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許多知名交易員表示,加密貨幣市場正準備飆升。例如,ARK Make Investments 創辦人 Cathie Wooden 預計 2030 年每比特幣(加密貨幣:BTC)的多頭價值將達到 150 萬美元。
ARK Make investments founder Cathie Wooden sees a bull-case worth level of $1.5 million per Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) in 2030. That will be a 2,276% return from at the moment’s worth, or a compound annual progress price (CAGR) of 70% for six years.
ARK Make Investments 創辦人Cathie Wooden 預計,到2030 年,每比特幣(加密貨幣:BTC)的多頭價值將達到150 萬美元。為70 % 六年。
Even her bottom-end projections name for a $650,000 Bitcoin worth by the top of this decade. Loads of billionaires are constructing positions on this promising digital asset nowadays, hoping to seize the crypto’s long-term wealth creation at an early stage.
就連她的最低預測也表明,到本十年末,比特幣的價值將達到 65 萬美元。如今,許多億萬富翁正在這種前景光明的數位資產上建倉,希望能儘早抓住加密貨幣的長期財富創造機會。
Let us take a look at Wooden’s rationale for these ultra-bullish worth targets, and what these arguments might imply for us atypical non-billionaires.
讓我們來看看伍登設定這些超級樂觀的價值目標的理由,以及這些論點對我們這些非典型的非億萬富翁可能意味著什麼。
Wooden doubled down on her million-dollar worth targets for Bitcoin in a current video interview with Peter Diamandis, founding father of the XPRIZE Basis, which promotes innovation. Her bullish argument centered round three core themes:
在最近接受 XPRIZE Basis 創始人 Peter Diamandis 的視訊採訪時,伍登對比特幣價值百萬美元的目標加倍下注,該基金會旨在促進創新。她的看漲論點圍繞著三個核心主題:
Due to Bitcoin’s deliberate scarcity with a tough cap of 21 million digital cash, it ought to ultimately exchange bodily gold as a retailer of long-term worth.
由於比特幣故意稀缺,其數位現金的上限為 2,100 萬,因此它最終應該作為具有長期價值的零售商來交換實體黃金。
Collectively, she expects these pillars to help robust worth progress.
總的來說,她希望這些支柱能幫助實現強勁的價值成長。
“If we’re in the course of the bull market, I believe the subsequent spur goes to be the platforms placing the spot Bitcoin ETF on it,” Wooden stated. “And I do assume that may occur this 12 months.”
「如果我們正處於牛市之中,我相信接下來的刺激將是平台上放置現貨比特幣 ETF,」伍登表示。 “我確實認為這可能會在這 12 個月內發生。”
I do not see something fallacious with Wooden’s logic.
我不認為伍登的邏輯有什麼錯誤。
The capped Bitcoin provide and gradual slowdown of latest coin manufacturing are vital elements of the cryptocurrency’s worth system. The availability progress is already slower than the annual inflation of the gold provide from bodily mining, so all that is lacking is a sustained enhance in demand for the crypto. The great previous law of supply and demand covers the remainder of this argument.
比特幣供應量的上限和最新硬幣生產的逐漸放緩是加密貨幣價值體系的重要組成部分。供應進度已經慢於實體採礦提供的黃金的年度通貨膨脹,因此所缺乏的只是對加密貨幣的需求的持續增長。先前偉大的供給與需求定律涵蓋了這個論證的其餘部分。
Diamantis gave an anecdotal instance of institutional resistance to Bitcoin property, saying {that a} well-known monetary advisor service refused to incorporate spot Bitcoin ETFs in its portfolio providers. That foot-dragging perspective may very well be the precise thought if Bitcoin have been destined to crash, burn, and go away. In some other situation, the large banks ought to have to leap aboard the Bitcoin bandwagon ultimately. The ensuing money infusions will push its worth dramatically greater.
Diamantis 舉了一個機構抵制比特幣財產的軼事,他表示,一家著名的貨幣顧問服務公司拒絕將現貨比特幣 ETF 納入其投資組合提供商。如果比特幣注定會崩潰、燃燒和消失,那麼這種拖沓的觀點很可能就是正確的想法。在其他一些情況下,大型銀行最終應該不得不加入比特幣的行列。隨後的資金注入將大幅推高其價值。
And the third bullish argument is only a query of shopper training. Bitcoin’s decentralized nature makes it troublesome to impose authorities controls over this various monetary system. I already defined how it’s proof against conventional forces of supply-side inflation. The digital forex may very well be simpler to make use of, however individuals are already leaning on Bitcoin in instances of financial strife.
第三個看漲論點只是對購物者培訓的質疑。比特幣的去中心化性質使得當局很難對這種不同的貨幣體系實施控制。我已經定義了它如何對抗供給方通膨的傳統力量。數位貨幣可能更容易使用,但人們已經在經濟困難的情況下依賴比特幣。
Even so, I discover it laborious to peg a agency worth goal on Bitcoin — particularly in the long run. Wooden says that the institutional-investor dominoes ought to begin to fall earlier than the top of 2024, whereas the opposite bullish forces might have slower results.
即便如此,我發現很難將一個機構的價值目標與比特幣掛鉤——尤其是從長遠來看。 Wooden 表示,機構投資者多米諾骨牌應該會在 2024 年頂部之前開始倒下,而相反的看漲力量可能會產生較慢的結果。
Maintaining a tally of how rapidly old-school bankers embrace the Bitcoin alternative will present a clearer map for what comes subsequent. However the market is not fairly there but, so I am holding my horses on the ultimate evaluation.
統計老派銀行家接受比特幣替代方案的速度將為接下來的情況提供更清晰的地圖。然而市場還不太成熟,所以我對最終的評估持保留態度。
Will Bitcoin soar to $650,000 and even $1.5 million per coin in 2030? Perhaps, but it surely does not actually matter. I anticipate it to achieve worth over time, probably outperforming the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) inventory market index within the lengthy haul.
2030 年比特幣會飆升至 65 萬美元甚至 150 萬美元嗎?也許吧,但這其實並不重要。我預計它會隨著時間的推移實現價值,長期內可能會超越標準普爾 500 指數(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)股票市場指數。
That is adequate for me, and plenty of traders with far deeper pockets would agree. The cryptocurrency, or one of many handy-dandy spot Bitcoin ETFs, ought to be a modest a part of any diversified funding portfolio nowadays.
這對我來說已經足夠了,許多財力雄厚的交易者也會同意這一點。這種加密貨幣,或者說是眾多方便的現貨比特幣 ETF 之一,應該是當今任何多元化投資組合的一小部分。
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