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许多知名交易员表示,加密货币市场正准备飙升。例如,ARK Make Investments 创始人 Cathie Wooden 预计 2030 年每比特币(加密货币:BTC)的牛市价值将达到 150 万美元。
ARK Make investments founder Cathie Wooden sees a bull-case worth level of $1.5 million per Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) in 2030. That will be a 2,276% return from at the moment’s worth, or a compound annual progress price (CAGR) of 70% for six years.
ARK Make Investments 创始人 Cathie Wooden 预计,到 2030 年,每比特币(加密货币:BTC)的牛市价值将达到 150 万美元。这将是目前价值 2,276% 的回报率,或者复合年增长率 (CAGR) 为 70 % 六年。
Even her bottom-end projections name for a $650,000 Bitcoin worth by the top of this decade. Loads of billionaires are constructing positions on this promising digital asset nowadays, hoping to seize the crypto’s long-term wealth creation at an early stage.
就连她的最低预测也表明,到本十年末,比特币的价值将达到 65 万美元。如今,许多亿万富翁正在这种前景光明的数字资产上建仓,希望尽早抓住加密货币的长期财富创造机会。
Let us take a look at Wooden’s rationale for these ultra-bullish worth targets, and what these arguments might imply for us atypical non-billionaires.
让我们看一下伍登设定这些超级乐观的价值目标的理由,以及这些论点对我们这些非典型的非亿万富翁可能意味着什么。
Wooden doubled down on her million-dollar worth targets for Bitcoin in a current video interview with Peter Diamandis, founding father of the XPRIZE Basis, which promotes innovation. Her bullish argument centered round three core themes:
在最近接受 XPRIZE Basis 创始人 Peter Diamandis 的视频采访时,伍登对比特币价值百万美元的目标加倍下注,该基金会旨在促进创新。她的看涨论点围绕三个核心主题:
Due to Bitcoin’s deliberate scarcity with a tough cap of 21 million digital cash, it ought to ultimately exchange bodily gold as a retailer of long-term worth.
由于比特币故意稀缺,其数字现金的上限为 2100 万,因此它最终应该作为具有长期价值的零售商来交换实物黄金。
Collectively, she expects these pillars to help robust worth progress.
总的来说,她希望这些支柱能够帮助实现强劲的价值增长。
“If we’re in the course of the bull market, I believe the subsequent spur goes to be the platforms placing the spot Bitcoin ETF on it,” Wooden stated. “And I do assume that may occur this 12 months.”
“如果我们正处于牛市之中,我相信接下来的刺激将是平台上放置现货比特币 ETF,”伍登表示。 “我确实认为这可能会在这 12 个月内发生。”
I do not see something fallacious with Wooden’s logic.
我不认为伍登的逻辑有什么错误。
The capped Bitcoin provide and gradual slowdown of latest coin manufacturing are vital elements of the cryptocurrency’s worth system. The availability progress is already slower than the annual inflation of the gold provide from bodily mining, so all that is lacking is a sustained enhance in demand for the crypto. The great previous law of supply and demand covers the remainder of this argument.
比特币供应量的上限和最新硬币生产的逐渐放缓是加密货币价值体系的重要组成部分。供应进度已经慢于实体采矿提供的黄金的年度通货膨胀,因此所缺乏的只是对加密货币的需求的持续增长。先前伟大的供求定律涵盖了这个论证的其余部分。
Diamantis gave an anecdotal instance of institutional resistance to Bitcoin property, saying {that a} well-known monetary advisor service refused to incorporate spot Bitcoin ETFs in its portfolio providers. That foot-dragging perspective may very well be the precise thought if Bitcoin have been destined to crash, burn, and go away. In some other situation, the large banks ought to have to leap aboard the Bitcoin bandwagon ultimately. The ensuing money infusions will push its worth dramatically greater.
Diamantis 举了一个机构抵制比特币财产的轶事,他表示,一家著名的货币顾问服务公司拒绝将现货比特币 ETF 纳入其投资组合提供商。如果比特币注定会崩溃、燃烧和消亡,那么这种拖沓的观点很可能就是正确的想法。在其他一些情况下,大型银行最终应该不得不加入比特币的行列。随后的资金注入将大幅推高其价值。
And the third bullish argument is only a query of shopper training. Bitcoin’s decentralized nature makes it troublesome to impose authorities controls over this various monetary system. I already defined how it’s proof against conventional forces of supply-side inflation. The digital forex may very well be simpler to make use of, however individuals are already leaning on Bitcoin in instances of financial strife.
第三个看涨论点只是对购物者培训的质疑。比特币的去中心化性质使得当局很难对这种不同的货币体系实施控制。我已经定义了它如何对抗供给方通胀的传统力量。数字货币可能更容易使用,但人们已经在经济困难的情况下依赖比特币。
Even so, I discover it laborious to peg a agency worth goal on Bitcoin — particularly in the long run. Wooden says that the institutional-investor dominoes ought to begin to fall earlier than the top of 2024, whereas the opposite bullish forces might have slower results.
即便如此,我发现很难将一个机构的价值目标与比特币挂钩——尤其是从长远来看。 Wooden 表示,机构投资者多米诺骨牌应该会在 2024 年顶部之前开始倒下,而相反的看涨力量可能会产生较慢的结果。
Maintaining a tally of how rapidly old-school bankers embrace the Bitcoin alternative will present a clearer map for what comes subsequent. However the market is not fairly there but, so I am holding my horses on the ultimate evaluation.
统计老派银行家接受比特币替代方案的速度将为接下来的情况提供更清晰的地图。然而市场还不太成熟,所以我对最终的评估持保留态度。
Will Bitcoin soar to $650,000 and even $1.5 million per coin in 2030? Perhaps, but it surely does not actually matter. I anticipate it to achieve worth over time, probably outperforming the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) inventory market index within the lengthy haul.
2030 年比特币会飙升至 65 万美元甚至 150 万美元吗?也许吧,但这实际上并不重要。我预计它会随着时间的推移实现价值,长期内可能会超越标准普尔 500 指数(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)股票市场指数。
That is adequate for me, and plenty of traders with far deeper pockets would agree. The cryptocurrency, or one of many handy-dandy spot Bitcoin ETFs, ought to be a modest a part of any diversified funding portfolio nowadays.
这对我来说已经足够了,许多财力雄厚的交易者也会同意这一点。这种加密货币,或者说是众多方便的现货比特币 ETF 之一,应该是当今任何多元化投资组合的一小部分。
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