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加密货币新闻

ARKB 资金流出引发担忧,但 ETF 流量仍保持正值

2024/04/04 16:04

由于近期 ETF 流出量引起了投资者的担忧,特别是 Cathie Wood 的 ARK 21Shares 现货比特币 ETF (ARKB),其流出量首次超过 Grayscale 的比特币信托 (GBTC)。分析师提出了不同的观点,其中一些分析师淡化了资金外流的严重性,并强调了 ETF 在提振比特币市场价格方面的更广泛作用。尽管存在这些担忧,但在富达和贝莱德的带领下,ETF 市场仍然表现出了积极的资金流动性。

ARKB 资金流出引发担忧,但 ETF 流量仍保持正值

ARKB Outflows Raise Concerns, But Overall ETF Flows Remain Positive

ARKB 资金流出引发担忧,但 ETF 总体流量仍保持正值

The crypto market witnessed a notable shift in Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) dynamics on Tuesday, April 2, when Cathie Wood's ARK 21Shares spot Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) registered significant outflows. This marked the first time since the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States that an ETF other than Grayscale's Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) had experienced larger outflows.

4 月 2 日星期二,加密货币市场见证了比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 动态的显着变化,当时 Cathie Wood 的 ARK 21Shares 现货比特币 ETF (ARKB) 出现大幅流出。这标志着自美国推出现货比特币ETF以来,除灰度比特币信托(GBTC)以外的ETF首次出现更大规模的资金流出。

ARKB saw outflows of approximately $87.5 million, equivalent to roughly 1,300 BTC, while GBTC recorded outflows of $81.9 million, according to data from Farside Investors. This development has sparked concerns and debates among investors and analysts, raising questions about the implications for Bitcoin's price and the broader ETF market.

根据 Farside Investors 的数据,ARKB 的资金流出量约为 8750 万美元,相当于约 1,300 BTC,而 GBTC 的资金流出量为 8190 万美元。这一事态发展引发了投资者和分析师的担忧和争论,引发了人们对比特币价格和更广泛的 ETF 市场影响的质疑。

Analyst Perspectives and the Role of ETFs

分析师的观点和 ETF 的作用

Bloomberg's ETF analyst, Eric Balchunas, provided an analytical perspective on the event, emphasizing the importance of taking a broader view of ETF dynamics. He downplayed the severity of the outflows, noting that even reputable ETFs experience outflows as part of their operational cycle.

彭博社的 ETF 分析师 Eric Balchunas 对该事件提供了分析视角,强调以更广泛的视角看待 ETF 动态的重要性。他淡化了资金外流的严重性,并指出,即使是信誉良好的 ETF,也会在其运营周期中经历资金外流。

Balchunas highlighted the significant inflows into ARKB, amounting to $2.8 billion in under three months, despite being the third-largest spot Bitcoin ETF in the market. He suggested that without the positive inflows into ETFs, Bitcoin's price could be considerably lower than its current level.

Balchunas 强调了 ARKB 的大量资金流入,尽管是市场上第三大现货比特币 ETF,但在不到三个月的时间里资金流入达 28 亿美元。他表示,如果没有资金积极流入 ETF,比特币的价格可能会大大低于目前的水平。

The analyst also addressed the collective behavior of ETF investors, emphasizing that the recent downturn in Bitcoin's price cannot be solely attributed to ETF outflows. He pointed out that the "ten" major Bitcoin ETFs collectively experienced net inflows, while Bitcoin's price fell by approximately 6%, indicating that selling pressure was primarily coming from individual holders.

该分析师还谈到了 ETF 投资者的集体行为,强调近期比特币价格的下跌不能仅仅归因于 ETF 资金外流。他指出,“十大”主要比特币ETF集体出现净流入,而比特币价格下跌约6%,表明抛售压力主要来自个人持有者。

Renowned crypto expert Scott Melker offered a possible explanation for the ARKB outflows, suggesting that a large investor may have reallocated assets to a different ETF. Balchunas further emphasized the inherent anonymity of ETF trading, highlighting that it is impossible to know the specific reasons behind inflows or outflows.

著名加密货币专家 Scott Melker 对 ARKB 资金流出提供了一种可能的解释,表明大型投资者可能已将资产重新分配到不同的 ETF。 Balchunas进一步强调了ETF交易固有的匿名性,强调不可能知道资金流入或流出背后的具体原因。

Resilience of ETF Flows

ETF 流量的弹性

Despite the concerns raised by the ARKB outflows, the ETF market demonstrated resilience on Wednesday, April 4, with positive inflows of $113.5 million. Fidelity led the pack with $116.7 million in inflows, followed by Blackrock with $42 million and Bitwise with $23 million. ARKB had zero activity on that day, while GBTC recorded outflows of $75 million.

尽管 ARKB 资金流出引发担忧,但 4 月 4 日星期三,ETF 市场表现出弹性,净流入 1.135 亿美元。富达 (Fidelity) 以 1.167 亿美元的资金流入位居榜首,贝莱德 (Blackrock) 紧随其后,流入 4,200 万美元,而 Bitwise 则流入 2,300 万美元。 ARKB 当天的活动为零,而 GBTC 则记录了 7500 万美元的流出。

Analyst WhalePanda commented on the positive inflows, indicating that the significant outflows from GBTC had subsided and that the market was likely consolidating. He noted that at the current price level, approximately $30 million of daily inflows would be sufficient to absorb the newly mined Bitcoin supply after the upcoming halving in 2.5 weeks.

分析师 WhalePanda 对资金的积极流入发表评论,表明 GBTC 的大幅流出已经消退,市场可能正在整合。他指出,按照目前的价格水平,大约 3000 万美元的每日资金流入足以吸收 2.5 周后减半后新开采的比特币供应。

Market Outlook

市场展望

At press time, Bitcoin traded at $66,217, indicating a sideways movement in price action. The ETF market dynamics will continue to be closely monitored by investors and analysts as they seek to gauge the potential impact on Bitcoin's price and the broader crypto market.

截至发稿时,比特币交易价格为 66,217 美元,表明价格走势出现横盘走势。投资者和分析师将继续密切关注 ETF 市场动态,以评估其对比特币价格和更广泛的加密货币市场的潜在影响。

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