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自1月以来,整个加密货币市场都下降了。这种情绪是压倒性的,这是由历史上最大的加密货币黑客攻击,以及一致的交易所交易基金(ETF)流出的贝比特交易所攻击。
The crypto market has been largely bearish since January.
自1月以来,加密货币市场就一直在看跌。
The sentiment is overwhelmingly negative, aided by the Bybit exchange hack, the largest crypto hack in history, and consistent Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) outflows.
这种情绪是压倒性的,这是由历史上最大的加密货币黑客攻击,以及一致的交易所交易基金(ETF)流出的贝比特交易所攻击。
While Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen 27%, altcoins have fared worse, as noted by the strength in the Bitcoin Dominance Rate (BTCD).
尽管比特币(BTC)下跌了27%,但山寨币的情况差得多,如比特币优势率(BTCD)的强度所指出的那样。
With that in mind, let’s look at some altcoins that may reach their local bottoms in March despite their significant falls.
考虑到这一点,让我们看一些可能在三月份到达本地底部的山寨币,尽管它们大幅下降。
SUI Breaks Down
Sui崩溃了
The SUI price has fallen significantly since reaching its all-time high of $5.36 on Jan. 4. The decline has followed a five-wave structure, noticeable by the symmetrical triangle in wave four.
SUI价格自1月4日达到5.36美元的历史最高水平以来就显着下跌。下降遵循的五波结构,在第四波第四波中的对称三角形引人注目。
Symmetrical triangles usually occur only in wave B or wave four, and this one is unfolding in wave four.
对称的三角形通常仅出现在波浪或波第四波中,而这一三角形在波第四中展开。
Since symmetrical triangles often lead to strong breakouts, SUI is likely in the final portion of its downward movement.
由于对称的三角形通常会导致强烈的突破,因此Sui可能在其向下运动的最后部分。
SUI is retesting the triangle’s support trend line and the $2.95 area as resistance (red icons). After the retest is complete, another downward movement could happen.
SUI正在重新测试三角的支持趋势线,并以2.95美元的区域为电阻(红色图标)。重新测试完成后,可能会发生另一个向下移动。
The most likely area for the end of the downward movement is at $1.65-$1.95, created by the 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement of the recent drop and by a horizontal support area.
下降机芯结束时最有可能的区域为$ 1.65- $ 1.95,由1.61外部斐波那契回收期和水平支撑区域创建。
The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are already generating bullish divergences, a sign that a trend reversal is near.
每日相对强度指数(RSI)和移动平均收敛/分歧(MACD)已经产生看涨的分歧,这表明趋势逆转接近。
So, the SUI price could bottom in March after completing the final portion of its downward movement. If that happens, SUI can increase toward the $4.15 resistance.
因此,SUI价格可能在完成其向下移动的最后部分后在三月最低点。如果发生这种情况,SUI可以增加$ 4.15的电阻。
AAVE Pattern Ends
AAVE模式结束
Similarly to SUI, the AAVE price has completed a five-wave downward movement since its December 2024 high. The decrease is contained inside a descending wedge, considered a bullish pattern.
与SUI类似,自2024年12月以来,AAVE价格已经完成了五波的下降。降低包含在下降的楔形内,被认为是看涨的模式。
While inside the pattern, AAVE broke down from a short-term symmetrical triangle. This marked the beginning of the fifth and final wave to the downside.
在模式内,AAVE从短期对称的三角形中崩溃了。这标志着第五和最后一波的开始。
AAVE has already fallen below wave three’s bottom and reached the wedge’s support trend line. So, the local bottom may already be in place.
AAVE已经跌至Wave 3的底部,并达到了楔子的支撑趋势线。因此,本地底部可能已经到位。
Unlike SUI, AAVE does not have the support of a bullish divergence in the RSI. However, AAVE is nearing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement support level at $180.66, which could mark the end of the correction.
与SUI不同,AAVE没有支持RSI中看涨的差异的支持。但是,AAVE接近0.618的斐波那契回回支持水平为$ 180.66,这可能标志着校正的结束。
A breakout from the wedge will trigger an upward movement toward the main resistance at $280.
楔形的突破将触发向上的运动,朝着280美元的主要电阻触发。
NEAR Concludes March Altcoins
近三月altcoins结束
The final altcoin that could reach a bottom in March is NEAR. The NEAR price has been corrected inside a descending parallel channel since March 2024.
三月份可以到达底部的最终山寨币即将到来。自2024年3月以来,在下降的平行渠道内已纠正了近价格。
The channel likely contains an A-B-C structure, where waves A and C have the same length.
该通道可能包含一个ABC结构,其中波A和C的长度相同。
If this is the case, the NEAR price has nearly reached its predicted bottom target of $2.47, which would also take it to the channel’s support trend line.
如果是这种情况,那么近价格几乎达到了2.47美元的预测底部目标,这也将将其带到频道的支持趋势线。
Furthermore, the daily RSI and MACD have generated bullish divergences (orange), supporting the bullish NEAR predictions.
此外,每日RSI和MACD产生了看涨的分歧(橙色),支持看涨的近乎预测。
A strong bounce at the channel’s support trend line can catalyze an upward movement toward the channel’s midline at $5 and possibly even cause a breakout from the channel.
频道支持趋势线的强烈反弹可以催化向频道中线的向上运动,价格为5美元,甚至可能引起该频道的突破。
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