披露利率數據並發布 FOMC 聲明，預計這將引發加密貨幣市場的波動，因為它正在努力應對數據對通膨的影響。

Bitcoin's Cycle Peak: A Point of Contention

比特幣的周期峰值：一個爭論點

The question of whether Bitcoin has reached its cyclical peak has emerged. Veteran trader Peter Brandt suggests that Bitcoin's recent surge followed an exponential depay, indicating a potential peak slightly exceeding $770,000 (approximately IDR 1.137.500.000). However, Brandt acknowledges the model's limited accuracy, assigning it a mere 25 percent probability of being correct.

比特幣是否已經達到週期性高峰的問題已經出現。資深交易員 Peter Brandt 表示，比特幣最近的飆升是在指數級付款之後出現的，這表明潛在的峰值略高於 770,000 美元（約 1,137,500,000 印尼盾）。然而，Brandt 承認該模型的準確性有限，認為其正確的機率僅為 25%。

Adoption and Protocol Advancements Drive Optimism

採用和協議的進步推動樂觀

The price of Bitcoin is also influenced by the ongoing adoption of digital assets and web3 protocols. The launch of the Bitcoin spot ETF in Hong Kong on April 30 is expected to generate additional buying pressure from US-based fund managers.

比特幣的價格也受到數位資產和 web3 協議的持續採用的影響。 4 月 30 日在香港推出的比特幣現貨 ETF 預計將給美國基金經理人帶來額外的購買壓力。

Brandt believes Bitcoin has the capacity to surpass $100,000 (approximately IDR 1.625.000) in the upcoming months. This view aligns with that of Giovanni Santostasi, a renowned Bitcoin trader and investor, who forecasts a peak of $210,000 (approximately IDR 3.412.500.000) by the end of 2025, followed by a correction to $83,000 (approximately IDR 1.348.750,000). Santostasi's prediction is based on an analysis of bull cycles that typically follow Bitcoin reward halvings.

Brandt 相信比特幣有能力在未來幾個月突破 10 萬美元（約 1,62.5 萬印尼盾）。這一觀點與著名比特幣交易員和投資者Giovanni Santostasi 的觀點一致，他預測到2025 年底，比特幣價格將達到210,000 美元（約合3,412,500,000 印尼盾）的峰值，隨後回調至83,000 美元（約合1,348,750,印尼盾）。桑托斯塔西的預測是基於對通常在比特幣獎勵減半之後的牛市週期的分析。

Conclusion

結論

Bitcoin's price trajectory remains uncertain as the market awaits the release of US economic data. While some analysts predict a bearish trend, others maintain a positive outlook, citing the potential for adoption and protocol advancements to drive price increases. The release of the FOMC statements and interest rate data on Wednesday is likely to provide further direction for the cryptocurrency market.

隨著市場等待美國經濟數據的發布，比特幣的價格走勢仍不確定。雖然一些分析師預測看跌趨勢，但其他分析師則保持積極的前景，指出採用和協議進步有可能推動價格上漲。週三公佈的 FOMC 聲明和利率數據可能為加密貨幣市場提供進一步的方向。