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自1月以來,整個加密貨幣市場都下降了。這種情緒是壓倒性的,這是由歷史上最大的加密貨幣黑客攻擊,以及一致的交易所交易基金(ETF)流出的貝比特交易所攻擊。
The crypto market has been largely bearish since January.
自1月以來,加密貨幣市場就一直在看跌。
The sentiment is overwhelmingly negative, aided by the Bybit exchange hack, the largest crypto hack in history, and consistent Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) outflows.
這種情緒是壓倒性的,這是由歷史上最大的加密貨幣黑客攻擊,以及一致的交易所交易基金(ETF)流出的貝比特交易所攻擊。
While Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen 27%, altcoins have fared worse, as noted by the strength in the Bitcoin Dominance Rate (BTCD).
儘管比特幣(BTC)下跌了27%,但山寨幣的情況差得多,如比特幣優勢率(BTCD)的強度所指出的那樣。
With that in mind, let’s look at some altcoins that may reach their local bottoms in March despite their significant falls.
考慮到這一點,讓我們看一些可能在三月份到達本地底部的山寨幣,儘管它們大幅下降。
SUI Breaks Down
Sui崩潰了
The SUI price has fallen significantly since reaching its all-time high of $5.36 on Jan. 4. The decline has followed a five-wave structure, noticeable by the symmetrical triangle in wave four.
SUI價格自1月4日達到5.36美元的歷史最高水平以來就顯著下跌。下降遵循的五波結構,在第四波第四波中的對稱三角形引人注目。
Symmetrical triangles usually occur only in wave B or wave four, and this one is unfolding in wave four.
對稱的三角形通常僅出現在波浪或波第四波中,而這一三角形在波第四中展開。
Since symmetrical triangles often lead to strong breakouts, SUI is likely in the final portion of its downward movement.
由於對稱的三角形通常會導致強烈的突破,因此Sui可能在其向下運動的最後部分。
SUI is retesting the triangle’s support trend line and the $2.95 area as resistance (red icons). After the retest is complete, another downward movement could happen.
SUI正在重新測試三角的支持趨勢線,並以2.95美元的區域為電阻(紅色圖標)。重新測試完成後,可能會發生另一個向下移動。
The most likely area for the end of the downward movement is at $1.65-$1.95, created by the 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement of the recent drop and by a horizontal support area.
下降機芯結束時最有可能的區域為$ 1.65- $ 1.95,由1.61外部斐波那契回收期和水平支撐區域創建。
The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are already generating bullish divergences, a sign that a trend reversal is near.
每日相對強度指數(RSI)和移動平均收斂/分歧(MACD)已經產生看漲的分歧,這表明趨勢逆轉接近。
So, the SUI price could bottom in March after completing the final portion of its downward movement. If that happens, SUI can increase toward the $4.15 resistance.
因此,SUI價格可能在完成其向下移動的最後部分後在三月最低點。如果發生這種情況,SUI可以增加$ 4.15的電阻。
AAVE Pattern Ends
AAVE模式結束
Similarly to SUI, the AAVE price has completed a five-wave downward movement since its December 2024 high. The decrease is contained inside a descending wedge, considered a bullish pattern.
與SUI類似,自2024年12月以來,AAVE價格已經完成了五波的下降。降低包含在下降的楔形內,被認為是看漲的模式。
While inside the pattern, AAVE broke down from a short-term symmetrical triangle. This marked the beginning of the fifth and final wave to the downside.
在模式內,AAVE從短期對稱的三角形中崩潰了。這標誌著第五和最後一波的開始。
AAVE has already fallen below wave three’s bottom and reached the wedge’s support trend line. So, the local bottom may already be in place.
AAVE已經跌至Wave 3的底部,並達到了楔子的支撐趨勢線。因此,本地底部可能已經到位。
Unlike SUI, AAVE does not have the support of a bullish divergence in the RSI. However, AAVE is nearing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement support level at $180.66, which could mark the end of the correction.
與SUI不同,AAVE沒有支持RSI中看漲的差異的支持。但是,AAVE接近0.618的斐波那契回回支持水平為$ 180.66,這可能標誌著校正的結束。
A breakout from the wedge will trigger an upward movement toward the main resistance at $280.
楔形的突破將觸發向上的運動,朝著280美元的主要電阻觸發。
NEAR Concludes March Altcoins
近三月altcoins結束
The final altcoin that could reach a bottom in March is NEAR. The NEAR price has been corrected inside a descending parallel channel since March 2024.
三月份可以到達底部的最終山寨幣即將到來。自2024年3月以來,在下降的平行渠道內已糾正了近價格。
The channel likely contains an A-B-C structure, where waves A and C have the same length.
該通道可能包含一個ABC結構,其中波A和C的長度相同。
If this is the case, the NEAR price has nearly reached its predicted bottom target of $2.47, which would also take it to the channel’s support trend line.
如果是這種情況,那麼近價格幾乎達到了2.47美元的預測底部目標,這也將將其帶到頻道的支持趨勢線。
Furthermore, the daily RSI and MACD have generated bullish divergences (orange), supporting the bullish NEAR predictions.
此外,每日RSI和MACD產生了看漲的分歧(橙色),支持看漲的近乎預測。
A strong bounce at the channel’s support trend line can catalyze an upward movement toward the channel’s midline at $5 and possibly even cause a breakout from the channel.
頻道支持趨勢線的強烈反彈可以催化向頻道中線的向上運動,價格為5美元,甚至可能引起該頻道的突破。
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