预期比特币减半将释放前所未有的供应动力，推动价格飙升

Bitwise 首席执行官 Hunter Horsley 表示，即将到来的 2024 年 4 月比特币减半事件有可能导致加密货币历史上的供需发生重大变化。霍斯利预测，由于减半而导致的代币供应预期减少，加上当前机构需求的增加，可能会导致比特币价格大幅上涨。他估计供应量减少至少是上次减半的三倍，潜在影响为每天 3200 万美元和每年 110 亿美元。

Anticipated Bitcoin Halving May Trigger Unprecedented Supply Dynamics and Price Surge

预期的比特币减半可能会引发前所未有的供应动态和价格飙升

Over the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced substantial gains, rising by 9.34% to reach values above $71,000, according to data provided by CoinMarketCap. The cryptocurrency market eagerly anticipates the potential price appreciation that this ongoing bull cycle may bring.

根据 CoinMarketCap 提供的数据，过去一周，比特币 (BTC) 经历了大幅上涨，上涨 9.34%，达到 71,000 美元以上。加密货币市场热切期待当前牛市周期可能带来的潜在价格升值。

However, Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley has recently offered insights into the immediate future, suggesting that the upcoming halving event could profoundly alter Bitcoin's trading history due to a substantial reduction in the token's supply.

然而，Bitwise 首席执行官 Hunter Horsley 最近提出了对不久的将来的见解，表明即将到来的减半事件可能会因代币供应量大幅减少而深刻改变比特币的交易历史。

Bitcoin Halving to Exacerbate Supply Reduction and Fuel Demand

比特币减半加剧供应减少和刺激需求

In a March 29 X-post, Horsley emphasized that the Bitcoin halving event scheduled for April 2024 could have unprecedented effects on the asset's supply and demand dynamics. Bitcoin halving refers to a recurring event every four years where the block reward for BTC miners diminishes by half.

Horsley 在 3 月 29 日的 X-post 中强调，定于 2024 年 4 月举行的比特币减半事件可能会对资产的供需动态产生前所未有的影响。比特币减半是指每四年重复发生一次的事件，比特币矿工的区块奖励减少一半。

Horsley's predictions are based on the previous halving in 2020, when BTC's price was approximately $9,000. He observed a significant decline in Bitcoin's token supply following the halving, amounting to approximately $9 million per day and $3 billion annually.

Horsley 的预测是基于 2020 年减半，当时 BTC 的价格约为 9000 美元。他观察到减半后比特币的代币供应量大幅下降，每天约为 900 万美元，每年约为 30 亿美元。

Given that Bitcoin's current price hovers around $70,000, Horsley anticipates that the upcoming supply reduction will be at least three times larger in monetary terms, estimated to reach $32 million per day and $11 billion annually.

鉴于比特币目前的价格徘徊在 70,000 美元左右，Horsley 预计即将到来的供应量减少将至少是货币的三倍，预计每天将达到 3200 万美元，每年将达到 110 亿美元。

He predicts that the massive supply reduction will coincide with a decrease in natural selling pressure from miners, driven by the higher Bitcoin price. Furthermore, Horsley notes that this trend will align with the ongoing increase in institutional demand.

他预测，在比特币价格上涨的推动下，供应量的大幅减少将与矿商自然抛售压力的减少同时发生。此外，霍斯利指出，这一趋势将与机构需求的持续增长相一致。

Collectively, these factors suggest that Bitcoin is likely to experience a significant price surge following the halving event. In February, Horsley forecasted that BTC could reach $250,000 sooner than anticipated due to investor demand fueled by the introduction of the Bitcoin spot ETF.

总的来说，这些因素表明比特币在减半事件后可能会经历大幅价格飙升。今年 2 月，霍斯利预测，由于比特币现货 ETF 的推出推动了投资者需求，比特币可能会比预期更早达到 25 万美元。

Current Bitcoin Market Overview

当前比特币市场概况

At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $70,000, marking a 0.65% loss over the past day. Despite this slight decline, the cryptocurrency has gained 10.45% on its monthly chart following the price correction in February.

截至撰写本文时，BTC 交易价格为 70,000 美元，较过去一天下跌 0.65%。尽管略有下跌，但在 2 月份价格调整后，该加密货币在月度图表上已上涨 10.45%。

Meanwhile, BTC's trading volume has decreased by 23.16%, currently valued at $24.67 billion. With a market capitalization of approximately $1.1 trillion, Bitcoin remains the world's largest cryptocurrency.

与此同时，BTC交易量下降了23.16%，目前价值246.7亿美元。比特币的市值约为 1.1 万亿美元，仍然是世界上最大的加密货币。

Conclusion

结论

As the Bitcoin halving event draws near in April 2024, market analysts anticipate that it could have a profound impact on the cryptocurrency's supply and demand dynamics. The expected reduction in token supply, coupled with the current surge in institutional demand, suggests that Bitcoin may be poised for a substantial price increase in the aftermath of the halving.

随着 2024 年 4 月比特币减半事件的临近，市场分析师预计这可能会对加密货币的供需动态产生深远影响。代币供应的预期减少，加上当前机构需求的激增，表明比特币价格可能会在减半后大幅上涨。