Binance创始人Changpeng“ CZ” Zhao的BTC/USD价格预测成真

赵可能是有史以来最接近的预测之一，预测四年前，目前从六位数急剧下降到约85,000美元的急剧下降将被称为崩溃。

Many people have tried to predict the future price of Bitcoin BTC/USD over the years, including Binance founder Changpeng "CZ" Zhao.

多年来，许多人试图预测比特币BTC/USD的未来价格，包括Binance创始人Changpeng“ CZ” Zhao。

Zhao may have had one of the closest predictions of all time, predicting more than four years ago that the current sharp drop from six-digits to around $85,000 would be called a crash.

赵可能是有史以来最接近的预测之一，预测四年前，目前从六位数急剧下降到约85,000美元的急剧下降将被称为崩溃。

What Happened: Bitcoin soared to new highs after the 2024 presidential election, topping the $75,000 level.

发生的事情：在2024年总统大选之后，比特币飙升至新高点，高位75,000美元。

Months later in January, Bitcoin hit another all-time high of $109,114.88 on Jan. 20, near the inauguration of President Donald Trump.

几个月后，一月份，比特币在1月20日又在唐纳德·特朗普总统就职典礼附近又达到了109,114.88美元。

Since that time, Bitcoin has fallen in value and is now trading under the $85,000 level.

自那时以来，比特币的价值下降，现在的交易价格低于85,000美元。

While many reports cite the sharp crash in Bitcoin's valuation, it's likely important to remember that Bitcoin is still trading higher than levels seen four months ago before the 2024 election.

尽管许多报道称比特币估值中的急剧崩溃，但要记住，比特币的交易仍高于2024年大选前四个月前的水平。

Binance founder and former CEO Zhao, best known to many as CZ, took to social media platform X to express his thoughts on the drop in Bitcoin's value in recent months.

Binance创始人兼前首席执行官Zhao（许多人最著名的CZ）进入了社交媒体平台X，以表达他对近几个月来比特币价值下降的想法。

"In this bloodbath today, I see a lot of people referring to this tweet," CZ said, sharing a tweet he made on Dec. 17, 2020.

CZ说：“在今天的这个血腥浴中，我看到很多人指的是这推文。”他分享了他在2020年12月17日发表的一条推文。

CZ said that he had no visibility into the future at the time, but encouraged investors to zoom out on the Bitcoin chart to see the strong gains over the past year.

CZ说，他当时对未来没有可见性，但鼓励投资者放大比特币图表，以了解过去一年的强劲增长。

The Dec. 17, 2020 tweet was:

2020年12月17日的推文是：

"Waiting for the new headline: #Bitcoin ‘CRASHES’ from $101,000 to $85,000. Save the tweet."

“等待新标题：#bitcoin'崩溃'从$ 101,000到$ 85,000。保存推文。”

CZ's prediction has come true in recent months. Here's a look back at how much investors could have made following along with his prediction.

CZ的预测在最近几个月实现了。这是回顾一下投资者以及他的预测的能力。

Investing $1,000 in Bitcoin: On Dec. 17, 2020, Bitcoin traded between $21,234.68 and $23,642.66. An investor could have purchased 0.0423 Bitcoin at the day's highest price with a $1,000 investment.

比特币投资1,000美元：2020年12月17日，比特币在21,234.68美元至23,642.66美元之间交易。投资者本可以以1,000美元的投资以最高价格购买0.0423比特币。

Today that $1,000 investment would be worth $3,534.43, based on a price of $83,556.33 for Bitcoin at the time of writing. This represents a hypothetical gain of 253.4% over the past four plus years.

今天，这笔1,000美元的投资价值为3,534.43美元，基于撰写本文时比特币的价格为83,556.33美元。在过去的四年中，这是253.4％的假设增益。

The $1,000 investment would have been worth $4,615.56 and up 361.6% at Bitcoin's all-time high price of $109,114.88 last month.

上个月，这笔1,000美元的投资本来是价值4,615.56美元，比特币的历史高价上涨了361.6％。

For comparison, the same $1,000 invested in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), which tracks the S&P 500 Index, could have returned far less for investors.

为了进行比较，跟踪标准普尔500指数的SPDR S＆P 500 ETF Trust（SPY）的1,000美元投资可能对投资者来说可能少得多。

A $1,000 investment in that ETF on Dec. 17, 2020, could have bought 2.68 SPY shares and would be worth $1,568.15 today, up 56.8%.

2020年12月17日对该ETF进行的1,000美元投资本来可以购买2.68股间谍股，今天价值1,568.15美元，上涨了56.8％。

The comments from Zhao are a reminder that Bitcoin will not go up in a straight line and will have periods of dips. History has shown that Bitcoin has outperformed many stocks and asset types over one-year, five-year and longer periods.

Zhao的评论提醒您，比特币不会直线上升，并且会有下降的时期。历史表明，比特币在一年，五年和更长的时间内优于许多股票和资产类型。