本杰明·考恩（Benjamin Cowen）预测比特币（BTC）今年的反流行集会，但警告说，第1季度的第1季度大幅下降

加密战略家本杰明·科恩（Benjamin Cowen）以对比特币在一月份进行的准确预测而闻名，他认为BTC今年仍然有增长的余地。

Crypto strategist Benjamin Cowen, known for his accurate prediction of Bitcoin’s correction in January, still sees room for growth in BTC this year.

加密战略家本杰明·考恩（Benjamin Cowen）以对比特币在一月份进行更正的准确预测而闻名，但今年仍然看到了BTC的增长空间。

In a recent video, Cowen forecasts a potential “counter-trend” rally for Bitcoin in the coming months, but he’s closely monitoring key price levels to determine if the bull run is truly over.

在最近的视频中，Cowen预测了未来几个月对比特币的潜在“反趋势”集会，但他正在密切监视关键价格水平，以确定公牛的运行是否真的结束了。

He predicts a significant drop in Q1 2025, followed by a counter-rally in Q2/Q3, where most altcoin pairs will likely suffer. However, Cowen points out that if Bitcoin drops below $70,000 in the next few weeks, the rally could end in a lower high, indicating the market has peaked.

他预测，第二季度2025年第1季度将大幅下降，然后在Q2/Q3中进行反竞争，大多数Altcoin对可能会受到影响。但是，Cowen指出，如果比特币在接下来的几周内下跌70,000美元以下，则集会可能以较低的高度结束，这表明市场已经达到顶峰。

Conversely, if Bitcoin stays above $70,000, the rally may lead to a higher high, suggesting further gains and a continuation of the bull market.

相反，如果比特币停留在70,000美元以上，则该集会可能会导致更高的高位，这表明进一步的收益并延续了牛市。

What Is Benjamin Cowen Watching?

本杰明·考恩（Benjamin Cowen）看什么？

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $86,380, and Cowen is watching closely for a possible breakout. He also foresees that Bitcoin’s trajectory will be influenced by macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate policies and overall investor sentiment.

在撰写本文时，比特币的交易约为86,380美元，而Cowen正在密切关注可能的突破。他还预计，比特币的轨迹将受到宏观经济因素的影响，例如利率政策和整体投资者情绪。

Cowen highlights the impact of the Federal Reserve’s monetary decisions on Bitcoin’s performance, emphasizing that a shift in liquidity could either boost Bitcoin’s price or speed up a market correction.

Cowen强调了美联储的货币决策对比特币表现的影响，强调流动性的转变可以提高比特币的价格或加快市场纠正措施。

He further notes the role of retail investors in sustaining Bitcoin’s momentum, suggesting that a recovery in the market will depend heavily on renewed enthusiasm from individual traders rather than just institutional capital.

他进一步指出，散户投资者在维持比特币势头方面的作用，这表明市场的恢复将在很大程度上取决于个人交易者的新热情，而不仅仅是机构资本。