山寨币蓄势待发，85% 进入历史性买入区

根据区块链分析公司 Santiment 的数据，超过 85% 的山寨币目前处于“历史机遇区”，如市场价值与已实现价值 (MVRV) 比率所示，该比率代表投资资本总额与当前持有价值之比。拥有者。该模型表明，当特定资产在设定时间范围内的 MVRV 差异大于 1 时，表明该资产已进入看涨机会区，并表明投资的黄金时间。

Santiment Analysis Predicts Opportunity Zone for Altcoin Investments

Santiment 分析预测山寨币投资的机会区

New York, March 8, 2023 - In a comprehensive analysis of the cryptocurrency market, Santiment, a leading blockchain analytics firm, has uncovered compelling data indicating that over 85% of altcoins are currently within a historical "opportunity zone." This revelation suggests that a surge in altcoin investments may be imminent.

纽约，2023 年 3 月 8 日 - 在对加密货币市场的全面分析中，领先的区块链分析公司 Santiment 发现了令人信服的数据，表明超过 85% 的山寨币目前处于历史“机会区”。这一消息表明，山寨币投资可能即将激增。

Understanding Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV)

了解市场价值与已实现价值 (MVRV)

To appreciate the significance of this finding, it is imperative to understand the concept of Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV), a crucial on-chain indicator. The MVRV ratio gauges the relationship between an asset's market capitalization and its realized capitalization.

要理解这一发现的重要性，必须了解市场价值与已实现价值（MVRV）的概念，这是一个重要的链上指标。 MVRV 比率衡量资产的市值与其已实现资本之间的关系。

Market Capitalization vs. Realized Capitalization

市值与已实现资本

Market capitalization represents the total value of an asset's circulating supply based on its current spot price. In contrast, realized capitalization utilizes an on-chain model to determine the value of an asset, considering the price at which each coin was last transferred on the blockchain. This approach assumes that the last transaction price reflects the most recent cost basis for the coin.

市值代表基于当前现货价格的资产流通供应的总价值。相比之下，已实现资本化利用链上模型来确定资产的价值，并考虑每个代币最后在区块链上转移的价格。这种方法假设最后的交易价格反映了代币的最新成本基础。

MVRV as a Metric

MVRV 作为指标

The MVRV model essentially measures the total capital invested by investors in an asset, with the market capitalization reflecting the current value held by the owners. By juxtaposing these models, the MVRV ratio indicates whether investors are holding more or less than their initial collective investment.

MVRV模型本质上衡量投资者投资于资产的总资本，市值反映所有者持有的当前价值。通过并列这些模型，MVRV 比率表明投资者持有的资产是否多于或少于其初始集体投资。

Historical Significance of MVRV

MVRV 的历史意义

Historical observations have established a pattern where periods of high profitability often coincide with market peaks, as investors tend to cash in on their gains. Conversely, sustained losses typically lead to market bottoms as selling pressure subsides.

历史观察已经建立了一种模式，即高盈利时期往往与市场顶峰同时发生，因为投资者倾向于从收益中获利。相反，随着抛售压力消退，持续损失通常会导致市场触底。

Santiment's Opportunity and Danger Zone Model

Santiment 的机会和危险区模型

Based on these principles, Santiment has devised an "opportunity" and "danger" zone model for altcoins. When the MVRV divergence for an asset over a specific timeframe exceeds 1, it is considered within the bullish opportunity zone. Conversely, values below -1 indicate entry into the bearish danger zone.

基于这些原则，Santiment 设计了山寨币的“机会”和“危险”区域模型。当某项资产在特定时间范围内的 MVRV 差异超过 1 时，即被视为处于看涨机会区域内。相反，低于-1的值表示进入看跌危险区域。

Current Market Analysis

当前市场分析

Current market analysis reveals that a significant portion of the altcoin market is currently residing in the 'opportunity zone.' Santiment's analysis states that "Over 85% of assets we track are in a historic opportunity zone when calculating the market value to realized value (MVRV) of wallets’ collective returns over 1-month, 3-month, and 6-month cycles."

当前的市场分析表明，山寨币市场的很大一部分目前位于“机会区”。 Santiment 的分析指出，“在计算 1 个月、3 个月和 6 个月周期内钱包集体回报的市场价值与实现价值 (MVRV) 时，我们跟踪的超过 85% 的资产处于历史机会区。”

Impact on Altcoin Investments

对山寨币投资的影响

This finding suggests that a favorable time for altcoin investments may be approaching. Ethereum, the largest altcoin by market capitalization, has demonstrated a positive trend, with a 3% increase over the past week, propelling its price to a significant $3,150.

这一发现表明，山寨币投资的有利时机可能即将到来。市值最大的山寨币以太坊表现出积极的趋势，过去一周上涨了 3%，将其价格推升至 3,150 美元。

Cautionary Note

注意事项

While the current market conditions appear promising for altcoin investments, it is important to emphasize that these are still predictions, and the cryptocurrency market remains inherently unpredictable. Investors are advised to exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.

虽然当前的市场状况对于山寨币投资来说似乎很有希望，但必须强调的是，这些仍然是预测，加密货币市场本质上仍然是不可预测的。建议投资者在做出任何投资决定之前保持谨慎并进行彻底的研究。