与许多其他山寨币一样，Stellar（XLM）价格也经历了艰巨的日期（YTD）性能

在此期间，XLM的价格下跌了近40％，其中大多数来自上一季度。但是，最近24小时

Key Takeaways:

关键要点：

Like many other altcoins, Stellar (XLM) price has experienced an underwhelming year-to-date (YTD) performance.

与许多其他山寨币一样，Stellar（XLM）价格也经历了少年至今的表现。

Within this period, XLM’s price has fallen by nearly 40%, with most of these losses stemming from the last quarter.

在此期间，XLM的价格下跌了近40％，其中大多数造成了上一季度的损失。

However, the last 24 hours have seen a change in that trend with XLM rising to $0.26. Despite the rebound, this analysis reveals that the altcoin might find it challenging to keep rising.

但是，最近24小时的趋势发生了变化，XLM上升至0.26美元。尽管有反弹，但这种分析表明，山寨币可能会发现不断上升的挑战。

XLM buyers lack full control

XLM买家缺乏完全控制的

Stellar’s price previously fell from a yearly peak of $0.50 to $0.22. This correction led to the formation of a falling wedge on the daily chart. A falling wedge occurs when the price falls but loses momentum, creating a squeezed look between two downward trendlines. Over time, the range between the trendline and the price breaks out upward.

Stellar的价格先前从每年的高峰下降到0.50美元降至0.22美元。这种纠正导致每日图表上掉落的楔形。当价格下跌但失去动力时，会发生掉落的楔形，在两个下降趋势线之间产生挤压的外观。随着时间的流逝，趋势线和价格之间的范围会向上爆发。

The chart below shows that XLM’s price has broken out of the falling wedge and is showing signs of an extended rally. However, according to the daily chart, XLM’s price might struggle to build on its 7% increase.

下图显示，XLM的价格已经从掉落的楔子中崩溃，并且显示出延长集会的迹象。但是，根据每日图表，XLM的价格可能很难以7％的增长为基础。

One reason for this is the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) position. The CMF is a volume-weighted indicator that measures buying and selling pressure over a specific period. Buyers are in control when the CMF is consistently above zero and rising, and the uptrend strengthens.

原因之一是Chaikin货币流（CMF）位置。 CMF是一个体积加权的指标，该指标可以在特定时期内测量买卖压力。当CMF始终高于零和上升时，购买者将处于控制状态，并且上升趋势得到了加强。

However, in this case, XLM’s price is climbing, but the CMF is below zero. This indicates that the bullish move might be losing steam and forming a bearish divergence. If this continues, XLM might fail to breach the $0.30 overhead resistance and risk falling back to the $0.22 underlying support.

但是，在这种情况下，XLM的价格正在攀升，但CMF低于零。这表明看涨的举动可能正在失去蒸汽并形成看跌的差异。如果继续这样做，XLM可能不会违反0.30美元的间接费用，并可能会降低到$ 0.22的基础支持。

The on-chain perspective also supports this outlook. According to data from Santiment, the Weighted Sentiment around the altcoin has remained in the negative zone despite the bullish price action.

链观点也支持这种前景。根据Santiment的数据，尽管看涨价格行动，但Altcoin周围的加权情绪仍处于负区域。

Weighted Sentiment tracks the average remarks the market has about a cryptocurrency online. When the reading is positive, most comments are bullish and could trigger higher demand.

加权情绪跟踪市场在线上对加密货币的平均评论。当阅读是积极的时，大多数评论都是看涨的，可能会触发更高的需求。

The current reading for Stellar indicates bearish sentiment. Should this remain the case, then XLM’s price could find it challenging to rally above $0.30, as initially stated.

当前对恒星的阅读表明看跌情绪。如果这种情况仍然如此，那么XLM的价格可能会挑战于最初所述的0.30美元以上的竞选。

On the other hand, a shift in the narrative could be seen if the Average Directional Index (ADX) begins to increase. The ADX measures directional strength. When it rises above a reading of 25, directional strength is strong, and the price can increase.

另一方面，如果平均方向指数（ADX）开始增加，则可以看到叙事的转变。 ADX测量方向强度。当它上升到25的读数以上时，定向强度很强，价格可以上涨。

On the daily chart, the ADX has now turned downward, indicating that XLM’s uptrend is weak. Should the reading continue to drop, then XLM’s price might decline to $0.22.

在每日图表上，ADX现在已经下降，表明XLM的上升趋势很弱。如果读数继续下降，那么XLM的价格可能会下降到0.22美元。

On the other hand, a rise in the ADX reading could change the trend. This could also happen if the Chaikin Money Flow rises above zero, confirming buying pressure. If validated, XLM’s next move could be a rise to $0.30.

另一方面，ADX阅读的上升可能会改变趋势。如果Chaikin货币流量上升到零以上，也可能会发生这种情况，从而确认购买压力。如果得到验证，XLM的下一步行动可能会增加到$ 0.30。