與許多其他山寨幣一樣，Stellar（XLM）價格也經歷了艱鉅的日期（YTD）性能

在此期間，XLM的價格下跌了近40％，其中大多數來自上一季度。但是，最近24小時

Key Takeaways:

關鍵要點：

Like many other altcoins, Stellar (XLM) price has experienced an underwhelming year-to-date (YTD) performance.

與許多其他山寨幣一樣，Stellar（XLM）價格也經歷了少年至今的表現。

Within this period, XLM’s price has fallen by nearly 40%, with most of these losses stemming from the last quarter.

在此期間，XLM的價格下跌了近40％，其中大多數造成了上一季度的損失。

However, the last 24 hours have seen a change in that trend with XLM rising to $0.26. Despite the rebound, this analysis reveals that the altcoin might find it challenging to keep rising.

但是，最近24小時的趨勢發生了變化，XLM上升至0.26美元。儘管有反彈，但這種分析表明，山寨幣可能會發現不斷上升的挑戰。

XLM buyers lack full control

XLM買家缺乏完全控制的

Stellar’s price previously fell from a yearly peak of $0.50 to $0.22. This correction led to the formation of a falling wedge on the daily chart. A falling wedge occurs when the price falls but loses momentum, creating a squeezed look between two downward trendlines. Over time, the range between the trendline and the price breaks out upward.

Stellar的價格先前從每年的高峰下降到0.50美元降至0.22美元。這種糾正導致每日圖表上掉落的楔形。當價格下跌但失去動力時，會發生掉落的楔形，在兩個下降趨勢線之間產生擠壓的外觀。隨著時間的流逝，趨勢線和價格之間的範圍會向上爆發。

The chart below shows that XLM’s price has broken out of the falling wedge and is showing signs of an extended rally. However, according to the daily chart, XLM’s price might struggle to build on its 7% increase.

下圖顯示，XLM的價格已經從掉落的楔子中崩潰，並且顯示出延長集會的跡象。但是，根據每日圖表，XLM的價格可能很難以7％的增長為基礎。

One reason for this is the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) position. The CMF is a volume-weighted indicator that measures buying and selling pressure over a specific period. Buyers are in control when the CMF is consistently above zero and rising, and the uptrend strengthens.

原因之一是Chaikin貨幣流（CMF）位置。 CMF是一個體積加權的指標，該指標可以在特定時期內測量買賣壓力。當CMF始終高於零和上升時，購買者將處於控制狀態，並且上升趨勢得到了加強。

However, in this case, XLM’s price is climbing, but the CMF is below zero. This indicates that the bullish move might be losing steam and forming a bearish divergence. If this continues, XLM might fail to breach the $0.30 overhead resistance and risk falling back to the $0.22 underlying support.

但是，在這種情況下，XLM的價格正在攀升，但CMF低於零。這表明看漲的舉動可能正在失去蒸汽並形成看跌的差異。如果繼續這樣做，XLM可能不會違反0.30美元的間接費用，並可能會降低到$ 0.22的基礎支持。

The on-chain perspective also supports this outlook. According to data from Santiment, the Weighted Sentiment around the altcoin has remained in the negative zone despite the bullish price action.

鏈觀點也支持這種前景。根據Santiment的數據，儘管看漲價格行動，但Altcoin周圍的加權情緒仍處於負區域。

Weighted Sentiment tracks the average remarks the market has about a cryptocurrency online. When the reading is positive, most comments are bullish and could trigger higher demand.

加權情緒跟踪市場在線上對加密貨幣的平均評論。當閱讀是積極的時，大多數評論都是看漲的，可能會觸發更高的需求。

The current reading for Stellar indicates bearish sentiment. Should this remain the case, then XLM’s price could find it challenging to rally above $0.30, as initially stated.

當前對恆星的閱讀表明看跌情緒。如果這種情況仍然如此，那麼XLM的價格可能會挑戰於最初所述的0.30美元以上的競選。

On the other hand, a shift in the narrative could be seen if the Average Directional Index (ADX) begins to increase. The ADX measures directional strength. When it rises above a reading of 25, directional strength is strong, and the price can increase.

另一方面，如果平均方向指數（ADX）開始增加，則可以看到敘事的轉變。 ADX測量方向強度。當它上升到25的讀數以上時，定向強度很強，價格可以上漲。

On the daily chart, the ADX has now turned downward, indicating that XLM’s uptrend is weak. Should the reading continue to drop, then XLM’s price might decline to $0.22.

在每日圖表上，ADX現在已經下降，表明XLM的上升趨勢很弱。如果讀數繼續下降，那麼XLM的價格可能會下降到0.22美元。

On the other hand, a rise in the ADX reading could change the trend. This could also happen if the Chaikin Money Flow rises above zero, confirming buying pressure. If validated, XLM’s next move could be a rise to $0.30.

另一方面，ADX閱讀的上升可能會改變趨勢。如果Chaikin貨幣流量上升到零以上，也可能會發生這種情況，從而確認購買壓力。如果得到驗證，XLM的下一步行動可能會增加到$ 0.30。