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经过十多年的拖延和拒绝,SEC 终于在 2024 年初批准了近十几只现货比特币 ETF,导致传统投资者的需求激增,并对 BTC 的价格产生了不可否认的影响。现在,加密货币社区热切等待 SEC 对多个现货以太坊 ETF 申请的决定,特别是行业巨头贝莱德和富达提交的申请。
United States Securities and Exchange Commission Greenlights Spot Bitcoin ETFs, Speculation on Ether ETF Approvals
美国证券交易委员会批准现货比特币 ETF,对以太坊 ETF 批准的猜测
SEC's Approvals of Bitcoin ETFs
美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 批准比特币 ETF
In January 2024, after a decade of deliberation and deferrals, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) granted approval to approximately a dozen spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This groundbreaking move has had a profound impact on the price of Bitcoin (BTC) as traditional investors flocked to these products, creating a surge in demand.
2024 年 1 月,经过十年的审议和推迟,美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 批准了大约十几个现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF)。这一突破性举措对比特币(BTC)的价格产生了深远影响,因为传统投资者纷纷涌向这些产品,导致需求激增。
Speculation Surrounding Ether ETFs
围绕以太坊 ETF 的投机
With the establishment of Bitcoin ETFs, the cryptocurrency community has shifted its focus to the potential approval of Ether (ETH) ETFs. Multiple companies, including industry giants BlackRock and Fidelity, have filed applications with the SEC to launch such products. However, the SEC has repeatedly delayed its decision on these filings.
随着比特币 ETF 的建立,加密货币社区已将焦点转向以太坊 (ETH) ETF 的潜在批准。包括行业巨头贝莱德和富达在内的多家公司已向美国证券交易委员会提交了推出此类产品的申请。然而,美国证券交易委员会一再推迟对这些文件做出决定。
Industry Concerns and Comparisons
行业关注和比较
Amidst these delays, industry professionals have begun to question the SEC's motives, drawing parallels to its prior rejection of numerous BTC ETFs over the past ten years. As a result, the initial optimism surrounding ETH ETF approvals has dwindled in recent weeks, despite earlier predictions of SEC approvals in May 2024.
在这些延误中,行业专业人士开始质疑 SEC 的动机,并将其与过去十年来拒绝众多 BTC ETF 的做法相提并论。因此,尽管 SEC 早先预测 ETH ETF 将于 2024 年 5 月获得批准,但最近几周,围绕 ETH ETF 批准的最初乐观情绪有所减弱。
Latest Developments and SEC's Stance
最新进展和 SEC 的立场
Recent analyses suggest that the SEC is likely to reject all spot Ethereum ETF applications with upcoming due dates in May. This decision could potentially have implications for the price of ETH, as market participants anticipate the potential outcomes.
最近的分析表明,SEC 可能会拒绝所有即将于 5 月份到期的以太坊 ETF 现货申请。由于市场参与者预计潜在的结果,这一决定可能会对 ETH 的价格产生影响。
Potential Impact on ETH's Price
对 ETH 价格的潜在影响
Perplexity, a popular ChatGPT alternative, has provided insights into the potential impact of the SEC's decision on ETH's price. According to the AI chatbot, the SEC's actions, whether approval or rejection, may not have a significant short-term effect on ETH's price.
Perplexity 是一种流行的 ChatGPT 替代品,它提供了有关 SEC 决定对 ETH 价格潜在影响的见解。根据 AI 聊天机器人的说法,SEC 的行动,无论是批准还是拒绝,可能不会对 ETH 的价格产生重大的短期影响。
Historical Precedence and Market Sentiment
历史优先级和市场情绪
This theory aligns with observations from previous BTC ETF rejections over the last decade. Bitcoin has demonstrated resilience to the SEC's actions due to its established track record. However, the situation with Ethereum is distinct as it lacks the same degree of regulatory history.
这一理论与过去 10 年 BTC ETF 被拒绝的观察结果一致。由于其既定的记录,比特币已表现出对 SEC 行动的弹性。然而,以太坊的情况则截然不同,因为它缺乏同样程度的监管历史。
Moreover, the approval of Bitcoin ETFs has historically coincided with substantial price fluctuations in the underlying asset. Increased demand and inflows have pushed BTC's price upward, while the opposite trend has also been observed.
此外,从历史上看,比特币 ETF 的批准往往与相关资产的价格大幅波动同时发生。需求和资金流入的增加推动了比特币价格的上涨,但也出现了相反的趋势。
Conclusion
结论
The SEC's eventual decision on spot Ethereum ETFs remains a subject of speculation and anticipation. The outcome could influence market sentiment and the price of ETH, although the long-term effects are uncertain. With the SEC's history of indecision and the evolving regulatory landscape, industry participants await further developments with keen interest.
美国证券交易委员会对以太坊 ETF 现货的最终决定仍然是猜测和预期的主题。尽管长期影响尚不确定,但结果可能会影响市场情绪和 ETH 价格。由于 SEC 优柔寡断的历史和不断变化的监管环境,行业参与者怀着浓厚的兴趣等待着进一步的发展。
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