Binance創始人Changpeng“ CZ” Zhao的BTC/USD價格預測成真

趙可能是有史以來最接近的預測之一，預測四年前，目前從六位數急劇下降到約85,000美元的急劇下降將被稱為崩潰。

Many people have tried to predict the future price of Bitcoin BTC/USD over the years, including Binance founder Changpeng "CZ" Zhao.

多年來，許多人試圖預測比特幣BTC/USD的未來價格，包括Binance創始人Changpeng“ CZ” Zhao。

Zhao may have had one of the closest predictions of all time, predicting more than four years ago that the current sharp drop from six-digits to around $85,000 would be called a crash.

趙可能是有史以來最接近的預測之一，預測四年前，目前從六位數急劇下降到約85,000美元的急劇下降將被稱為崩潰。

What Happened: Bitcoin soared to new highs after the 2024 presidential election, topping the $75,000 level.

發生的事情：在2024年總統大選之後，比特幣飆升至新高點，高位75,000美元。

Months later in January, Bitcoin hit another all-time high of $109,114.88 on Jan. 20, near the inauguration of President Donald Trump.

幾個月後，一月份，比特幣在1月20日又在唐納德·特朗普總統就職典禮附近又達到了109,114.88美元。

Since that time, Bitcoin has fallen in value and is now trading under the $85,000 level.

自那時以來，比特幣的價值下降，現在的交易價格低於85,000美元。

While many reports cite the sharp crash in Bitcoin's valuation, it's likely important to remember that Bitcoin is still trading higher than levels seen four months ago before the 2024 election.

儘管許多報導稱比特幣估值中的急劇崩潰，但要記住，比特幣的交易仍高於2024年大選前四個月前的水平。

Binance founder and former CEO Zhao, best known to many as CZ, took to social media platform X to express his thoughts on the drop in Bitcoin's value in recent months.

Binance創始人兼前首席執行官Zhao（許多人最著名的CZ）進入了社交媒體平台X，以表達他對近幾個月來比特幣價值下降的想法。

"In this bloodbath today, I see a lot of people referring to this tweet," CZ said, sharing a tweet he made on Dec. 17, 2020.

CZ說：“在今天的這個血腥浴中，我看到很多人指的是這推文。”他分享了他在2020年12月17日發表的一條推文。

CZ said that he had no visibility into the future at the time, but encouraged investors to zoom out on the Bitcoin chart to see the strong gains over the past year.

CZ說，他當時對未來沒有可見性，但鼓勵投資者放大比特幣圖表，以了解過去一年的強勁增長。

The Dec. 17, 2020 tweet was:

2020年12月17日的推文是：

"Waiting for the new headline: #Bitcoin ‘CRASHES’ from $101,000 to $85,000. Save the tweet."

“等待新標題：#bitcoin'崩潰'從$ 101,000到$ 85,000。保存推文。”

CZ's prediction has come true in recent months. Here's a look back at how much investors could have made following along with his prediction.

CZ的預測在最近幾個月實現了。這是回顧一下投資者以及他的預測的能力。

Investing $1,000 in Bitcoin: On Dec. 17, 2020, Bitcoin traded between $21,234.68 and $23,642.66. An investor could have purchased 0.0423 Bitcoin at the day's highest price with a $1,000 investment.

比特幣投資1,000美元：2020年12月17日，比特幣在21,234.68美元至23,642.66美元之間交易。投資者本可以以1,000美元的投資以最高價格購買0.0423比特幣。

Today that $1,000 investment would be worth $3,534.43, based on a price of $83,556.33 for Bitcoin at the time of writing. This represents a hypothetical gain of 253.4% over the past four plus years.

今天，這筆1,000美元的投資價值為3,534.43美元，基於撰寫本文時比特幣的價格為83,556.33美元。在過去的四年中，這是253.4％的假設增益。

The $1,000 investment would have been worth $4,615.56 and up 361.6% at Bitcoin's all-time high price of $109,114.88 last month.

上個月，這筆1,000美元的投資本來是價值4,615.56美元，比特幣的歷史高價上漲了361.6％。

For comparison, the same $1,000 invested in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), which tracks the S&P 500 Index, could have returned far less for investors.

為了進行比較，跟踪標準普爾500指數的SPDR S＆P 500 ETF Trust（SPY）的1,000美元投資可能對投資者來說可能少得多。

A $1,000 investment in that ETF on Dec. 17, 2020, could have bought 2.68 SPY shares and would be worth $1,568.15 today, up 56.8%.

2020年12月17日對該ETF進行的1,000美元投資本來可以購買2.68股間諜股，今天價值1,568.15美元，上漲了56.8％。

The comments from Zhao are a reminder that Bitcoin will not go up in a straight line and will have periods of dips. History has shown that Bitcoin has outperformed many stocks and asset types over one-year, five-year and longer periods.

Zhao的評論提醒您，比特幣不會直線上升，並且會有下降的時期。歷史表明，比特幣在一年，五年和更長的時間內優於許多股票和資產類型。