心理上的战斗

以太坊是数字强国，仅次于比特币，在市值中仅是比特币，他发现自己再次卷入了一场激烈的斗争，为具有心理意义的2,000美元的门槛而激烈。

Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, has dropped below the psychologically significant $2,000 threshold amid a broader market correction and as traders continue to monitor the technical levels.

以太坊是第二大加密货币，在更广泛的市场校正和随着贸易商继续监视技术水平的情况下，以至于在心理意义上的2,000美元阈值以下。

Prominent crypto analyst CryptoBullet highlighted that Ethereum has now touched its 300-week moving average for only the second ever time.

著名的加密分析师Cryptobullet强调，以太坊现在仅在第二次仅触及了其300周的移动平均水平。

"The last time was during the catastrophic market crash of 2022, which saw lows around $880 for ETH," he noted.

他指出：“上次是在2022年的灾难性市场崩溃期间，该公司的低价约为880美元。”

This observation has led to speculation that the touch of the 300-week MA could signal a similar reversal from the lows.

这一观察结果导致人们猜测300周MA的触摸可能会表明与低点的逆转相似。

"Huge respect for the 300-week MA on ETH. Only touched it a second time (last time was during the lows of June 2022, which saw lows around $880). Thinking about this in the broader context of market cycles can be interesting. Persistent sellers = new lows. Eventually found a bid at the 300-week MA on the way down. This wasn't a rolling over apex, but rather a catastrophic crash (LUNA implosion, major lending platforms collapsing, and perfect macro storm).

“对ETH上的300周MA。仅第二次触摸它（上次是在2022年6月的低谷期间，低于880美元左右）。在更广泛的市场周期中考虑这一点可能很有趣。持久的卖家=新的低点=新的低点。最终在300周的MA上发现了一个竞标，这不是一个滚动。平台崩溃，完美的宏观风暴）。

The 300-week MA is a long-term technical indicator that smooths out price fluctuations and provides a broader perspective on market trends. It's calculated by averaging the closing prices of Ethereum over the past 300 weeks.

300周的MA是一个长期的技术指标，可以平稳价格波动，并为市场趋势提供更广泛的看法。它是通过在过去300周内平均以太坊的收盘价计算得出的。

Touching this average is often viewed as a significant event, signaling a potential turning point in the market.

触摸这个平均水平通常被视为一个重大事件，这表明市场上潜在的转折点。

The June 2022 crash was triggered by a confluence of factors, including the collapse of the Terra (LUNA) ecosystem, the insolvency of major crypto lending platforms like Celsius and Voyager, and growing macroeconomic concerns surrounding rising inflation and interest rates.

2022年6月的崩溃是由因素汇合而引起的，包括泰拉（Luna）生态系统的崩溃，摄氏和Voyager等主要加密贷款平台的破产，以及围绕通货膨胀率上升和利率的宏观经济问题越来越多。

These factors combined to exert massive selling pressure on Ethereum, leading to a sharp decline from the year-to-year highs of around $4,000 to lows of around $880 in June 2022.

这些因素加在一起为以太坊施加了巨大的销售压力，从而从一年一度的高处急剧下降到2022年6月的880美元左右。

However, despite the prevailing bearish sentiment, the price found support at the 300-week MA during this period.

然而，尽管有盛行的看跌情绪，但价格在此期间为300周的MA获得了支持。

This technical level, which serves as a strong indicator of seller exhaustion and a potential point of balance between supply and demand, helped to stall the decline and set the stage for a rebound.

这种技术水平是卖方精疲力尽的有力指标，以及供求之间的潜在平衡点，有助于衰落并为反弹奠定了基础。

As the selling pressure gradually diminished and the market showed signs of stabilization, the price began a slow and steady recovery, eventually breaking above the $1,000 and $1,500 psychological levels.

随着销售压力逐渐减少，市场显示出稳定的迹象，价格开始缓慢而稳定地恢复，最终超过了1,000美元和1,500美元的心理水平。

The touch of the 300-week MA proved to be a pivotal moment in the broader market downturn, signaling the potential for a reversal from the lows and setting the stage for a new bullish cycle.

300周的MA的触摸被证明是更广泛的市场低迷时刻的关键时刻，这表明有可能逆转低点并为新的看涨周期奠定了基础。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering in oversold territory, which could indicate that Ethereum is undervalued and ripe for a correction.

目前，相对强度指数（RSI）在超售领土上徘徊，这可能表明以太坊被低估并成熟以进行校正。

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing signs of divergence, which could suggest a potential weakening of the current downtrend.

移动平均收敛差异（MACD）显示出差异的迹象，这可能表明当前下降趋势的潜在减弱。

Fibonacci retracement levels suggest that Ethereum could find support at the $1,800 to $1,900 range.

斐波那契回溯水平表明，以太坊可以在1,800至1,900美元之间找到支持。

Observing trading volume will be crucial, as low volume during price declines can indicate a lack of conviction from sellers, while high volume during price increases suggests strong bullish sentiment.

观察交易量将是至关重要的，因为价格下降期间的较低量可能表明卖方缺乏信念，而价格上涨的大量量则表明表明了强烈的看涨情绪。

On-chain data can provide valuable insights into future selling pressure. For example, if there are large amounts of coins being moved out of exchange wallets, it could indicate that traders are planning to sell in the near term.

链上数据可以为未来的销售压力提供宝贵的见解。例如，如果有大量硬币被移出交换钱包，则可能表明交易者计划在短期内出售。

Overall, the technical analysis of Ethereum reveals a mixed outlook with several indicators pointing to the potential for a mid-term rebound, despite the short-term bearish signals.

总体而言，以太坊的技术分析揭示了不同的前景，尽管短期看跌信号，但有几个指标指出了中期反弹的可能性。

The successful completion of the "Merge" and the ongoing development of Ethereum's scalability solutions, such as layer-2 scaling solutions, remain strong long-term catalysts for the coin.

“合并”的成功完成以及以太坊可伸缩性解决方案的持续发展（例如第2层缩放解决方案）仍然是硬币的强大长期催化剂。

However, the lack of clear regulatory guidelines for cryptocurrencies continues to create uncertainty and hinder institutional adoption. Positive regulatory developments could significantly boost Ethereum's price.

但是，缺乏对加密货币的明确监管指南继续造成不确定性并阻碍了机构的采用。积极的监管发展可能会大大提高以太坊的价格。

Global macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, interest rates, and economic growth, play a crucial role in shaping investor sentiment and risk appetite, which ultimately affects Ethereum's valuation.

通货膨胀，利率和经济增长等全球宏观经济因素在塑造投资者情绪和风险胃口中起着至关重要的作用，这最终影响了以太坊的估值。

The overall sentiment of the crypto market, influenced by news, social media, and investor psychology, can have a substantial impact on Ethereum's price. For instance, if there is a broad-based selloff in the crypto market due to fear or panic, it could lead to further declines in Ethereum's price.

受新闻，社交媒体和投资者心理学影响的加密市场的总体情绪可能会对以太坊的价格产生重大影响。例如，如果由于恐惧或恐慌而导致加密货币市场的基础抛售广泛，则可能导致以太坊的价格进一步下降。

Conversely, if there is a collective feeling of optimism and greed, it could drive up Ethereum's price as investors seek out opportunities in the market.

相反，如果有一种乐观和贪婪的集体感，它可能会推动以太坊的价格，因为投资者在市场上寻求机会。

Bitcoin's price movements are closely watched by traders and investors, and they can have a knock-on effect on Ethereum's price. If Bitcoin shows strength and rallies, it could put upward pressure on Ethereum. However, if Bitcoin experiences weakness and drops, it could drag Ethereum down

交易员和投资者密切关注比特币的价格变动，他们可以对以太坊的价格产生连锁反应。如果比特币表现出强度和集会，它可能会对以太坊施加向上的压力。但是，如果比特币遭受弱点和下降，它可能会使以太坊拖下