山寨幣蓄勢待發，85% 進入歷史性買進區

根據區塊鏈分析公司Santiment 的數據，超過85% 的山寨幣目前處於“歷史機遇區”，如市場價值與已實現價值(MVRV) 比率所示，該比率代表投資資本總額與當前持有價值之比。該模型表明，當特定資產在設定時間範圍內的 MVRV 差異大於 1 時，表示該資產已進入看漲機會區，並表明投資的黃金時間。

Santiment Analysis Predicts Opportunity Zone for Altcoin Investments

Santiment 分析預測山寨幣投資的機會區

New York, March 8, 2023 - In a comprehensive analysis of the cryptocurrency market, Santiment, a leading blockchain analytics firm, has uncovered compelling data indicating that over 85% of altcoins are currently within a historical "opportunity zone." This revelation suggests that a surge in altcoin investments may be imminent.

紐約，2023 年 3 月 8 日 - 在對加密貨幣市場的全面分析中，領先的區塊鏈分析公司 Santiment 發現了令人信服的數據，表明超過 85% 的山寨幣目前處於歷史「機會區」。這項消息表明，山寨幣投資可能即將激增。

Understanding Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV)

了解市場價值與已實現價值 (MVRV)

To appreciate the significance of this finding, it is imperative to understand the concept of Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV), a crucial on-chain indicator. The MVRV ratio gauges the relationship between an asset's market capitalization and its realized capitalization.

要理解這項發現的重要性，必須了解市場價值與已實現價值（MVRV）的概念，這是一個重要的鏈上指標。 MVRV 比率衡量資產的市值與其已實現資本之間的關係。

Market Capitalization vs. Realized Capitalization

市值與已實現資本

Market capitalization represents the total value of an asset's circulating supply based on its current spot price. In contrast, realized capitalization utilizes an on-chain model to determine the value of an asset, considering the price at which each coin was last transferred on the blockchain. This approach assumes that the last transaction price reflects the most recent cost basis for the coin.

市值代表基於當前現貨價格的資產流通供應的總價值。相較之下，已實現資本化利用鏈上模型來確定資產的價值，並考慮每個代幣最後在區塊鏈上轉移的價格。這種方法假設最後的交易價格反映了代幣的最新成本基礎。

MVRV as a Metric

MVRV 為指標

The MVRV model essentially measures the total capital invested by investors in an asset, with the market capitalization reflecting the current value held by the owners. By juxtaposing these models, the MVRV ratio indicates whether investors are holding more or less than their initial collective investment.

MVRV模型本質上衡量投資者投資於資產的總資本，市值反映所有者持有的當前價值。透過並列這些模型，MVRV 比率顯示投資者持有的資產是否多於或少於其初始集合投資。

Historical Significance of MVRV

MVRV 的歷史意義

Historical observations have established a pattern where periods of high profitability often coincide with market peaks, as investors tend to cash in on their gains. Conversely, sustained losses typically lead to market bottoms as selling pressure subsides.

歷史觀察已經建立了一種模式，即高獲利時期往往與市場高峰同時發生，因為投資者傾向於從收益中獲利。相反，隨著拋售壓力消退，持續損失通常會導致市場觸底。

Santiment's Opportunity and Danger Zone Model

Santiment 的機會與危險區模型

Based on these principles, Santiment has devised an "opportunity" and "danger" zone model for altcoins. When the MVRV divergence for an asset over a specific timeframe exceeds 1, it is considered within the bullish opportunity zone. Conversely, values below -1 indicate entry into the bearish danger zone.

基於這些原則，Santiment 設計了山寨幣的「機會」和「危險」區域模型。當某項資產在特定時間範圍內的 MVRV 差異超過 1 時，即視為處於看漲機會區域內。相反，低於-1的值表示進入看跌危險區域。

Current Market Analysis

目前市場分析

Current market analysis reveals that a significant portion of the altcoin market is currently residing in the 'opportunity zone.' Santiment's analysis states that "Over 85% of assets we track are in a historic opportunity zone when calculating the market value to realized value (MVRV) of wallets’ collective returns over 1-month, 3-month, and 6-month cycles."

目前的市場分析表明，山寨幣市場的很大一部分目前位於「機會區」。 Santiment 的分析指出，“在計算 1 個月、3 個月和 6 個月週期內錢包集體回報的市場價值與實現價值 (MVRV) 時，我們跟踪的超過 85% 的資產處於歷史機會區。”

Impact on Altcoin Investments

對山寨幣投資的影響

This finding suggests that a favorable time for altcoin investments may be approaching. Ethereum, the largest altcoin by market capitalization, has demonstrated a positive trend, with a 3% increase over the past week, propelling its price to a significant $3,150.

這項發現表明，山寨幣投資的有利時機可能即將到來。市值最大的山寨幣以太幣表現出積極的趨勢，過去一周上漲了 3%，將其價格推升至 3,150 美元。

Cautionary Note

注意事項

While the current market conditions appear promising for altcoin investments, it is important to emphasize that these are still predictions, and the cryptocurrency market remains inherently unpredictable. Investors are advised to exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.

雖然當前的市場狀況對於山寨幣投資似乎很有希望，但必須強調的是，這些仍然是預測，加密貨幣市場本質上仍然是不可預測的。建議投資者在做出任何投資決定之前保持謹慎並進行徹底的研究。