本傑明·考恩（Benjamin Cowen）預測比特幣（BTC）今年的反流行集會，但警告說，第1季度的第1季度大幅下降

加密戰略家本傑明·科恩（Benjamin Cowen）以對比特幣在一月份進行的準確預測而聞名，他認為BTC今年仍然有增長的餘地。

Crypto strategist Benjamin Cowen, known for his accurate prediction of Bitcoin’s correction in January, still sees room for growth in BTC this year.

加密戰略家本傑明·考恩（Benjamin Cowen）以對比特幣在一月份進行更正的準確預測而聞名，但今年仍然看到了BTC的增長空間。

In a recent video, Cowen forecasts a potential “counter-trend” rally for Bitcoin in the coming months, but he’s closely monitoring key price levels to determine if the bull run is truly over.

在最近的視頻中，Cowen預測了未來幾個月對比特幣的潛在“反趨勢”集會，但他正在密切監視關鍵價格水平，以確定公牛的運行是否真的結束了。

He predicts a significant drop in Q1 2025, followed by a counter-rally in Q2/Q3, where most altcoin pairs will likely suffer. However, Cowen points out that if Bitcoin drops below $70,000 in the next few weeks, the rally could end in a lower high, indicating the market has peaked.

他預測，第二季度2025年第1季度將大幅下降，然後在Q2/Q3中進行反競爭，大多數Altcoin對可能會受到影響。但是，Cowen指出，如果比特幣在接下來的幾週內下跌70,000美元以下，則集會可能以較低的高度結束，這表明市場已經達到頂峰。

Conversely, if Bitcoin stays above $70,000, the rally may lead to a higher high, suggesting further gains and a continuation of the bull market.

相反，如果比特幣停留在70,000美元以上，則該集會可能會導致更高的高位，這表明進一步的收益並延續了牛市。

What Is Benjamin Cowen Watching?

本傑明·考恩（Benjamin Cowen）看什麼？

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $86,380, and Cowen is watching closely for a possible breakout. He also foresees that Bitcoin’s trajectory will be influenced by macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate policies and overall investor sentiment.

在撰寫本文時，比特幣的交易約為86,380美元，而Cowen正在密切關注可能的突破。他還預計，比特幣的軌跡將受到宏觀經濟因素的影響，例如利率政策和整體投資者情緒。

Cowen highlights the impact of the Federal Reserve’s monetary decisions on Bitcoin’s performance, emphasizing that a shift in liquidity could either boost Bitcoin’s price or speed up a market correction.

Cowen強調了美聯儲的貨幣決策對比特幣表現的影響，強調流動性的轉變可以提高比特幣的價格或加快市場糾正措施。

He further notes the role of retail investors in sustaining Bitcoin’s momentum, suggesting that a recovery in the market will depend heavily on renewed enthusiasm from individual traders rather than just institutional capital.

他進一步指出，散戶投資者在維持比特幣勢頭方面的作用，這表明市場的恢復將在很大程度上取決於個人交易者的新熱情，而不僅僅是機構資本。